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NORDIC POWER-Forward prices slip on greater water reserves forecast, alleviating gas supply fears

Nordic forward power rates slipped on Wednesday on forecasts for increased rainfall over the coming days that may boost water reserves in the hydropower reliant area, while relieving fears over Norway gas export blackout also calmed markets.

* The Nordic front-quarter agreement was down by 0.25 euros at 37.8 euros per megawatt-hour (MWh) by 1153 GMT.

* The Nordic front-year baseload power contract inched lower by 0.6 euros at 46.5 euros/MWh, marking its most affordable level because May 16.

* Increased rainfall over the next ten days will increase the hydrological balance before possible weakening starts next week. However, if upcoming weather proves drier, then both spot and future prices are expected to increase, said Sigve Ekeland, handling director, Cemon AS.

* Nordic water reserves readily available 15 days ahead were seen at 16.38 terawatt hours (TWh) listed below typical, compared with 17.36 TWh below typical on Tuesday.

* Warmer weather condition may return by the end of next week, possibly accompanied by showers and thunderstorms. A substantial warm, dry spell is not anticipated up until after June 20, Georg Muller, a meteorologist at LSEG, stated in a projection note.

* Dutch and British gas prices were mostly down for the second straight session, following Gassco's announcement that repairs for the Norwegian outage would be completed earlier than prepared for.

* After sharp increases previously today due to the outage in Norway and the threat premium which the related market value in, costs have actually decreased after the statement that the concern will likely be fixed by the end of the week, analysts at Energi Danmark stated.

* Germany's Cal '25 baseload, Europe's standard agreement, slipped 1.8 euros to 93.25 euros/MWh.

* Carbon front-year allowances were down by 0.8 euros at 71.56 euros a tonne.

* The Nordic power price for next-day physical shipment , or system price, increased by 12.6 euros, or 67.8%, to 31.2 euros per megawatt hour

(source: Reuters)