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European shares soar to record levels on hopes for peace in Ukraine

European shares soar to record levels on hopes for peace in Ukraine

European futures reached record highs on Tuesday, as defence stocks soared amid expectations of a boost in spending. Meanwhile, Hong Kong shares were nearing three-year highs after investors cheered the business leaders' meetings with President Xi Jinping.

As expected, Australia's central banks began their rate-cutting cycle. The Australian dollar found some support at $0.6350, as the reduction came with caution about further easing.

S&P futures rose 0.2%, while European futures gained 0.1%. Japan's Nikkei gained 0.5%, with shares in banks and defence taking cues from Europe.

The pan-European STOXX 600 closed Monday 0.5% higher, as a gauge for defence and aerospace stocks surged 4,6% to lifetime highs, after having more than doubled since Russia invaded Ukraine in 2013.

Investors are expecting earnings to rise in the arms industry. They believe that a period of modest defense budgets is over and a rush for buying weapons has begun.

Tony Sycamore is an analyst at IG Markets, Sydney. He said that if European defence spending reaches Trump's 5% GDP target, European defense companies such as Rheinmetall, SAAB and BAE Systems can increase their overnight gains.

The euro was hovering around $1.0455 during the Asia session. However, Sycamore predicted that a sustained break below $1.0530 could lead to $1.06 or even higher ahead of Germany’s weekend elections.

On Tuesday, Russian and U.S. officials will meet in Saudi Arabia for bilateral discussions. Volodymyr Zelenskiy, the president of Ukraine, has stated that his country will not recognize any decisions taken in meetings where they are not present.

CHINA RALLY

The U.S. market will reopen on Tuesday after a long holiday.

The rare meeting on Monday between Xi, the Chinese president, and top business leaders has boosted markets in China. Hong Kong's Hang Seng reached its highest level since October, and an index of technology shares also hit a 3-year high.

The tech index has risen more than 25% in the past year, boosted by artificial intelligence stock gains.

Britney Lam is the head of LAM Group and runs a family business. She believes that China will win the AI race just as it has won the electric car race. This belief is based on China’s access to talent, data, and energy.

After a steep decline on Monday, Baidu shares stabilized after the founder was not present at the meeting. The company will report earnings in the afternoon. Alibaba's shares rose 2% when Jack Ma, founder of Alibaba, was seen on TV shaking hands with Xi.

BHP shares rose 0.4% after the global mining company reported its lowest first-half profits in six years but noted signs of economic improvement in China.

In Europe, the markets are also watching the German elections at the weekend.

The yen remained steady at 152.06, after solid growth figures the day before boosted chances of an interest rate increase in Japan within months.

Investors awaited the employment and inflation figures later this week. The pound was trading at $1.2597 - just below its high level of two months.

Gold fell from Friday's record-highs to $2,913 per ounce after seven weeks of gains.

Bloomberg News, citing delegates, reported Monday that OPEC+, the oil producer group, is considering delaying a series monthly increases in supply due to start in April, despite Trump's calls for lower prices.

Brent oil held gains overnight at $75.39 per barrel. (Reporting and editing by Nell Mackenzie, Tom Westbrook and Lincoln Feast.

(source: Reuters)