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Official Israeli source: Trump and Netanyahu discussed all options, including an attack on Iran.
?U.S. In their meeting on Wednesday, President Donald Trump and Israeli Premier Benjamin Netanyahu discussed all possible ways to stop Iran's nuclear program, including diplomacy, pressure from the economy and force. The official told reporters in a press conference after the two men had met at the White House, on Tuesday that Netanyahu did not inform Trump of Israel's preference for an attack against Iran. The official stated that Trump's decision was final. The official stated that Trump had 'three options, all of which were discussed in detail: a deal, continuing the blockade, economic pressures and a massive strikes. Officials said there was evidence that?Iran’s clerical leaders have been rattled? by rising inflation, but that the impact on the global economy and the oil markets were also taken into consideration. The oil prices soared on Wednesday, one of the biggest spikes since the beginning of the war on February 28. This was due to a joint Israeli and U.S. aerial campaign against Iran. Tehran responded by launching strikes on Israel and Gulf States. Israel did not take part in the two-week U.S. airstrikes this month, which prompted Tehran to respond by firing on U.S. military bases. However, it has warned Tehran that it will strike back if attacked. The United States and Saudi Arabia attacked Iran-backed paramilitary groups on Wednesday. Trump promised to "beat the fucking sh*t" out of Iran after it fired at U.S. soldiers days after he stopped?air strikes. Iran has confirmed that it fired at U.S. bases in Jordan, as well as ships in the Strait of Hormuz. It also rejected an Omani proposal for a joint management of the Strait.
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SAIL and Krakatau Steel to invest $350 Million in a stainless steel plant
Two Indian sources said that India's state run Steel Authority of India and Indonesia's Krakatau Steel are planning to invest up to $350 million in a stainless-steel slab plant in Indonesia. Sources said that the?plant?will have a?capacity of?500,000 metric tonnes and will be operational in the next three to five years. SAIL and Krakatau Steel have signed a preliminary joint venture agreement in Indonesia to produce stainless steel plates. This was done during the visit of Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi to Indonesia earlier this month. Sources said that SAIL will send a "technical" team to Indonesia in the next month to produce a feasibility study. After this, both companies will finalise details such as the equity structure, timeline for government approvals, and other details. Sources declined to be identified because the discussions aren't public. SAIL didn't respond to an email sent Monday seeking comment. Krakatau Steel?did not respond to an email request for comments made on Tuesday. Sources?said that the proposed plant's capability could be?expanded once it becomes operational. One source said that partnering with Krakatau Steel could help SAIL obtain nickel at a lower price, which is a crucial raw material for stainless steel production. Indonesia produces more than half of the world's nickel. The second source said that SAIL would consume all the output from the planned Indonesian facility, and then bring the stainless steel plates to its Salem plant to be rolled and finished. Salem is located in Tamil Nadu, a southern Indian state. Sources said that the state-run steelmaker would primarily sell the finished product to Indian clients, with a small portion?possibly being exported to Europe and the Middle East. According to commodities consultancy BigMint, SAIL was India’s third largest?steel manufacturer in the fiscal year ending March 2025. It held a 10.1% market share. India, which is the second largest producer of crude steel in the world after China, has identified Indonesia as well as more than a dozen?countries to cooperate with the steel industry. This will boost exports and ensure key raw materials. BigMint data shows that India's finished steel consumption has increased by 55% in the last five years. This is more than double the increase in production of 42%. Indian steelmakers are "pivoting" to the domestic market in order to offset weaker imports from Europe and Britain, but Chinese steel is sabotaging that strategy. (Reporting from New Delhi by Neha Arora; Additional reporting in Jakarta by Fransiska Nanangoy; Editing by Mayank Bhadwaj, Christian Schmollinger).
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Stocks fall as Mideast conflict reignites and Fed decision looms
U.S. stock prices fell, while oil and Treasury yields rose, as the fighting in the Iran war resumed just hours before the highly anticipated 'Federal Reserve interest rate decision due later on Wednesday. Although the Fed is expected to keep rates unchanged, traders have priced in roughly 34% of a rate hike. This is because rising oil prices are reigniting concerns over inflation which remains above the U.S. Central Bank's annual target of 2%. The markets have fully priced in a Fed rate hike for the September meeting. Chris Low, FHN Financial's chief economist, said that if oil prices continue to rise in September, then the Fed will determine that the shock has lasted for long enough to warrant a rate increase, or increases. The market also believes that some participants will make the case for rate hikes today...and there's a good chance they can convince a majority to support them. After major airstrikes resumed, oil prices rose more than 6%. This quelled hopes of an imminent end to Iran's war. This rally was exacerbated by data from the industry showing a decline in U.S. crude inventories. The Fed chairman Kevin Warsh prefers to give less "forward guidance" on the Fed's probable monetary path. The yield on the benchmark U.S. 10 year notes increased 2.45 basis points from late Tuesday to 4.629%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 1.37% to 52 024.98, the S&P 500 declined 0.62% at 7,382.73 while the Nasdaq Composite was down 0.83% at 24,670.23. EARNINGS TO SET TONE Investors will also be waiting for a wave key earnings. Microsoft and Meta are due to report their results after the close of markets, followed by Amazon.com, and Apple later in this week. Investors have questioned the sustainability of AI spending boom amid signs that U.S. major companies are continuing to invest billions in the technology and continue to drain free cash flow. The focus is now on returns from investment, not spending plans. Investors are looking for evidence that AI capex generates revenues right now and also strengthens future growth prospects, said Gina Martin 'Adams, Chief Market Strategist at HB Wealth. As China's competition intensifies in both the race to develop advanced chip models and Chinese firms rolling out cheaper AI models, there is a growing concern. Even a six-fold increase in SK Hynix’s quarterly profit failed to meet expectations, sending the shares tumbling by 9.61%. South Korea's KOSPI fell almost 6% in a single day, after falling more than 10% and reaching a three-month high. South Korea is responding by introducing additional 'curbs' on leveraged single-stock exchange-traded fund, or ETFs. This includes a cap that would limit an individual investor's investment to 20% of total assets. The pan-European STOXX 600 fell by 0.21% while Europe's FTSEurofirst 300 fell by 0.28%. The MSCI All Country World Price Index dropped by 0.57%, to its lowest level since June 26.
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Hungary's Paks Nuclear Plant will shut down one reactor due to a drop in the Danube water levels
Operator MVM announced that the Paks nuclear plant in Hungary will shut down one of the 'four reactors' at a time of?1300 GMT on Wednesday due to record low water levels along the Danube River, which provides cooling water for the facility. On Monday, the plant had already cut output by 254 Megawatts at another unit. The plant operates four Russian-built nuclear reactors with a combined 2 gigawatts of capacity. It produces almost?half of Hungary’s electricity. The shutdown on Wednesday will reduce production to?about 60 percent of its capacity. It follows?contingency steps taken in June, during a heatwave record. Authorities exempted this plant from temperature limits for discharged cooling waters. The water levels along the Danube are now at new record lows. This has disrupted cargo and river cruises on one of Europe's most busy?waterways. The Environment Minister Laszlo Gajdos stated earlier on Wednesday that the Hungarian water management authorities are ready to assist in ensuring cooling water supplies for the plant. He said that the authorities had placed four pumping pontoons, and two floating cranes near Paks in preparation for a possible deployment as water levels are expected to continue to drop over the next few days. Reporting by Gergely szakacs and Anita Komuves. Mark Potter edited the article.
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NextEra and Brookfield plan a $100 billion Kentucky datacenter campus
NextEra Energy and Brookfield are building a $100 billion campus of data centers at an 'ex-uranium enrichment site' in Paducah, Kentucky. The soaring demand for electricity in the United States is driving companies to invest heavily into artificial intelligence data centres and other technologies that strain an aging U.S. electric grid. NextEra is the largest U.S. power company and will provide 2.6 GW in battery storage and 2 gigawatts (GW) of natural gas to support the datacenter. Brookfield, on the other hand, will own and operate the 1.8 GW campus. One gigawatt can power approximately 750,000 homes. The campus will be built on the Department of Energy’s Paducah Site. This site was originally constructed in 1952 for the production of enriched uranium, but it was closed down later. NextEra said the project complies with the Trump Administration's "Ratepayer Protection Pledge" which seeks?to ensure that companies building and using data centres?pay over?and above normal rates to avoid costs being passed on to average households. Brookfield CEO Bruce Flatt said in a statement that "the Department of Energy Paducah Site will be the seed of a plan to invest 100 billion dollars?in AI Infrastructure". The project should be completed in 2032. Reporting by Vallari Shrivastava, Bengaluru. Editing by Tasim Zaid
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Allied Gold's $4 Billion sale to China's Zijin falls through, lands a $295 M investment
Zijin Gold & Allied 'Gold has scrapped its planned C$5.5 Billion ($3.90 Billion) buyout. Instead, the?Chinese?company took a 9.2% share for around $295 M. In premarket trading, shares of Allied Gold listed in the U.S. fell by nearly 15%. The companies announced on Wednesday that they had mutually agreed to allow the deadline of July 29 to expire as "there was no reasonable likelihood" that the remaining conditions would be met in a reasonable time frame. Allied also cited broader external factors affecting trans-border transactions at this scale but did not provide any further?details. Zijin Gold operates mining operations in Asia, Africa and South America, while the Canadian firm has gold mines,?development and development projects on the Ivory Coast, Mali, and Ethiopia. In January, Zijin announced its agreement to purchase Allied for C$44 a share. ZIJIN?REMAINS INVESTOR Zijin has agreed to purchase approximately 12.8 million newly-issued Allied shares for?C$32.55 each in a private placing for the '9.2% stake. The transaction is expected to close around August 10. Allied stated that it 'expects' to use the proceeds - including the completion and ramping up of the Kurmuk Mine in Ethiopia and the expansion of the Sadiola Mine?in Mali - to advance growth initiatives. It also said they expect the proceeds -including increasing production – at their Ivory Coast operations, and funding exploration across the business. ($1 = 1.4098 Canadian dollars) (Reporting by Arunima Kumar in Bengaluru; Editing by Vijay Kishore)
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S&P says El Nino is unlikely to affect ratings for the time being
One of S&P Global’s top analysts said that El Nino will not 'by itself' lead to sovereign ratings downgrades, unless it is significantly worse than expected and governments take costly measures to support the affected countries. Joydeep Mukherji is S&P's Latin America lead ratings analyst. She said that the rating impact would be determined by the severity of the droughts and flooding caused by a potential "super" El Nino, as well as how policymakers handle the fallout. Mukherji stated in an interview that "if it's a flood or a dry spell that disrupts economic activity, then you assume?it will pick up within six months, twelve months." If that's the only thing that happens, ratings should be able?to withstand that kind of stress." The key factor is more likely to be the response of the governments in the hardest-hit countries. Mukherji stated, "If there is a small fiscal intervention to help those affected by the crisis, then that's a good thing." However, broader measures like a control on fuel or electricity prices could increase fiscal pressures. He said: "Suddenly, you've got a fiscal issue on the side. Not just the disruptions caused by natural disasters." The government faces a difficult choice: either they allow a part of the cost to be borne by businesses and households, or they take on a greater share through increased public spending, larger deficits, and more borrowing. He said that policy response was key. "Do governments share or spare the costs or do they take it all on themselves in their balance sheet by increasing deficits and debt?" He said that countries with flexible exchange rate may be better able to absorb weather-related shocks. As examples, he cited Colombia and Peru as two countries where economic impacts could be "substantial". The 'political tools' available to maintain competitiveness in a country without its own currency, such as Ecuador with the dollar, are fewer. S&P does not expect El Nino will trigger a negative rating wave. He warned that there is still a lot of uncertainty about the magnitude of the phenomenon.
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EU: Wildfires moving east threaten Italy and Greece
Greece, Italy and Central Europe will face increased 'wildfire' risk in the next few weeks. This is despite the fact that wildfires are still raging in Spain and France. Maria Zuber, the head of EU's Emergency Response Coordination Centre said that the heatwave would make the next few days "very difficult" for France. She also warned other countries to prepare themselves for "imminent disasters". Zuber told reporters that the next danger was already moving towards Greece and Central Europe. "Greece was spared for the moment, but now we know that it is going to Greece. "Italy faces risk at the start of August. We will need to see what will happen with the Iberian Peninsula because if it is there too, we'll have all Europe on blaze," she said. The forecast includes weather conditions that can help fires spread quickly, including high temperatures, dry, windy air and lack of rain. Climate change intensifies the hot and?dry conditions, which allow wildfires spread more quickly. Last year, Europe experienced its worst wildfires season ever. More than a million acres of land were burned. Zuber stated that Europe's fire situation so far this year was similar. She said, "We could be on the verge of another record." The EU centre coordinates?the deployment of aircraft and firefighters in countries that need emergency assistance, utilizing?resources pooled and rented by European countries. The EU centre has sent seven planes, four 'helicopters' and three 'ground firefighting teams to Spain and France. Zuber explained that not all aircraft in the EU fleet were currently in use. Some of them are already pre-stationed to be ready for deployment in Eastern and Central Europe, where the threat is increasing. (Reporting and editing by Alison Williams; Kate Abnett)
Oil costs increase on optimism over strong United States fuel demand
Oil prices increased on Thursday, extending the previous day's rally, driven by optimism over U.S. fuel demand following an unanticipated drop in crude and gas stocks, while reports that OPEC+ may postpone a. scheduled output increase offered support.
Brent crude futures gained 47 cents, or 0.65%,. to $73.02 a barrel by 0505 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate. crude futures, which are set to expire later in the day,. climbed 43 cents, or 0.63%, to $69.04 per barrel.
Both contracts rose more than 2% on Wednesday, after falling. more than 6% earlier in the week on the reduced risk of a broader. Middle East dispute.
U.S. gasoline stockpiles fell suddenly in the week. ending Oct. 25 to a two-year low on strengthened demand, the. Energy Information Administration stated, while crude stocks. likewise published a surprise drawdown as imports slipped.
Nine analysts surveyed had actually anticipated a boost in. gasoline and unrefined stocks.
The surprise decline in U.S. gas stockpiles supplied a. purchasing chance as need appeared stronger than. anticipated, stated Toshitaka Tazawa, an analyst at Fujitomi. Securities.
Expectations of a prospective delay in the OPEC+ production. increase were also helpful ... If they do delay, WTI could. recuperate to the $70 level, he said.
Reuters reported OPEC+, which groups the Organization of the. Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies such as Russia, could. postpone a prepared oil production increase in December by a month. or more since of concern over soft oil need and increasing. supply.
The group is set up to raise output by 180,000 barrels. daily (bpd) in December. It had currently postponed the boost. from October since of falling rates.
A choice to delay the boost could come as early as. next week, 2 OPEC+ sources told Reuters.
OPEC+ is scheduled to fulfill on Dec. 1 to choose its next. policy actions.
Manufacturing activity in China, the world's greatest oil. importer, broadened in October for the very first time in 6 months,. suggesting that stimulus steps are having a result.
Markets are waiting for the results of the U.S. presidential. election on Nov. 5 as well as more details of China's. economic stimulus. Reuters reported that China could authorize the. issuance of over 10 trillion yuan ($ 1.4 trillion) in debt over. the next few years on the last day of its Nov. 4-8 parliamentary. meeting.
In the Middle East, Lebanon's prime minister expressed hope. on Wednesday that a ceasefire deal with Israel would be. announced within days as Israel's public broadcaster released. what it said was a draft contract offering an initial. 60-day truce.
The push for a ceasefire for Lebanon is happening. along with a comparable diplomatic drive to end hostilities in Gaza.
But the marketplace impact is most likely to be silenced.
The majority of the Middle East geopolitical risk was stripped. out of the oil cost after Israel's action to Iran over the. weekend, IG market analyst Tony Sycamore said.
Iran stated that Israeli strikes on Saturday, in. retaliation for Iran's Oct. 1 attack on Israel, caused only. minimal damage.
(source: Reuters)