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Saudi crude oil supply to China remains at record low
Saudi Arabian crude oil sales to China will likely remain at record lows this month as the high 'prices' in the wake of the U.S. and Israeli war on Iran continue to impact demand. Market participants closely monitor the allocations as a measure of Chinese demand. They indicate that refiners are reluctant to import barrels at high prices after run cuts, and because they have exhausted their domestic stocks. Saudi Aramco will ship 12 million barrels to China customers for July loading. This is about 387.096 barrels a day. Sources'requested anonymity because they weren't authorized to speak with the media. According to?sources, Sinopec is the largest refiner in the world by processing capacity. It has not bought any Saudi crude since the second month. Rongsheng Petrochemical, another major refiner was also buying at much lower levels than before the war. Aramco's July 'official selling prices' to Asia were cut by $6 per barrel compared to the previous month. However, they still remained much higher than pre-war levels. Refiners have cut back on runs in China due to high crude prices and low fuel demand, which led to refining losses. This resulted in the lowest oil imports for a decade in May. Aramco, Sinopec and Rongsheng didn't immediately respond to comments. (Reporting and editing by Christopher Cushing in Singapore, Thomas Derpinghaus and Siyi Liu)
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Fuel stations run out of fuel in Crimea after a new night of Ukrainian drone attacks
Witnesses reported that fuel stations in the Russian-held Crimean Peninsula?were?out of petrol on Thursday as the escalating Ukrainian campaign to cut off supply lines into the peninsula?. A? A witness in Sevastopol said that most petrol stations in the city were out of fuel. Supplies are struggling to keep up even with the recent rationing. Another said that in Yevpatoriya's resort town, there was a queue of people waiting outside the only petrol station. Ukraine has intensified drone strikes against supply lines for the peninsula that Russia captured from Kyiv in 2014. Local authorities have implemented fuel rationing, and some food is also in short supply. The Russian-backed governor of Sevastopol, Mikhail Razvozhaev, said on Wednesday that the plans to distribute rationed fuel?had been pushed back because trucks were unable to deliver the fuel into Sevastopol, due recent Ukrainian strikes along supply routes. Fuel is mainly delivered by rail and road to Crimea via the Russian territories in the north that Moscow took over in 2022. Drone attacks have disrupted these routes more and more. Fuel was previously delivered to Crimea via barge from an oil terminal located in the city Feodosia. However, supplies have been cut since Ukraine attacked the terminal in April. The governor of Sevastopol who was installed by Moscow said that Ukrainian drones caused a light amount of damage over night, and 33 were downed. The Russian-backed Governor of the Moscow-held Kherson region which borders Crimea on the north said that Ukraine had targeted bridges and caused some damage. Authorities reported that Kyiv struck southern Russia over night, causing damage, including an 'incident at the Afipsky Oil Refinery, which has since been put out. The Adygea governor also reported damage to civil infrastructure in the area. Reporting by Felix Light in Sevastopol, Yevpatoriya; Editing by Alex Richardson
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South Korea anticipates favorable outcome following Lee's EU Steel Request
A senior South Korean adviser to the president said that the European Union would give maximum consideration to South Korea’s request for favorable?treatment of their?steelmakers, under the new import regime. The request was made by the South Korean president Lee Jae Myung during a Wednesday meeting in Brussels with Antonio Costa, President of the European Council and Ursula von der Leyen, President of European Commission. Kim Yong Beom, a presidential policy advisor, told a press briefing that Lee had asked the EU to "consider" South Korea's status as a strategic?partner and a?partner in a free trade agreement. Kim said that the EU had stated it would?consider our request as far as possible", adding South Korea was expecting a better outcome than other countries. Kim stated that South Korea made "significant progress" during the talks between its minister of trade and the EU's trade commissioner regarding steel quota volume. The European Parliament approved plans in May to reduce tariff-free imports of steel by almost half, from levels in 2024 to 18.3 millions metric tons per year. Tariffs of 50% will be applied to volumes over that level. South Korea's largest steel export market is the EU. Kim said that South Korea exported 3.24 million tonnes of steel to the EU last year, out of a total of 28.25 millions tons. Kim reported that Lee raised other economic issues, such as cooperation in semiconductors, defence and artificial intelligence, with EU leaders. Heejin Lee and Joyce Lee, Sonali Paul and Ed Davies edited the report.
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World Bank predicts Indonesia's GDP will slow to 5% by 2026 due to fiscal pressures
The World Bank announced on Thursday that Indonesian economic growth is 'expected to slow down to 5% by 2026 due to an ambitious spending program and the increasing cost of fuel subsidies as a result of the 'Iran war. The World Bank's forecast is lower than Indonesian growth projections, which range from 5.4% to 6.0%. Investors are worried about the spending plans of President Prabowo, and fuel subsidies from the state budget have ballooned. "The 2026 projection reflects stronger-than-expected Q1 outcomes and frontloaded public spending, rather ?than a more benign external environment or assessment of risks," the World Bank's assessment of Indonesia's economy said. The report said that the growth rate depends on the ability of fiscal stimuli to drive public consumption. This brings risk due to the limited room for manoeuvre when it comes to spending. The report stated that "Higher oil costs increased the cost of energy subsides and compensation while the depreciation of the rupiah increased the external debt servicing costs." The World Bank has called for the government to readjust fuel subsides gradually to reduce the fiscal pressure. Indonesia uses state funds to maintain fuel prices at the same level, in an effort to boost public support. It raised the prices of only two kinds of gasoline widely used by?32% in this week, a move that analysts interpreted to be a recalibration of policy. The World Bank warned that generalised subsidy?ends up benefiting wealthy households instead of vulnerable sections?of the population. Indonesians are very sensitive about fuel prices. The recent increase in fuel prices has led to protests all over the 280 million-person archipelago. The report stated that the oil shock presented an opportunity to "reform the subvention programme" and move towards more targeted assistance, such as cash transfers to the 40% poorest households and reallocation of savings to social protection and investments. (Reporting and editing by David Stanway; Stanley Widianto)
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US State Department: US official killed in Myanmar
According to the U.S. State Department a senior American official died in Myanmar’s commercial capital, Yangon. Two sources confirmed this on Thursday. The incident occurred at a hotel in Myanmar last month. A spokesperson for the State Department said: "We confirm the death of a U.S. Government employee assigned to U.S. embassy Rangoon." The spokesperson did not provide any additional information. Rangoon was the name of Yangon in its colonial days. We have no more information at this time, out of respect for privacy and the loved ones of the deceased. According to two sources familiar with the case who declined to give their names due to the sensitive nature of the issue, the official was located at 'Yangon's Sakura Residence & Hotel', one of the main diplomatic hubs in the city. The hotel staff who were contacted by telephone declined to comment. And the local police station did not respond to requests for comments. The Associated Press reported on the incident first and said that a Thai woman was detained for the death. Could not independently and immediately verify the details. The Thai Foreign Ministry declined to comment on the matter, saying that it was a question of consular assistance. A police investigation is also ongoing. Since the military took power through a coup in February '2021, Aung San Suu Kyi, Nobel laureate and other members of her government were arrested. The military took over the country, triggering widespread protests and a civil conflict that pitted them against a coalition of prodemocracy resistance forces and ethnic minorities armies. Min Aung Hlaing, the former head of the military junta, was sworn in to the office of president in early April. This followed a heavily criticised election, which was rigged by the military and conducted during the heights conflict. Reporting by Simon Lewis and Washington D.C. staff; Writing by Devjyot Ghoshal, Editing by Thomas Derpinghaus
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Onitsuka Tiger, the 'Kill Bill" sneaker brand from Asics, is slated for global expansion.
Asics, the company that makes its Onitsuka Tiger sneakers famous for their yellow and black color scheme, has announced a global expansion in order to capitalize on the booming demand of retro style shoes. However, analysts say this ambitious plan could threaten its margins. Onitsuka, represented by the sneakers worn by Uma Thurman, in the hit 2003 movie "Kill Bill", and a Bruce Lee version, which is tied to the martial artist, will be opening flagship stores in Europe, as well as the United States. The weakened yen has led to a shopping frenzy in Japan. The sales grew by around a third during the quarter between January and March. This resulted in a profit margin that was the highest of all Asics businesses at about 40%. Mark Chadwick is an analyst at Smartkarma who warns that the new structure of the brand could put its margins in danger. He said that the "exceptional margins", which are a result of becoming a stand-alone business, may be harder to maintain, because it incurs costs. The business is also at risk due to its "capital intensive" strategy, opening flagship stores. Onitsuka Tiger, a nearly 80-year old brand, traces its roots to a shoe company founded in Kobe, Japan, in 1949 by Kihachiro Onitsuka. However, the Mexico line, featuring the iconic stripes, was only introduced in 1966 after products like basketball shoes. In that decade, Phil Knight, the co-founder of Nike, met with officials from Onitsuka and began importing the running shoes produced by the company in the United States. In 2002, Asics launched Onitsuka Tiger again in Europe. The classic design was revived as a fashion label. Ivan Su is an analyst with Morningstar. He said: "Onitsuka Tiger benefited from the consumers' preference for minimalist shoes over maximalist shoes that have lots of cushioning." In recent years, the popularity of Onitsuka Tiger has soared, thanks to a renewed interest in retro-inspired trainers. FATIGUE WITH BIG SNAKER DOMINANCE Asics announced on Wednesday that Onitsuka Tiger, a brand with a value of $20 billion, would be transferred via a?split' to OT Group. This is a fully-owned subsidiary. The company stated that there are no plans to list. Analysts believe that the spin-off will make it easier for Asics if necessary to change its ownership structure. Chadwick stated that "the move does unlock value, but it lays a foundation for the market's recognition of OT as a fundamentally new business with fundamentally new economics." Onitsuka Tiger, which has almost 200 stores in the world, plans to add more this year. These will be located in countries like China, Italy, and South Korea. The company plans to return to the U.S. in February next year with a new store in Los Angeles. This will be three years after it closed a New York-based outlet. Glenn McMahon is a Los Angeles-based fashion and retail brand consultant. McMahon stated that "the brand benefits from... increasing consumer interest in other sneaker brands, and growing fatigue with Nike and Adidas dominance." RUNNING FOR GLOBAL GLOBAL EXPANSION Designs such as pink cherry flowers highlight the Japanese roots. The company sells a premium line of "Nippon Made", which is handmade in a small village in western Japan. Kaito Hikino, an American student at a college, said that Onitsuka Tiger shoes have "the vintage feeling with the novelty for the U.S. Market and the exotic vibe." He purchased a pair Mexico 66 TGRs for his girlfriend during a recent family trip to Japan. Most of his female friends in the United States also own Onitsuka Tiger shoes. The brand has stores on swanky streets such as London's Regent Street or the Champs-Elysees, in Paris. Shintaro Umeda, an analyst at Nomura Securities, said that "we think some prior investment will be required", including opening directly managed shops in major U.S. Cities and strengthening advertising. Onitsuka Tigers is always mentioned as one of the must-dos when looking at online lists for things to do in Japan. This was said by Brazilian Ana Lebl who visited Japan after graduating high school in America. "I found them online around?a year back through resellers, but they were always much more costly," said Lebl who purchased a pair Mexico 66SD trainers in Tokyo. Kenya?Matsuo, an analyst at SMBC Nikko, said in a recent note that "we would expect steeper growth if the company accelerated its store openings compared with its current cautious approach." Global heavyweights like Nike, Adidas and Puma have their own minimalist shoe lines. One analyst stated that fashion is fickle, and Onitsuka could lose its footing. Su, of Morningstar, said: "We've seen a number of companies do something similar to what Onitsuka Tiger did with the Mexico 66 Model and fashion trends are beyond their control." The Onitsuka Tiger has been popular for some time, but we believe that this might fade over the next few years, which will affect margins.
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German construction sector warns that the downturn is not over and urges for faster action
The German construction industry hasn't?yet recovered from its downturn. A tentative recovery is being impacted by a?new?geopolitical?price shock. Marcus Nachbauer of the Bundesvereinigungbauwirtschaft said that the conflict in the Middle East with its temporary 'closure of Strait of Hormuz had pushed up energy and raw materials prices, burdening companies already'suffering' from weak demand. Nachbauer said that bitumen, cement and concrete, plastics, heating oil, diesel, and diesel fuel have all risen in price within the last few weeks. He cited a survey where 80% of respondents reported a rise in plastics and bitumen prices. In 2025, the member companies of the association will generate revenues in excess of EUR432 billion (US$500 billion), a nominal increase by 0.8%, mostly due to price effects. The association anticipates that revenue in 2026 will?remain at the same level as last year, but only because?higher price offsets weaker construction volume. Nachbauer stated that Germany needs faster planning and approval procedures, reliable housing subsides?and infrastructure investments that reach municipalities. He said that "building is economic policy" and added that the sector could help lift Germany out from stagnation if the conditions improved.
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Gold recovers from a six-month low, US inflation data is in focus
Investors?bought? the metal at a bargain price on Thursday as they awaited a crucial U.S. Inflation Report that could influence Federal Reserve policy. Gold spot rose 0.7% by 0741 GMT to $4,103.74 an ounce, after having fallen as low as $4,022.09 per ounce on November 21, earlier in the day. U.S. gold futures for August were down 0.2% to $4,125.10. Matt Simpson, senior analyst at StoneX, said: "With prices hurtling toward $4,000, there's an obvious level of support which could encourage bears to make a quick profit, or tempt battered bulls off the sidelines." The U.S. Dollar Index failed to gain much ground after Wednesday's CPI Report. If there are no 'nasty' surprises in the PPI (Producer?Index), gold could see a short-term technical boost. In May, U.S. consumer prices increased at their fastest rate in three years. This was largely due to the surge in energy prices in response to the Middle East conflict. The U.S. May PPI data will be released at 1230 GMT. According to CME FedWatch, traders?price in more than 70% of the chance that the U.S. will raise interest rates by December. United States and Iran exchanged air attacks for the?second straight day? on Thursday, with U.S. president Donald Trump threatening further strikes if Tehran didn't immediately agree to peace. After U.S. airstrikes, Iran announced the closing of the Strait of Hormuz. While gold is viewed as an inflation hedge, it tends to be weighed down by higher interest rates. Silver spot rose by 1.1%, to $64.41 an ounce. Platinum gained 0.8%, to $1671.09 and palladium increased 2.9%, to $1248.59. (Reporting by Pablo Sinha in Bengaluru; Editing by Subhranshu Sahu and Harikrishnan Nair)
Taking stock of tidy electrical energy development in essential markets: Maguire
The energy transition away from nonrenewable fuel sources towards cleaner sources of power and electrical power is advancing on every continent, but at an unequal pace due to widely various levels of investment, policy support and social backing.
Countries throughout the world have actually been progressively improving tidy electrical energy materials for more than a decade, conscious of the multiple benefits of decarbonising power systems.
The speed of clean power adoption has accelerated in the past five years, especially in Asia, Europe and North America where a. mix of aspects consisting of a rush to cut dependence on fuel imports. and a drive to create jobs and proficiency in a fast-growing. sector have actually jolted governments and organizations into action.
However the paths towards cleaner electricity supplies differ. greatly even within the very same continents, as holds true in. Europe: France secures two-thirds of its power from nuclear. reactors, Norway navigates 90% from hydro dams, and Denmark. gets almost 70% from wind and solar farms.
The large span of available clean power solutions. shows there is no fixed course towards decarbonising power. systems, but rather a suite of tools that can be optimised. according to each nation's special mix of location, geology,. legacy energy systems and space restrictions.
Below is a summary of where crucial nations in major regions. stand in terms of how much electrical energy originates from clean sources.
REGIONAL EVALUATION
As of completion of 2023, Latin America and the Caribbean had. the biggest share of electrical energy produced from tidy sources. ( 69.3%) of all regions, data from energy think tank Cinder shows.
Europe came second with around 59% of electrical energy produced. from tidy sources, followed by Oceania with around 49%, and. North America with around 47%. Asia had around 30% of its. electrical power produced by clean sources since late 2023.
Coal does not track Africa and the Middle East areas on a. regular monthly basis, but the most recent yearly generation stats. suggest they currently secure around 25% and 5% -6% respectively. from clean sources.
EUROPEAN MOMENTUM
Europe has actually been among the most active areas for clean. energy advancement over the last few years following Russia's invasion. of Ukraine which roiled power markets across the continent and. sparked a scramble to reduce regional dependence on fuel imports.
A bulk of large European economies sourced more than. half of their overall electricity materials from tidy sources as. of the end of 2023.
Some European nations such as France, Finland, Sweden and. Norway have secured a majority of their electrical energy from tidy. sources for a number of years, thanks to well-established nuclear. reactor fleets or extensive hydro dam networks.
Others have actually been more recent adopters of tidy electricity. generation sources, such as the Netherlands and Poland which. have both doubled tidy energy's share of total electrical energy. generation within the past five years.
Aggressive region-wide prepare for additional development of. solar and wind production capability look set to keep Europe at. the leading edge of fast-developing clean energy markets going. forward.
MIXED BAG IN THE AMERICAS
Countries across the Americas have a broad period of clean. electrical energy generation levels.
In Latin America, veteran tidy energy giant Brazil has. secured over 75% of its electrical power from clean sources - primarily. hydro dams - for decades.
Similarly, Colombia, Venezuela, Uruguay and Paraguay all get. 70% or more of their electrical power from clean sources thanks to. hefty hydro networks.
Chile (77% clean as of late 2023) depends on a mix of hydro,. solar and wind for its clean electrical energy supplies.
Farther north, the share of tidy energy in electrical power. generation mixes tends to fall.
Mexico has among the most affordable tidy shares in the area (21%. since late 2023) while the United States (41%) and El Salvador. ( 43%) likewise have clean shares of less than 50%.
Canada sources around 80% of its electrical energy from clean. sources, thanks once again to a comprehensive hydro network.
ASIAN DEVELOPMENT DRIVERS
Asia is home to a few of the fastest-growing and biggest. clean energy generation markets, and also a few of the most. substantial laggards.
China's 31% share of electrical energy from tidy sources is. eclipsed by other countries. However in regards to absolute. generation heft, China stands alone and produces roughly twice. the quantity of tidy electrical power as the next largest producer,. the United States.
Coal remains the main source of power for China's energies,. however record-fast development in wind and solar capacity indicates clean. power's share of overall generation is rapidly rising.
India is also an aggressive clean power deployer, but since. late 2023 secured just around 20% -25% of overall electrical power from. tidy sources.
Other fast-growing economies consisting of The Philippines,. Thailand and Bangladesh likewise have fairly low clean power. shares, (less than 25%) although Vietnam and Pakistan have clean. shares in the high 40% range.
AFRICA & & MIDDLE EAST
Patchy power information reporting systems make it tough to. track the tidy power development in all countries, specifically in. Africa and the Middle East.
With the exception of Kenya and Ethiopia, which boast big. geothermal and hydro power generation networks, these regions. are clear laggards in terms of clean power momentum.
Heavy withstanding dependence on locally-sourced nonrenewable fuel sources. and/or a lack of the funds needed to carry out the energy system. overhauls seen in other places are significant hurdles for clean power. development in these areas.
In any occasion, important progress is still apparent in several. essential nations, consisting of Egypt, Nigeria, South Africa, Morocco,. and the United Arab Emirates, which ought to help spur even more. region-wide progress towards clean generation goals in the. years ahead.
<< The opinions expressed here are those of the author, a. writer .>
(source: Reuters)