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Stocks settle in for nervous wait on US CPI

Asian stock exchange and the dollar relaxed on Wednesday ahead of a prepared for rate cut in Canada and a U.S. inflation reading expected to leave the Fed on course to cut rates once again.

Investors were a touch mindful since, with an 85% chance of a U.S. rate cut next week priced in and with Wall Street indexes around record highs, there is room for disappointment.

The S&P 500 had dipped 0.3% overnight though it was simply 65 points, or a little short of 1% shy of its all-time high.

U.S. futures were 0.1% higher in the Asia early morning. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was flat and Japan's Nikkei fell 0.4%.

U.S. Steel shares had dropped nearly 10% over night on a Bloomberg News report recommending Nippon Steel's $15. billion takeover bid would be blocked.

Hong Kong and China shares were stable,. having actually handed back gains as traders called down enjoyment. about a readout that revealed the Politburo had moved its. financial policy position and sought to boost consumption.

The median projection of financial experts surveyed is for. heading and core U.S. consumer prices increasing 0.3% month on. month, for November. No projections were above 0.3%, which. analysts state leaves markets vulnerable to a surprise.

The 0.4% case is a barnburner, said trader and president. at analytics firm Spectra Markets, Brent Donnelly.

The trade is to buy USD and offer stocks on 0.4% and do. absolutely nothing otherwise. The dollar is likely to rise if markets pare. back the speed and depth of anticipated U.S. rate cuts.

Analysts at the Commonwealth Bank of Australia believe the. dollar index will most likely drift lower towards 105.1 if. inflation meets expectations, but could shoot up towards 108.1. if core inflation is available in at 0.4% or greater.

The index was last at 106.36.

U.S. yields had ticked partially higher and criteria. 10-year yields were consistent in Asia at 4.2302%.

CUTS AHEAD

The Canadian dollar touched a 4-1/2 year short on. Tuesday and, at C$ 1.4168 per dollar, was close by on Wednesday. as traders saw an 89% possibility of a super-sized 50 basis point. rate cut in the future Wednesday.

Canada has already decreased rates by 125 basis points this. cycle however news last week that Canada's out of work rate spiked to an. eight-year high of 6.8% in November has driven bets on an extra. 50 bps of cuts, which would bring the overnight rate to 3.25%.

Broader foreign exchange markets were consistent, with the euro. at $1.0533 and the yen at 151.70 per dollar.

Markets have totally priced a European Reserve bank rate cut. for Thursday and a 61% possibility of a 50 bp cut from the Swiss. National Bank, which would help cool a rally in the franc.

On Tuesday, Australia's central bank left rates on hold, as. expected, but dropped a veiled reference to the possibility of a. future rate walking and sent out the Aussie dollar down dramatically.

The Aussie was nursing a 1% drop from the previous. session at $0.6381 on Wednesday, while the kiwi had. also suffered a kicking and bought $0.5798.

China's resumption of gold buying for reserves appears to have. assisted area costs break a recent range and gold was above its. 200-day moving average at $2,700 an ounce on Wednesday.

In other product markets, a short fillip from China's. policy shift seemed to have passed and oil prices were broadly. stable with Brent crude futures at $72.48 a barrel.

Arabica coffee prices struck a record just above $3.48 a. pound on Tuesday as dealers worry a drought is going to cut. output for top manufacturer Brazil.

(source: Reuters)