Latest News

Stocks, shorter-dated Treasury yields lower after CPI information

International stocks slipped for the first time in three sessions while shorter-dated U.S. Treasury yields dipped as somewhat higher than expected U.S. inflation information and a dive in weekly unemployed claims did not reduce expectations the Fed will cut rates in November.

U.S.

consumer prices rose

( CPI) slightly more than anticipated in September in the middle of higher food expenses, however the yearly boost in inflation was the tiniest in more than 3-1/2 years. The Labor Department stated the customer cost index increased 0.2% last month after getting 0.2% in August, a little above expectations of economists surveyed for a 0.1% rise.

In the 12 months through September, the CPI rose 2.4%. versus the 2.3% estimate.

Other information showed weekly preliminary

unemployed claims leapt

33,000 recently to a seasonally changed 258,000, well. above the 230,000 estimate, although the climb was partially. credited to distortions from Hurricane Helene.

The information helped strengthen expectations the Federal. Reserve with cut interest rates next month, with CME's

FedWatch Tool

revealing markets pricing in an 87.1% possibility for a cut of 25. basis points (bps), up from 80.3% in the previous session.

The market had been pricing in a 32.1% opportunity for. another outsized cut of 50 bps a week ago.

Inflation was a little hotter than anticipated in. September. Inflation expectations relocate tandem with energy. rates, so the Fed will have to start providing equal airtime to. worries about inflation moving greater and the economy slowing. Goods cost deflation won't be enough to counterbalance greater. energy and food rates, stated Brian Jacobsen, primary economist at. Annex Wealth Management in Menomonee Falls, Wisconsin.

The market swung from thinking the Fed was too timid in. its rate cut forecasts to being a bit enthusiastic.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 84.06. points, or 0.20%, to 42,427.45; the S&P 500 fell 15.15. points, or 0.26%, to 5,777.02 and the Nasdaq Composite. fell 60.79 points, or 0.33%, to 18,230.82. Both the Dow and S&P. 500 closed at record highs on Wednesday.

MSCI's gauge of stocks around the world. fell 1.02 points, or 0.12%, to 847.62, on track to snap. back-to-back sessions of gains. In Europe, the STOXX 600. index fell 0.21%.

Markets have been dialing back expectations the Fed will be. aggressive in cutting rate of interest after Friday's strong U.S. payrolls report. Remarks from Fed Chair Jerome Powell and other. reserve bank officials have actually signified the Fed has moved its. main focus from combating inflation to labor market. stability.

Chicago Federal Reserve Bank Austan Goolsbee said after. the CPI data that he sees a series of interest-rate cuts over. the next year to year and a half, noting that inflation is now. near the Fed's 2% objective and the economy has to do with at full. employment, and the Fed's goal is to freeze those conditions in. location.

The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes. rose 2.9 basis indicate 4.096% while the 2-year note. yield, which typically moves in step with interest rate. expectations, fell 2.6 basis points to 3.991%.

The dollar index, which determines the greenback. versus a basket of currencies, rose 0.13% to 103.01, with the. euro down 0.21% at $1.0916.

Against the Japanese yen, the dollar weakened 0.42%. to 148.66. Bank of Japan Deputy Guv Ryozo Himino stated on. Thursday the central bank will think about raising interest rates. if the board has higher confidence that its financial and. rate forecasts will be understood.

Sterling weakened 0.28% to $1.3032.

Oil prices advanced after two sessions of decrease, increased. by a spike in fuel demand as Cyclone Milton barreled into. Florida, with Middle East supply threats also in focus.

U.S. crude rose 2.13% to $74.80 a barrel and Brent. increased to $78.27 per barrel, up 2.21% on the day.

(source: Reuters)