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Asia shares recover as dollar eases, Fed reduces bets and reclaims spotlight

Asia shares recover as dollar eases, Fed reduces bets and reclaims spotlight

The Asian stock market staged a modest rebound on Wednesday. This was helped by the dovish remarks of Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell, and positive bank earnings in Wall Street. However, simmering U.S. - China trade tensions kept risk appetite at bay.

Powell said that the possibility of further rate reductions was still open on Tuesday, and that the long-term effort of the central banks to reduce the size of their holdings could be nearing its end.

Some viewed his comments as dovish. They lifted the markets slightly, and reinforced expectations for more easing in this year. By December, roughly 48 basis point worth of cuts will be priced into the market.

Tom Kenny is a senior international economist with ANZ. He said that the Fed could announce its intention to end quantitative tightening at the upcoming FOMC meeting in October.

We expect the Fed will cut 25bp in both October and December FOMC Meetings.

The market was also supported by the strong earnings of U.S. banks and the upward revision to the IMF's global growth forecast for 2025. This came after the market had fallen on signs of renewed tension in U.S. China trade relations.

The Nikkei gained 0.8%, after falling 2.6% the previous session.

Nasdaq and S&P futures both rose by about 0.1%.

Even so, the sentiment was fragile. On Tuesday, U.S. president Donald Trump said that Washington would consider terminating certain trade ties with China. This included in relation to cooking oils.

Both the U.S.A. and China have begun charging extra port fees to ocean shipping companies that transport everything from holiday toys, to crude oil.

The markets have been thrown into turmoil in recent sessions due to a rapid escalation of the U.S./China trade war. Trump announced an additional 100% duty on Chinese goods as retaliation against Beijing's dramatic expansion of export controls on rare Earths.

It does indicate that a lasting ceasefire is unlikely to be achieved easily. It's a reminder to the market that they are shooting these arrows, and then walking them back," said Tony Sycamore.

U.S. trade representative Jamieson Greer said separately on Tuesday that the timing of additional tariffs of 100% on China's exports to America depends on whether they kick in November 1, or earlier, but acknowledged that Beijing might find it difficult to find a way out.

POLITICAL UNCERTAINTY

Sebastien Lecornu, the French Prime Minister, promised to delay a historic pension reform until 2027, a measure that would provide some relief for investors.

EUROSTOXX50 futures gained 0.8% in Asia. FTSE and DAX Futures also rose by roughly 0.3%.

Juan Perez is the director of trading for Monex USA. He said: "I believe that anything that can bring relief to the squabbles within the French Parliament is an absolute victory."

The euro last traded at $1.1611 despite being largely insulated from France's political turmoil.

The Fed's cut bets weighed on the currency market as the dollar fell 0.25% to 151.42 yen and 0.06% to 0.8009 Swiss Franc.

The fragile risk sentiment also supported the safe-haven yen as well as the Swissie.

Spot gold, meanwhile, continued its record-breaking run, and last rose 0.9% to $4,179.80 per ounce. This was helped by the geopolitical, economic, and expectations of a U.S. interest rate cut.

Brent crude futures fell 0.1% to $62.33 per barrel while U.S. crude dipped 0.07% to $58.66.

(source: Reuters)