Latest News

Energy and shipping disruptions in the Middle East are causing a rise in forward contracts

The price of European forward power contracts increased again on Tuesday as a result of 'higher gas and oil prices'. This was due to the intensification of the conflict between Iran and the United States after Iran targeted ships that were passing through the Strait of Hormuz?. Some energy infrastructures have also been closed.

Around 20% of the world's LNG transits the Strait of Hormuz. Traders fear that a suspension or complete closure would lead to a global increase in competition and higher prices for other gas sources. Fox News reported that Iranian officials have vowed to shut down the Strait of Hormuz, but U.S. Central Command has said it is still open despite Iranian officials' statements.

Ajay Parmar is the Director of Energy and Refining for ICIS. He said that if we see a prolonged conflict, and the Strait is out of use for a long period of time, then 'all countries will be competing to get every barrel of oil possible and this could push the price of oil up into the triple digits. On Monday, oil and LNG infrastructure was also closed. Qatar has halted production of LNG.

At 0858 GMT the German baseload year-ahead contract had risen 5.6% to 85 euros ($98.80), while its equivalent French price increased by 3.5%, reaching 54 euros/MWh.

Contracts arose based on the expected fall in wind energy supplies.

LSEG data show that the German 'day-ahead basisload?power contract has increased 26.3%, to 131.75 Euros/MWh.

The French equivalent contract increased 10.3% at 64 euros/MWh.

LSEG data shows that German wind power production is expected to 'fall by 4.8 gigawatts to 5.1 GW on Wednesday, while French wind generation is projected to 'rise by 1.6 GW - to 4.6 GW.

The French nuclear power capacity fell by five percentage points, to 79% total capacity, as two reactors were forced offline due to unplanned outages.

(source: Reuters)