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Oil demand set to peak by 2029, significant supply glut looms, IEA says

International oil need will peak by 2029 and start to contract the next year, the International Energy Firm stated on Wednesday, while oil supply capability is due to vastly exceed demand by the end of the decade.

The Paris-based energy guard dog sees supply capability hitting almost 114 million barrels each day (bpd) by 2030, or a complete 8 million bpd above forecasted need in its annual oil report.

This report's projections, based on the most recent data, show a. significant supply surplus emerging this years, suggesting that oil. business may wish to ensure their company strategies and. strategies are prepared for the changes occurring, IEA Executive. Director Fatih Birol said.

Oil need growth will plateau at 105.6 million bpd by 2029,. the IEA stated, before contracting a little in 2030 as electric. cars and truck usage increases, effectiveness enhances and power generation moves. away from oil.

Non-OPEC+ producers led by the United States will comprise. three-quarters of the production capability increase to 2030, the. IEA added.

Spare capability at such levels might have substantial. repercussions for oil markets-- consisting of for manufacturer economies. in OPEC and beyond, in addition to for the U.S. shale market, the. IEA said.

Need growth will be driven mostly by emerging economies in. Asia, especially by road transportation in India, as well as jet. fuel and petrochemicals in China.

The IEA cut its 2024 oil demand development anticipated by. 100,000 bpd to 960,000 bpd, citing slow usage in. industrialized nations, while a soft economy and uptake of green. energy should bring 1 million bpd growth next year.

Those forecasts fall far listed below those of the Company. of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), which on Tuesday. kept its outlook for 2024 demand growth steady at 2.25 million. barrels each day (bpd) and 1.85 million bpd for 2025.

(source: Reuters)