Latest News

International shares acquire on rate cut bets; yen weakens

A gauge of global stock exchange increased on Monday on optimism that major central banks will cut interest rates this year, while the yen weakened against the dollar after a strong rise recently from Japan's. presumed currency intervention.

Stocks on both sides of the Atlantic rose, with the three. major indices on Wall Street in the green as a. softer-than-expected U.S. labor market report recently slashed. bets that the Federal Reserve might hike rates this year.

The dollar index, a step of the U.S. currency. against six major trading peers, was lower for a fourth straight. session after information revealed the most affordable jobs gain because October,. easing issues the Fed would keep rates greater for longer.

Fed Chairman Jerome Powell informed the marketplace that a hike was. unlikely. Those were his words, 'not likely,' and therefore they. took that to indicate that he wants to cut, said Brad Conger, chief. financial investment officer at Hirtle Callaghan & & Co. in Conshohocken,. Pennsylvania.

But the outlook on rates is still uncertain as the market. hopes rates are restrictive enough to slow the economy and the. speed of inflation, Conger stated.

That's a rare linkage, IE, meaning it's a leap of faith. to think that inflation goes away since activity slows. down, he said. That's the orthodox view.

On Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average increased. 0.17%, the S&P 500 got 0.55% and the Nasdaq Composite. innovative 0.60%.

In Europe, the pan-regional STOXX 600 likewise was. positive, up 0.52%, on indications the European Reserve bank is more. positive about cutting rates as euro zone inflation continues. to reduce, 3 ECB policymakers stated.

Philip Lane, Gediminas Simkus and Boris Vujcic said. separately that the inflation and development data cemented their. belief that euro zone inflation, which was 2.4% in April, will. slow to the reserve bank's 2% target by the middle of next year.

MSCI's gauge of stocks around the world increased. 0.54%.

The dollar held broadly stable, leaving the euro up. 0.15% at $1.0774, while sterling strengthened 0.22% to. $ 1.2571.

In Europe, Goldman Sachs raised its 2024 EPS growth forecast. for STOXX 600 companies to 6% from 3% earlier, the bank. stated in a note on Friday.

According to Goldman, a 10% yearly increase in Brent rates adds. about 2.5 portion indicate yearly EPS development, and a 10%. weaker euro/dollar exchange rate adds about the same.

Treasury yields ticked higher as investors assessed last. week's controlled task production, which reinforced view that the U.S. economy was not overheating enough to hinder a rate cut.

The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes rose. 1.2 basis indicate 4.512%, up from 4.5% late on Friday.

Traders are now pricing in 48 basis points of Fed rate cuts. by year end, with the first cut likely in September, according. to LSEG's rate likelihood app. In current weeks, traders had. priced in just one cut due to signs of sticky inflation.

With public holidays in the UK and Japan, markets in. mainland China and Europe got off to an upbeat start likewise. enjoying the glow from renewed U.S. optimism.

Oil rates were also in focus on the prospects of Saudi. Arabian cost walkings and rising stress in the Middle East, with. U.S. crude up 0.56% to $78.55 a barrel and Brent. greater at $83.39 per barrel, up 0.52% on the day.

On Monday, Israel's military contacted Palestinian civilians. to evacuate Rafah as part of a minimal scope operation, but. did not immediately validate media reports this was part of. preparation for a ground attack.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan. peaked at its greatest level because February 2023. and closed 0.66% higher, while China's blue-chip index. wound up 1.5%.

Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index rose 4.7% recently and. on Friday clocked its longest daily winning streak given that 2018,. closing on Monday 0.55% higher.

INTERVENTION ENJOY

Elsewhere, traders stayed on alert for additional volatility. in the yen, after last week's bouts of suspected intervention. from Japanese authorities to stop a sharp slide in the currency.

Tokyo is suspected of having spent more than 9 trillion yen. ($ 59 billion) to support its currency last week, as suggested by. information from Bank of Japan, taking the yen from a 34-year low of. 160.245 per dollar to an approximately one-month high of 151.86 over. the period of a week.

The yen gave back a few of those gains on Monday and. was last 0.63% lower against the greenback at 153.95 per dollar.

Spot gold added 0.9% to $2,322.19 an ounce.

Bitcoin got 0.30% to $63,119.00.

(source: Reuters)