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The dollar rises in global stock indexes on the back of trade optimism following US-UK agreement

The global equities market rose on Thursday. Wall Street was the best performer, and the dollar and Treasury yields were also up after the United States announced a new trade agreement with the United Kingdom.

The U.S. and UK trade agreement also helped boost the cryptocurrency market. It was the first trade deal announced this month after U.S. president Donald Trump began a 90-day suspension of trade tariffs in order to allow for negotiations.

The agreement, announced by Trump and British Premier Keirstarmer, maintains a 10% duty on imports from the UK, but reduces prohibitive U.S. tariffs on UK auto exports. The UK agreed to reduce its tariffs from 5.1% to 1.8% and allow greater access to U.S. products.

Investors waited with anticipation for the planned talks between U.S. officials and Chinese officials to take place in Switzerland this weekend. This could be a first step towards reducing the trade war that has been raging between the two largest economies of the world.

Mona Mahajan is the head of investment strategy for Edward Jones. She said that there was growing optimism about trade deals. Not only the UK deal announced today but also what could happen over the weekend. The S&P 500 index has increased sharply since April's lows.

The sectors that were leading higher during that period of time have been procyclical and pro-growth segments, such as financials, and even discretionary products to a certain extent.

At 02:52 p.m. on Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average increased by 513.68, or 1.25% to 41,627.65. The S&P 500 also rose by 70.15, or 1.25% to 5,701.43, and the Nasdaq Composite gained 314.61 points or 1.77% to 18,052.77.

The S&P 500 index rose for the first time above its intra-day high of April 2, which was the last session prior to Trump's announcement of tariffs against the largest U.S. trading partner on Liberation Day. The CBOE Volatility Index, also known by Wall Street as its fear gauge, reached its lowest level since the beginning of April.

MSCI's global index of stocks rose by 4.60 points or 0.55% to 848.63. The pan-European STOXX 600 closed earlier up 0.4%.

The U.S. Federal Reserve waited and saw on Wednesday about interest rates, and warned of the risks associated with higher inflation and unemployment as it navigated through the uncertainty brought by Trump's new trade policies.

The U.S. Dollar gained against the safe haven currencies of the yen, and the Swiss Franc, as the market was calmed down by the U.S./UK agreement. Sterling reversed its gains after the Bank of England cut interest rates. Sterling fell 0.14% to $1.327.

The dollar index (which measures the greenback in relation to a basket of currencies, including the yen, the euro and others) rose by 0.75%, reaching 100.64.

Will Compernolle is a macro-strategist at FHN Financial, Chicago. He said that there is optimism about this deal being a model for future deals. However, it is not going to change the U.S. economic response in a dramatic way.

The dollar gained 1.43% against the Japanese yen to reach 145.88.

The central banks of Sweden and Norway have hinted that they may also lower rates in the second half of this year. The Swedish crown fell 0.58% against the dollar, to 9.727.

Bitcoin rose 4.75%, to $101,365.21. Etherium rose 14.73%, to $2,063.37.

The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. notes increased 9.4 basis point to 4.369% from 4.275% on Wednesday. Meanwhile, 30-year bond rates rose 5.9 basis to 4.8305%.

The yield on the 2-year note, which is typically in line with Fed policy regarding interest rates, increased 10 basis points from late Wednesday to 3.893%.

Crude futures rose on hopes for a breakthrough in the trade talks between China and the United States, the two world's largest oil consumers.

Brent crude ended the day at $62.84 a barrel, up by 2.81% or $1.72. This erased the previous days losses.

The UK-U.S. agreement has raised the prospect of other deals.

Spot gold dropped 1.7% to $3307.02 per ounce. U.S. Gold Futures dropped 2.29% to an ounce of $3,304.10. Reporting by Sinead carew, Gertrude Chavez, Marc Jones, Editing by Chizu nomiyama Will Dunham, Nia Williams

(source: Reuters)