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Oil prices rise despite a gloomy economic outlook and a potential OPEC+ production hike

Oil prices rise despite a gloomy economic outlook and a potential OPEC+ production hike

The oil prices rose in the early trading on Monday, but remained dogged with uncertainty about trade talks between China and the U.S. This clouded the outlook for growth in the world and fuel demand. Meanwhile, the prospect of OPEC+ increasing supply added to the gloom.

Brent crude futures were up 22 cents at 0429 GMT, to $67.09 per barrel. U.S. West Texas intermediate crude was up 24 cents to 63.326 per barrel.

The benchmarks both moved higher in a third session.

Michael McCarthy, CEO of Moomoo Australia's online trading platform said: "The lack of news is pushing crude oil prices modestly up as traders are positioned ahead of a potential increase in OPEC+ production from the May 5, 2015 meeting and a substantial production boost in the USA."

When they meet on 5 May, some members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC+) and their allies are expected to suggest the group increases oil production for a second month in a row.

Brent and WTI fell by more than 1 percent last week due to fears of an oversupply, and the potential impact of tariffs.

Markets have been rocked with conflicting signals coming from U.S. president Donald Trump and Beijing about the progress being made in de-escalating a trade dispute that threatens global growth.

"Market players will continue to look for a thaw of the U.S. - China trade war as a chance to buy," said Vandana Hari. She is the founder of Vanda Insights, a provider of oil market analyses.

Scott Bessent, the U.S. Treasury secretary, did not support Trump's claim that talks with China are in progress. Beijing had earlier denied that any negotiations were underway.

Participants at the International Monetary Fund Spring Meetings and World Bank Spring Meetings stated that Trump's Administration was still conflicted about its demands of trading partners who were hit by his tariffs.

Investors will also be watching the nuclear talks that are taking place between Iran and United States this week in Oman. Abbas Araqchi, the Iranian Foreign Minister, said that he was "extremely conservative" in his assessment of the outcome of the talks.

State media reported that a powerful blast at Iran's largest port, Bandar Abbas, has left at least 40 dead and more than 1,200 injured.

Top officials of the Trump administration on Sunday pressed Russia to move forward with a peace agreement following the one-on-one summit between Trump and Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelenskiy, which took place at the Vatican the day before. Reporting by Mohi N. Narayan, New Delhi; Florence Tan, Singapore; and Lincoln Feast. Editing by Sonali P. and Lincoln F.

(source: Reuters)