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Oil prices drop as investors consider a surplus supply outlook and US-China tensions

Oil prices drop as investors consider a surplus supply outlook and US-China tensions

The oil prices dropped in the early trading on Wednesday. This was a continuation of the losses made in the previous session. Investors weighed the warning from the International Energy Agency about a surplus supply in 2026, and the trade tensions between the U.S. and China that could affect demand.

Brent crude futures dropped 12 cents or 0.19% to $62.27 a bar by 0021 GMT. U.S. West Texas intermediate futures also fell by 10 cents or 0.17% to $58.60.

The previous trading session saw both contracts close at lows of five months.

The International Energy Agency (IEA) said that the global oil market may face a surplus of up to 4 million barrels a day next year, a larger glut than they had anticipated, as OPEC+ and its rivals increase production and demand remains sluggish.

In response to the outlook for demand, the United States, China, and other countries have begun imposing port fees on ocean carriers. Beijing has also announced sanctions on five U.S. linked subsidiaries of South Korean shipbuilder Hanwha Ocean.

Last week, tensions in trade between the two world's largest economies grew after China announced an expansion of its rare earth export controls. President Donald Trump also threatened to increase tariffs on Chinese products to 100% and tighten export restrictions for software starting Nov. 1.

Yang An, an analyst at Haitong Futures, said that the current oil price is largely determined by the level of global oversupply as reflected in the changes in inventories.

The weekly inventory report will give traders a good idea of the demand in the United States. A preliminary poll indicated that U.S. crude stockpiles were likely to have increased last week while gasoline and distillate stocks are expected to be down.

Six analysts surveyed by estimated that on average crude inventories increased by around 200,000 barrels during the week ending October 10.

The American Petroleum Institute's weekly industry report is due at 4:30 pm EDT (2030 GMT), and the U.S. Energy Information Administration will release its data at 10:30 am EDT (1430 GMT), on Thursday.

The delay is due to Monday's Columbus Day/Indigenous Peoples' Day. (Reporting and editing by Sonali Paul; Sam Li, Jeslyn Lerh)

(source: Reuters)