Latest News

Dollar climbs following US-Iran talks; pound is choppy after Starmer's exit

?The?dollar rose on Monday, as optimism about a possible peace deal was boosted by the first round of U.S. - Iran talks. Meanwhile,?the pound rose in choppy 'trading' after British Prime Minister Keir?Starmer announced that he would resign. After the first round of talks in a budding deal, the U.S. lifted sanctions against Iran for a period of 60 days. Officials reported calm after fighting had led Iran to declare that the Strait of Hormuz was closed. U.S. crude fell 1.84%, to $75.19 per barrel. Brent dropped to $77.93 a barrel, down by 3.29%, on Monday, after the first talks under a budding peace deal.

The dollar index (which measures the greenback versus a basket of currencies) rose by 0.16%, to 101. The euro fell 0.36%, to $1.1427. The European Central Bank's Christine Lagarde stated that the inflation shock in the?eurozone is too big to ignore, but not large enough to cause price increases or dangerous second-round effects. POUND RETURNS AS 'POLITICAL UNTRUTH LOOMS Sterling recovered from a session-low of $1.3175 after Labour leader Starmer announced he would step down, allowing Andy Burnham the opportunity to become the seventh Prime Minister in 10 years. Marc Chandler, Bannockburn Capital Markets' chief market strategist in New York said that he thought the bond market vigilantes would act as a safeguard against the next UK government moving too far to the left.

The bond market is what will determine the credibility of a new government.

The last increase in the sterling price was 0.08%, to $1.3243.

The yen is near a 40-year low. After hitting 161.92, the dollar rose 0.14% to reach 161.50, just a few cents shy of the two-year-low reached last week. If the yen breaks above 161,96, it will be at its lowest level since 1986.

The Japanese yen experienced several sharp movements in which it briefly strengthened against greenback. Satsuki Katayama, the Japanese Finance Minister, said that after the Bank of Japan increased rates last week as was widely expected, authorities are prepared to react appropriately to currency movements at any time. The yen lost?gains after a series of interventions on April 30. A shift in focus from the Federal Reserve led traders to expect rate increases this year. This has favored the dollar. Chandler warned that "people should be alert for BOJ interventions and perhaps even positive comments from the U.S." BofA Global Research and Deutsche Bank both revised their Fed forecasts on Monday, including rate hikes for September. BofA expects the central bank to raise rates 25 basis points in each of September, October, and December. According to CME FedWatch, the markets now price in a 38.5% probability of a rate increase at the Fed meeting on July. This is up from 6.4% one week ago.

(source: Reuters)