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Trump claims that China's Xi has agreed to allow rare earth minerals to flow into the US
U.S. president Donald Trump announced on Friday that Chinese President Xi Jinping had agreed to allow rare earth minerals and magnetics to flow into the United States. This could reduce tensions between world's largest economies. When asked by a reporter on Air Force One if Xi agreed to this, Trump responded: "Yes, he had." The Chinese Embassy in Washington has not responded to a comment request immediately. Trump's comments came a day after he had a rare phone call with Xi to resolve trade tensions which have been brewing for weeks. Then, Trump stated that the talks had "reached a very positive conclusion," adding that there should be "no questions" about the complexity of Rare Earth Products. Two sources with knowledge of the issue said that China granted temporary export licences to the rare-earth suppliers for the three largest U.S. automobile manufacturers. On Monday, the top U.S. aides to President Obama will meet with their Chinese counterparts for more talks in London. Trump said to reporters that "we're very much advanced" in the China deal. On May 12, in Geneva, Switzerland the countries reached an agreement to rollback for 90 days most triple-digit tit-for -tat tariffs that they had imposed on each other after Trump's inauguration. The financial markets, which had been worried about trade disruptions, rallied upon hearing the news. China's decision to suspend the export of magnets and minerals in April has caused supply disruptions for automakers, computer chip makers and military contractors worldwide. Trump accused China of breaking the Geneva Agreement and ordered a halt to chip-design software, as well as other shipments into China. Beijing denied the claim and threatened countermeasures. China could use rare earths and other minerals to exert political pressure on Trump if the economy sags due to companies being unable make mineral-powered goods. Trump, since returning to the White House, has threatened a variety of punitive actions against trading partners. However, he has retracted some of these measures at the last moment. This on-again-off-again strategy has confused world leaders and scared business executives. Trevor Hunnicutt, Leslie Adler, and Edwina gibbs edited the report.
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WTI-Brent Spread at its Narrowest in Nearly Two Years as US Prices Rise
Analysts and traders reported that the spread between U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude and Brent crude futures was at its tightest since September 2023 as U.S. oil prices increased on a declining rig count, and Canadian wildfires cut supply. Brent futures were up 2.75% as OPEC+ increased output, limiting gains. Why it's important A narrower spread can indicate a closed window of arbitrage for traders, and weaker shipping economies to Europe and Asia. If Brent crude premium remains low, the tighter spread could be an early indication that U.S. crude imports are likely to fall in the coming weeks. Since the Dated Brent price is determined by WTI Midland most trading days, the spread between them is more closely correlated with freight rates. By the numbers, the spread between two crude benchmarks was as low as $2.78 per barrel on Friday. A discount of $4 a barrel is usually considered to be the level which encourages U.S. imports into Europe as traders view it as an arbitrage opportunity. According to Phil Flynn of Price Futures Group, the spread has remained below $4 a barrel on average since May 1. This is partly due to concern about U.S. oil production. Since April, OPEC+ members including Saudi Arabia, Russia, and others have increased their production by 1.37 million barrels a day or 62%, of the 2.2 millions bpd that they intend to bring back onto the market. Baker Hughes, the energy services company, said that the U.S. oil rig count fell four times to 559 during the week ending June 6. This is the lowest level since November 2021. It has sparked some concern about future U.S. output. Traders and analysts say that this has created a price which encourages U.S. crude oil to stay on the domestic market. Analysts said that the wildfires in Canada's oil producing province of Alberta, have further boosted U.S. crude prices, as Canadian crude production has decreased by approximately 7%. Sparta Commodities analysts said that the Canadian wildfire season is underway and further disruptions could push WTI/Brent below $3 in the summer. KEY QUOTES Flynn, of Price Futures Group, said: "When you take a look at the WTI/Brent Spread you can see a bit the concern about the leveling off U.S. Production and the tightening up of export barrels."
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Trump approves coal mine expansion for Asia exports
The U.S. The U.S. The Montana-based company can now recover 22.8 millions metric tons federal coal, 34.5 millions metric tons adjacent non-federal coking coal and extend life of the Bull Mountains Mine by nine years. Interior Secretary Doug Burgum is also the co-chairman of Trump's Energy Dominance Council. He said that by unlocking more federally owned coal, it allows the U.S. strengthen ties with its allies overseas. He said that President Trump's declaration of a national emergency in the energy sector allowed us to act quickly, reduce bureaucratic delays, and secure America’s future by ensuring energy independence and strategic trade. Trump declared an emergency on January 20 to accelerate permits, rollback environmental protections and pull the U.S. out of an international climate change pact. Signal Peak sent its initial plan to expand their mining operations to Office of Surface Mining Reclamation and Enforcement (OSMRAE) in 2020. However, it has been subject to federal review and litigation since then. The Interior Department has completed the environmental impact assessment for the mine expansion in accordance with its new policy, which speeds up such reviews by a maximum 28 days. Burgum joined Energy Secretary Chris Wright, Environmental Protection Agency Administrator Lee Zeldin and other energy exports to Asian markets this week in Alaska. Bull Mountains Mine in Montana is located in Musselshell County and Yellowstone County. It employs more than 250 workers, and supplies primarily Japan and South Korea. Environmental groups tried to stop the expansion of this mine due to concerns over its water usage and greenhouse gas emissions. Anne Hedges of the Montana Environmental Information Center said, "It is utter hogwash to think that we must sacrifice our climate, water resources and wildlife to send coal to foreign countries to burn." (Reporting from Valerie Volcovici and Nichola Grroom in Washington; Editing by Barbara Lewis, Matthew Lewis and Matthew Lewis).
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US and China to hold trade talks on June 9 in London
Three of Donald Trump's closest aides are scheduled to meet their Chinese counterparts on Monday in London for talks on resolving a trade conflict between the two world's largest economies, which has been causing global markets to be on edge. U.S. Treasury Sec. Scott Bessent will be represented by the U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Grer, Commerce Sec. Howard Lutnick, and the U.S. Trade Rep Jamieson Greer in the talks. Trump announced the talks on his Truth Social platform, but did not provide any further details. The identity of the China representative was not immediately known. The Chinese Embassy in Washington didn't immediately respond to an inquiry for comment. Trump wrote that "the meeting should go well." The meeting is scheduled a day after Trump called Chinese President Xi Jinping, in a rare call between leaders amid weeks of brewing tensions over trade and a fight over vital minerals. Trump and Xi have agreed to meet and their staffs will hold discussions in the interim. Both countries face pressure to ease tensions. The global economy is under pressure due to China's control of rare earth minerals, for which it is the leading producer. Investors are also concerned about Trump’s efforts to impose tariffs across the board on products from the majority of U.S. trading partner nations. China has also seen the supply of important U.S. products like chip-designing software cut off. On May 12, the countries reached a 90-day agreement in Geneva, to reverse some of their triple-digit, tit for tat tariffs that they had imposed on each other after Trump's inauguration. The preliminary agreement sparked an international relief rally on stock markets. U.S. indices that were in or near bear-market levels have recovered the majority of their losses. Although stocks rose, the temporary agreement did not address the broader concerns straining the bilateral relationship. These range from the illicit fentanyl traffic to the democratically-governed Taiwan, and U.S. complaints against China's export-driven, state-dominated economic model. Trump, since returning to the White House, has threatened a variety of punitive actions against trading partners. However, he has retracted some of these measures at the last moment. This on-again-off-again strategy has confused world leaders and scared business executives. Beijing views mineral exports in the United States as a way to exert political pressure. If economic growth slows down because companies are unable to produce mineral-powered products, this could lead to domestic political pressure being placed on President Donald Trump. The United States has identified China in recent years as its most important geopolitical competitor and the only nation capable of challenging the U.S. militarily and economically. (Reporting and editing by Costas Pittas, Anna Driver and Trevor Hunnicutt)
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India and central Asian countries express joint interest in rare earths exploration
In a statement released after the India-Central Asia Dialogue's fourth meeting in New Delhi, India and five countries from central Asia expressed an interest in exploring rare earths together. The announcement coincides with global alarm about China's decision not to export rare earth alloys and mixtures. This has affected industries from automotives to clean energy and defence. India and central Asian countries, including Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan and Turkmenistan as well as Uzbekistan, also asked "relevant authorities" to convene the India-Central Asia Rare Earth Forum sooner than the September meeting. The statement added that the sides agreed to meet again in 2026. Rare earths is a grouping of 17 elements, whose main uses include the creation of magnets for motion in cars, cellphones and missiles. China produces 90% of the rare earth magnets in the world and mines 60% of it. However, as part of a sweeping response to U.S. tariffs on imports by President Donald Trump, China announced export restrictions for these rare earth magnets. India has been in talks with companies about establishing long-term stocks of rare earth magnets, offering tax incentives to domestic producers, to reduce its dependence on Chinese shipments, according to a report on Thursday. South Asia also plans to offer incentives to recycle 24 essential minerals. The plan is currently being approved as the nation looks to secure minerals for the green energy transition. (Reporting and writing by Shivam Patel; editing by Alex Richardson, David Evans, and Sakshi Dayal)
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US declares Biden fuel efficiency rules exceed legal authority
The Transportation Department has paved the road for looser fuel economy standards in the United States by declaring on Friday that former President Joe Biden’s administration overstepped its authority when it assumed a high uptake of electrical vehicles to calculate rules. The Department made this declaration when it published its final "Resetting of the Corporate Average Fuel Efficiency Program" (CAFE). Fuel economy requirements will be revised by a separate rule issued by the Trump administration. "We make vehicles more affordable in the United States and we are making it easier to manufacture them." In a statement, Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy said that the previous administration used CAFE standards to mandate electric vehicles. In writing the rule under Biden last year, the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration of the Department of Transportation (NHTSA) "assumed that significant numbers of EVs will continue to be manufactured regardless of the standards established by the agency," the department said on Friday. Duffy signed in January an order that directed NHTSA to cancel fuel economy standards set under Biden, for model years 2022-2031. These standards were intended to reduce the fuel consumption of cars and trucks. Late Thursday Senate Republicans have proposed to eliminate fines for failing to meet CAFE standards as part of an extensive tax bill. This is the latest step to make it easier for automakers build gas-powered cars. In 2018, Chrysler's parent company Stellantis, which is owned by Chrysler, paid nearly $400 million in penalties between 2016 and 2019. GM paid $128.2 millions in penalties between 2016 and 2017. Stellantis stated that it backed the Senate Republican proposal, "to provide relief until DOT develops their proposal to reset CAFE standards." The current standards are not in line with the market realities and immediate relief is needed to preserve affordability and freedom. GM has declined to comment. NHTSA, under Biden in June 2024, said that it would increase CAFE requirements for light-duty vehicle to approximately 50.4 miles per liter (4.67 litres per 100 km), from 39.1 mpg at present. Last year, the agency estimated that the rule for cars and trucks could reduce gasoline consumption and emissions by 659 millions metric tons. This would result in a reduction of fuel costs and a net benefit of $35.2 billion. (Reporting and editing by Aidan Lewis, Peter Graff, and David Shepardson)
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Trump approves coal mine expansion for Asia exports
The U.S. The U.S. The Montana-based company can now recover 22.8 million metric tonnes of federal coal, 34.5 millions of adjacent nonfederal coal as well as extend the life of its Bull Mountains mine for nine years. Interior Secretary Doug Burgum is also the co-chairman of Trump's Energy Dominance Council. He said that by unlocking more federally owned coal, it allows the U.S. a chance to strengthen ties with U.S. ally abroad. He said that President Trump's declaration of a national emergency in the energy sector allowed us to act quickly, reduce bureaucratic delays, and secure America’s future by ensuring energy independence and strategic trade. Signal Peak sent its initial plan to expand their mining operations to Office of Surface Mining Reclamation and Enforcement (OSMRAE) in 2020, but it is currently under federal review and subject to litigation. The Interior Department has completed the environmental impact assessment for the mine expansion in accordance with its new policy, which speeds up such reviews by a maximum 28 days. Burgum joined Energy Secretary Chris Wright, Environmental Protection Agency Administrator Lee Zeldin and Japanese and Korean officials in Alaska this week to promote an LNG and other energy exports destined for Asian market. The Bull Mountains Mine, located in Musselshell County and Yellowstone County, employs more than 250 workers, and supplies primarily Japan and South Korea. Environmental groups have attempted to block the expansion due to concerns over water consumption and greenhouse gas emissions. (Reporting and editing by Barbara Lewis; Valerie Volcovici)
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Gold drops as US job data clouds prospects for rate cuts
Gold prices slipped on Friday after a stronger-than-expected U.S. jobs report dampened hopes for imminent Federal Reserve rate cuts this year, while silver soared to its highest level since 2012. As of 10:45 am, spot gold was down 0.6%, at $3,333.69 per ounce. ET (1445 GMT), and has risen 1.2% in the past week. U.S. Gold Futures fell 0.6% to $3356.50. According to a report by the Labor Department, non-farm payrolls rose 139,000 in may, as opposed to estimates of a 130,000 increase, according economists polled. The unemployment rate was 4.2% in line with expectations. The data came in line with expectations, which is negative for gold, as it suggests that the Fed will stay on hold for some time, said Marex analyst Edward Meir. Based on the trading of short-term interest rate futures, traders are hesitant to make bets on a Fed third rate reduction by year's-end. Gold is a hedge for inflation and geopolitical unrest. Gold is less attractive as a result of higher interest rates, since it does not yield any return. There was little clarity on trade policy after the call between U.S. president Donald Trump and Chinese leaders Xi Jinping, which took place on Thursday. These are difficult negotiations that won't be resolved over the phone. Meir said that if the headlines on tariffs turn negative, it's good for gold. After hitting a record high of more than 13 years, spot silver dropped 0.3% to 36.04. Silver's gains "appear to have been driven by speculative flow, who saw it as way too cheap in comparison with gold. The break above the 35/oz mark amplify the move," Giovanni Staunovo said, an analyst at UBS. Palladium, meanwhile, rose 3.4%, to $1,039.78, the highest level since March 20, 22. Platinum also rose 3.4%, to $1168.72. Both metals are expected to see weekly gains.
Estimate BOX-Investor responses to the Gaza ceasefire offer
Mediators reached a. phased deal on Wednesday to end the war in Gaza in between Israel. and Hamas, an official briefed on the negotiations said, after. 15 months of conflict that has killed 10s of countless. Palestinians and swollen the Middle East.
The accord, which has actually not yet been formally revealed,. details a six-week preliminary ceasefire stage and includes the. steady withdrawal of Israeli forces from the Gaza Strip and. release of hostages held by Hamas in exchange for Palestinian. prisoners held by Israel, the official informed Reuters.
Here are some financier and expert responses to the offer:
ART HOGAN, CHIEF MARKET STRATEGIST, B. RILEY WEALTH, NEW. YORK
It's clearly an unambiguous positive for the marketplaces and. definitely for worldwide markets. I believe it's going to take a bit. longer for this to settle in to the news circulation, particularly in a. market that was currently up, but this is plainly something that. will prove to be an unambiguous positive.
The overarching positive of all of this will likely start. settling in the weeks to come, and not always this. afternoon.
SAM STOVALL, CHIEF INVESTMENT STRATEGIST, CFRA RESEARCH, NEW. YORK
Because geopolitical stress are one of the bricks in this. wall of worry that the marketplace is climbing, it's excellent to have at. least one source eliminated. The only concern is whether this can. be extended, since stress always appear to flare up in the. Middle East.
Investors now have more than one factor to breathe a sigh. of relief today after the CPI information and this news from Gaza. Stock exchange headwinds are less of a typhoon and more of a. mild breeze.
MICHAEL BROWN, SENIOR RESEARCH STRATEGIST, PEPPERSTONE,. LONDON
This news was quite expected and had actually been meant. rather strongly in current sessions so shan't have come as a. surprise to a lot of individuals.
I suppose at the margin it minimizes geopolitical risk to a. degree, though the concern now is how long the ceasefire holds. for. The situation in the Middle East, as ever, is a precarious. and unpredictable one, so I question anybody will be hurrying to purchase threat. or unwind their safe house hedges right now - definitely not with. Trump's inauguration on Monday looming big on the horizon.
CHUCK CARLSON, CEO, HORIZON FINANCIAL INVESTMENT. SERVICES, HAMMOND, INDIANA
A few of it had already been telegraphed in the market, so I. do not think it was a total surprise ... If there is any. considerable impact, it will be an influence on the energy. complex..
(source: Reuters)