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A Trump presidency to position mainly bearish risks for oil, Citi says

A Donald Trump presidency could be net bearish for oil rates due to a combination of elements consisting of tariffs and oil-friendly policies, and pressing the Company of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies (OPEC+) to launch more oil into the market, Citi stated in a research note on Thursday.

Trump could roll back ecological policies, however broadly overturning the (Inflation Reduction Act) looks not likely due to its positive impacts in red states, analysts noted, referring to states that are Republican leaning.

The primary bullish danger for oil markets under a Trump presidency would be would be pressure on Iran, they added, though this could have a limited impact. If Trump were to readopt a optimal pressure campaign on Iran, the market might see a 500-900 thousand barrel daily influence on Iranian oil exports.

U.S. President Joe Biden abandoned his reelection quote on Sunday and endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris as the celebration's. candidate for the November election, following growing pressure. from his fellow Democrats.

A Harris administration might be similar to, or somewhat left. of Biden, Citi experts stated.

Meanwhile, the market continues to deal with geopolitical, cyber. and weather-related threats.

Typhoon season is far from over-- Mideast stress stay. high, with combating in Gaza, the West Bank, Lebanon, Syria, and. Yemen. Nevertheless, pressure has likewise been mounting for a push for a. ceasefire, which could possibly be upcoming this summer,. Citi included.

(source: Reuters)