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Oil prices drop on Ukraine aid pause and tariffs, as well as OPEC+ production increase

Oil prices drop on Ukraine aid pause and tariffs, as well as OPEC+ production increase

The oil prices fell on Tuesday, after U.S. president Donald Trump suspended military aid to Ukraine. Markets were also preparing for the impending U.S. tariffs against Canada, Mexico and China.

Brent futures dropped 54 cents or 0.75% to $71.08 per barrel at 0149 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI), however, fell 36 cents or 0.53% to $68.01.

A White House official confirmed on Monday that all U.S. Military Aid to Ukraine has been halted following Trump's clash in the Oval Office with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy last Thursday.

The market has seen the increasing distance between the White House, and Ukraine, as a possible easing of conflict. This could lead to Russia being relieved of sanctions and more oil returning to the market.

Sources said that the pause was prompted by a report that, as part of the talks with Moscow in the next few days, the White House had asked the State Department and Treasury to create a list with sanctions that might be eased.

Goldman Sachs analysts, however, have stated that sanctions are not the main constraint on Russian oil flow. Instead it is Russia's OPEC+ target production.

Prices are also affected by the decision of OPEC+, which is the first time since 2022 that it will increase oil production. On Monday, oil prices dropped 2% and reached a 12-week-low on news reports as well as concerns that new U.S. Tariffs would hurt the global economy.

Trump's 25% tariffs will take effect on Tuesday at 12:01 am EST (0501 GMT). Canadian energy imports will be subject to 10% tariffs, and imports of Chinese goods from 10% to 20%. Analysts predict that the tariffs will have a negative impact on economic activity, fuel demand and oil prices.

Market participants are unable to assess the impact of Trump's recent energy policy announcements. BMI analysts said in a recent note that those who are weighing down, such as U.S. Tariff measures, currently have the upper hand. (Reporting and editing by Colleen Freed; Reporting by Colleen Waye)

(source: Reuters)