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Stocks reach new record highs on the back of trade optimism

On Monday, global stocks rose on the hope that U.S. Trade Negotiations with Key Partners would continue to advance. Meanwhile, the dollar fell and was on course for its worst performance in more than 50 years during the first half.

Canada has halted the digital services tax that was to be imposed on U.S. tech firms, just hours before its scheduled implementation. This is part of an effort to move forward with stalled negotiations between Washington and Ottawa.

Mark Carney, the Canadian Prime Minister, and Donald Trump, President of the United States will try to reach a trade agreement by July 21. This is an extension to Trump's July 9 deadline on "reciprocal tariffs".

Officials have said that most deals can now be completed by Labor Day, September 1, although the July 9 deadline is still valid for other countries.

Scott Bessent, U.S. Treasury secretary, said on Monday that countries should "be aware" that Trump could return to the April 2 tariff levels, when he announced a range of harsh duties against nations around the world. He also stated that any decision to extend negotiations will be made by Trump.

Trump said the deadline could be moved. The markets are also thinking that the Fed may cut interest rates sooner rather than later. There are many factors at play," said Dennis Dick of Triple D Trading, in Ontario, Canada.

Investors are confident in the market because they've seen some bad news, including some negative earnings reports. They buy back stocks immediately. Bulls are still in full control."

Wall Street saw modest gains after the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and financial stocks closed at record levels on Friday. Utilities were the worst performers of the 11 major S&P sector.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average increased 108.95, or 0.25 percent, to 43.928.53, while the S&P 500 gained 8.91, or 0.14 percent, to 6,181.98. And the Nasdaq Composite climbed 30.67, or 0.15 percent, to 20,302.84.

Investors are likely to be watching a number of labor market reports during the holiday-shortened week. The government payroll report on Thursday will be the highlight. The report will be released a day earlier, and the U.S. Stock Market will close on Friday because of the Independence Day holiday.

Some Fed officials have stated, including Jerome Powell as Chair, that the strength of labor market allows the central bank to delay cutting rates until it can better gauge the impact of Trump's tariffs on inflation.

Raphael Bostic, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, said that the economy is yet to feel the full effects of Trump's tariffs.

Investors also monitored the progress of the massive U.S. spending and tax-cutting bill that is slowly making its slow way through the Senate. The Republicans will attempt to pass the bill on Monday.

The Congressional Budget Office estimates that the bill will add $3.3 trillion in debt to the United States over a ten-year period, putting foreign demand for U.S. Treasury bonds at risk.

MSCI's global stock index rose 0.98 points or 0.10% to 915.73, and was on course for its third consecutive session of gains, after reaching an intraday high of 916.44.

STOXX 600, the pan-European index, fell by 0.29% but is still on track for its second consecutive quarterly gain despite a drop of more than 1%.

The dollar index (which measures the greenback in relation to a basket of currencies) fell by 0.14%, falling to 97.06; the euro rose by 0.24%, reaching $1.1747.

The dollar has been struggling all year due to expectations that the Fed will be more aggressive about cutting interest rates in the coming year after Powell is replaced. The dollar has dropped 10.5% in the first half of the year, marking its largest drop since 1973 when the U.S. switched to a freely-floating currency rate.

The yield on the benchmark U.S. 10 year notes dropped 0.8 basis points, to 4.275%.

U.S. crude dropped 0.96%, to $64.89 per barrel. Brent was down to $67.55 a barrel on the same day.

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(source: Reuters)