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Prices of gas in Europe rise amid lower temperatures

The wholesale gas prices in the Netherlands and Britain rose Thursday morning, as temperatures are expected to drop tomorrow and next week.

The benchmark front-month contract for the Dutch TTF hub at 0841 GMT was 0.87 euros higher, at 54.27 Euro per megawatt (MWh).

On Monday, the contract reached its highest intra-day level of 54.61 euro/MWh. This is its highest level since November 2023.

The Dutch contract for the month of April rose 0.63 euros to 53.88 euro/MWh. In comparison, the British contract for front-month increased by 1.55 pence at 132.00 pence/therm.

The average temperature in North-West Europe is expected to drop by 0.4 degrees Celisus the day before and by 0.5C the following week. The average temperature in Britain will range between 2-5C over the next couple of weeks. This is up to 3C lower than normal seasonal temperatures.

The wind generation forecast for tomorrow is expected to be higher, which should reduce the demand for gas in power plants.

As maintenance on the Njord field is now complete, Norwegian exports are up. Send-out of liquefied natural gases (LNG) is expected to be solid.

The two tendencies seem to be in balance. Ulrich Weber, LSEG's gas analyst, said that the colder temperatures forecast will be most important and limit the downside.

The benchmark contract on the European carbon markets was down by 1.02 euros, at 79.86 euro per metric ton.

(source: Reuters)