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IEA sees surplus oil supply, weak China need in 2025

China's oil demand growth is expected to stay weak in 2025 in spite of current stimulus steps from Beijing as the world's No. 2 economy amazes its cars and truck fleet and grows at a slower speed, the head of the International Energy Firm stated on Monday.

China, which has actually accounted for more than 60% of international oil need growth in the last decade when its economy grew at 6.1%. usually, is decreasing, IEA Executive Director Fatih Birol. informed Reuters on the sidelines of the Singapore International. Energy Week conference.

The Chinese economy at around 4% (development) approximately would suggest. China will require less and less energy, he said, adding that. need for electrical vehicles, which have ended up being cost-competitive. versus conventional cars and trucks, will continue to grow.

The impact of the stimulus has actually not been as considerable as. a few of the market observers have expected, Birol said,. referring to Beijing's current financial announcements aimed at. restoring economic development.

It is still restricted. And as we see today, it will be really. tough to see a significant uptick of Chinese oil need.

Global oil prices are hovering around $70 a barrel after. falling more than 7% last week despite increasing geopolitical. tensions in the Middle East.

Among the 2 reasons why we saw muted response in oil. rates is that demand is weak this year and the expectation that. it will be weak next year, Birol said, keeping in mind that Chinese oil. need would have been flat this year if not for petrochemicals.

Another element capping oil costs is the rise of supply from. non-OPEC producers - the U.S., Canada, Brazil and Guyana - which. is greater than international oil demand growth, he added.

When asked if he anticipates the Organization of the Petroleum. Exporting Countries and their allies, a group called OPEC+, to. loosen up production cuts in 2025, Birol said it depends on OPEC to. select that.

What I see exists will be a surplus next year of oil in. the markets if there are no significant modifications in the geopolitical. context, he stated.

(source: Reuters)