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Asia shares stumble; political uncertainty grips euro

Asian stocks sank on Monday as traders heavily pared back on bets for Federal Reserve rate cuts this year given a stilltight U.S. labour market, while a snap election contact France stimulated broader political concerns and weighed on the euro.

Trading was thinned in Asia with Australia, China, Hong Kong and Taiwan out for public vacations, but MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan still slumped 0.46%.

U.S. futures relieved a little, with S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq futures down about 0.03% each, while the dollar was back on the front foot.

The halt in the international threat rally began the back of Friday's nonfarm payrolls report which revealed the U.S. economy created even more tasks than anticipated in May and yearly wage growth reaccelerated, highlighting the resilience of the labour market.

Futures now reveal roughly 36 basis points (bps) worth of cuts priced in for the Fed, below 50 bps recently. The chances for a reducing cycle beginning in September have likewise extended.

The latest advancements come ahead of the Fed's policy choice on Wednesday, with U.S. inflation figures for May due right before that.

It's going to be extremely tough for the Fed to continue predicting 3 rate cuts this year, said Rob Carnell, ING's. local head of research for Asia-Pacific.

Many of the Fed speakers are talking about the. possibility of simply one (cut). While the most likely result is. we'll see the 3 transfer to two, it is possible we simply get a. transfer to one.

U.S. Treasury yields likewise increased on Monday, reflecting. the higher-for-longer U.S. rate expectations.

The two-year yield and standard 10-year yield. each ticked up about 1 bp to 4.8826% and 4.4414%,. respectively.

Versus the dollar, the yen fell 0.1% to 156.87. The dollar index, which determines the greenback against a. basket of six peers, firmed to 105.10.

Japan's Nikkei benefited from the weaker yen and. rose 0.42%.

The Bank of Japan (BOJ) likewise holds its two-day financial. policy meeting this week and could provide fresh assistance on how. it prepares to downsize on its massive bond purchases.

SNAP ELECTION

Over in France, President Emmanuel Macron on Sunday called. snap legal elections for later on this month after he was. trounced in the European Union vote by Marine Le Pen's far-right. party.

Macron's shock choice triggered a political earthquake in. France, providing the far-right a shot at genuine political power. after years on the sidelines and threatening to sterilize his. presidency three years before it ends.

The euro tumbled to a one-month low in the wake of. the announcement in the middle of growing uncertainty over Europe's future. political instructions. It was last 0.25% lower at $1.07735.

Futures similarly fell, with EUROSTOXX 50 futures. losing 0.38% while FTSE futures moved 0.7%. French bond. futures shed 0.2%.

Macron's decision, viewed as a calculated risk, comes as he. battles with a parliamentary majority, making legislative. development tough, said Shier Lee Lim, Convera's APAC lead FX. and macro strategist.

We remain bearish on the (euro) in the short-term.

In products, oil prices last traded greater, reversing. small falls from earlier in the session owing to a stronger. dollar.

Brent crude futures acquired 0.13% to $79.72 a barrel,. while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures ticked. up 0.16% to $75.65 per barrel.

Spot gold increased 0.18% to $2,296.65 an ounce.

(source: Reuters)