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Japan's economy grew faster than expected in the first quarter

Data showed that Japan's economy grew by an annualised 2.1% in the first quarter. This was a good sign before the Middle East conflict caused a shock to the energy market.

The rise in Japan's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) exceeded the median market expectation of a 1.7% increase and came after a 0.8% increase?in October-December.

The economy grew by 0.5% on a quarterly basis compared to the median market expectation of a 0.4% increase.

Analysts predict that growth will slow down in the next quarters due to the 'fallout' from the Middle East conflict which has led to a 'unprecedented disruption of global energy supplies.

The government's data revealed that private consumption, which makes up more than half the GDP of Japan, increased by 0.3%, as opposed to market expectations for a 0.2% increase.

Exports less imports added 0.3 percentage points to the growth. Analysts polled had predicted a contribution of?a 0.2 percent.

The data showed that capital expenditures grew by 0.3% between January and March, compared to market expectations of a 0.2% increase.

Iran has effectively closed the Strait of Hormuz as a response to U.S. and Israeli attacks that began on 28 February. Oil prices have soared, fueling fears of supply disruptions.

Japan is particularly vulnerable to energy shocks due to its heavy reliance on Middle East oil imports. The rising fuel prices are driving up inflation and impacting corporate profits as well as the broader economy.

The Bank of Japan has sent out a series of hawkish messages that have led the markets to assume a high probability of an interest rate hike in June.

(source: Reuters)