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Dollar gains and optimism about US/UK trade deal boost global stock markets

Dollar and Treasury yields rose on Thursday, after U.S. president Donald Trump announced a trade deal with Britain a day after the U.S. Federal Reserve opted to wait and see on interest rates.

Bitcoin gained 4.83%, reaching $101,440.22. Ethereum grew by 14.72%, to $2 063.23. The U.S. and British trade agreement is the first announced deal since Trump initiated a 90-day pause in tariffs imposed by his administration on many U.S. Trading Partners a month earlier to give time for negotiations with other countries. Investors also await planned talks between U.S. officials and Chinese officials scheduled for the weekend in Switzerland. This could be a first step to reducing the damaging trade conflict between the two largest economies in the world.

Investors have shown signs of frustration over the lack concrete details this week, despite being enthusiastic about the Trump administration's signals that it is in trade negotiations over the last month.

Gene Goldman said that investors are relieved to see that progress is being made on trade agreements. He added that it "seems like the administration is going in the right direction."

Goldman added that the U.S. and British agreement, which is still under development, "provides some optimism heading into weekend negotiations with China." Indexes on Wall Street extended gains following the announcement. At 11:51 am (1551 GMT), Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 573.16, or 1.39 percent, to 41.685.11, S&P 500 gained 77.14, or 1.37 percent, to 5,708.56, and Nasdaq Composite increased by 311.92, or 1.76 percent, to 18,050.09.

The MSCI index of global stocks rose by 5.72 points or 0.68% to 849.75, while the pan-European STOXX 600 rose by 0.44.

Investors are still digesting Wednesday's U.S. Federal Reserve policy update, in which it maintained its interest rate range at 4.25%-4.5% for the third consecutive meeting.

As it navigated the economic uncertainty caused by Trump's policies, the U.S. Central Bank warned of increased risks for higher inflation and unemployment.

The pound has lost ground in terms of currencies after the recent trade agreement and the widely anticipated quarter-point cut by the Bank of England. Sterling fell 0.14% to $1.327.

The dollar index measures the greenback in relation to a basket including the yen, the euro and other currencies.

The price of 100.44 rose by 0.55%.

The dollar gained 1.16% against the Japanese yen to reach 145.49. Sweden and Norway have also hinted that they may also lower rates in the second half of this year. The Swedish crown fell 0.48% against the dollar, to 9.704.

The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. notes increased 5.5 basis point to 4.33% from 4.275% on Wednesday. Meanwhile, the 30-year bond's yield increased 2.9 basis points, to 4.8011%.

The yield on the 2-year note, which moves typically in line with Fed expectations for interest rates, increased 7.3 basis points from 3.793% to 3.866%. On the commodities market, oil futures, which had dropped by more than $1 Wednesday, rose on Thursday on hopes that the United States will reach a trade agreement with China, the two biggest oil consumers in the world.

U.S. crude climbed 3.29%, to $59.98 per barrel. Brent rose to $62.93 a barrel, up by 2.96% for the day.

Spot gold dropped 1.09% to $3.327.49 per ounce. U.S. Gold Futures dropped 1.48% to an ounce of $3,331.30. (Reporting and editing by Sinead carew, Johann M Cherian and Marc Jones, with Chizu Nomiyama, Will Dunham, and Will Dunham).

(source: Reuters)