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Dollar edged down, stocks rise as US-China discussions in focus

The dollar fell on Monday as the United States and China began talks in London to settle a trade conflict between their two largest economies.

The trade dispute has now expanded to include restrictions on rare earths. This could cripple global supply chains and slow growth.

The talks will need to continue for a while before we can decide if there is any progress. Most investors are still hopeful for positive results, said Peter Andersen of Andersen Capital Management.

Wall Street saw the S&P 500, Nasdaq and the S&P 500 Tech sector all rise. The Dow fell modestly, with weakness at Travelers and McDonald's. Morgan Stanley downgraded McDonald's to "equal weight" rating.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 164.43, or 0.38 percent, to 42 598.44. The S&P 500 rose by 4.70, or 0.08 percent, to 6,005.06, and the Nasdaq Composite gained 91.29, or 0.47 percent, to 19,622.33.

The MSCI index of global stocks rose by 1.56 points or 0.17% to 893.52. This was the fifth time in six that the index had gained consecutively.

The STOXX 600 Index fell 0.08% in Europe.

The U.S. Dollar fell against most major currencies Monday as caution in anticipation of trade talks offset optimism about a better than expected U.S. Employment Report on Friday.

The U.S. economy data revealed that wholesale inventories in April increased amid a stockpiling in prescription medications in anticipation of tariffs by the Trump administration.

Investors will also be watching Wednesday's U.S. Inflation data, which may change expectations about the timing of rate cuts from the Federal Reserve. According to LSEG, the market currently prices in a 62% probability of a rate cut by at least 25 basis point at the central banks September meeting.

Fed officials are in an "all-out" period before the 18th of June policy decision.

The dollar index (which measures the greenback in relation to a basket of foreign currencies) fell 0.04%, reaching 99.07; the euro rose 0.11%, hitting $1.1407.

U.S. Treasury Sec. Scott Bessent will be joined by Commerce Sec. Howard Lutnick, and Trade Rep Jamieson Greer to represent Washington at the talks with China. U.S. president Donald Trump announced this in a post on social media.

China's Foreign Ministry announced Vice Premier He Lifeng would be in Britain to attend the first meeting of China-U.S. Economic and Trade Consultative Mechanism.

The yields on U.S. Treasury bonds were not much different at the beginning of the week after the Friday jobs report drove yields higher. The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. notes dropped 1.8 basis points, to 4.492%.

U.S. crude climbed 1.02% to $65.24 per barrel. Brent rose to $67.04 a barrel, up by 0.86% for the day. This was due to hopes that a trade agreement could improve the global economy outlook.

(source: Reuters)