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QUOTES-Likely market reaction after Iran attacks Israel

Iran warned Israel and the United States on Sunday of a much bigger response if there is any retaliation for its mass drone and rocket attack on Israeli territory on Saturday, as Israel stated the project is not over .

Iran released explosive drones and missiles at Israel in retaliation for a presumed Israeli attack on its consulate in Syria on April 1, a very first direct attack on Israeli area that has stired fears of a larger regional conflict.

Below are analysts' quotes on how financial markets are likely to react to developments.

JANE FOLEY, HEAD OF FX STRATEGY, RABOBANK, LONDON

Outside of gold and oil costs, property rates have actually been pre-disposed to soft-pedal geopolitical news in recent months. This recommends that Israel's success in repelling Iranian rockets will be taken as a reason to decrease threat hostility at the start of the trading week.

That stated, there has actually been a clear increase in geopolitical dangers connected with the Middle East suggesting plenty of scope for volatility in the coming weeks and months.

MICHAEL PURVES, HEAD OF TALLBACKEN CAPITAL ADVISORS

If oil keeps going higher from here, it in fact makes U.S. bond fundamentals a bit even worse by keeping inflation greater for longer and making the Fed's tendency to cut rates even less.

An offsetting element is that whatever happens, there's. going to be anxiety and that's going to keep bonds from. selling too much more.

We have actually had a lot priced into the U.S. equity market. already. On the one-hand, there was a risk-on condition going. into the year and risks will eventually get purchased.

But eventually, why not schedule some earnings when the. newsflow is so unpredictable?

SAMY CHAAR, CHIEF ECONOMIST LOMBARD ODIER, GENEVA

The newsflow has to do with Iran and Israel, so that is going to. be most of (what people will be going over Monday), but we are. still in an environment where we haven't yet digested the U.S. inflation news and what that means for the Fed, and will they be. able to cut rates.

We entered into this weekend of geopolitical tension in the. after-effects of the CPI report. It is a vulnerable market environment. in the short term, however after a wonderful duration, so it is just. fair that there's a little vulnerability.

TINA FORDHAM, CREATOR AND GEOPOLITICAL STRATEGIST, FORDHAM. INTERNATIONAL FORESIGHT, LONDON

The scale of Iran's attack on Israel and the launch from. inside Iran in addition to via proxies is substantial. In terms of. the marketplace response, we began to see commodity prices moving. greater on Friday.

Over the next few days, we are awaiting Israel's. response-- this is the most significant attack on Israel in years. The. threat of a local war has increased meaningfully. The concern. becomes does Israel seek to expand the dispute? That is the. wild card.

I think oil will open greater. Indications that Iran wants to. enact a soft blockade of the Strait of Hormuz is an issue, as. this implies there are potential both supply chain disturbances and. higher oil costs. We have gone into a harmful period ahead of. the U.S. elections.

NICK FERRES, CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER, PERSPECTIVE ASSET. MANAGEMENT, SINGAPORE

I am not going to be an armchair general and pretend that. I have an edge on how the escalation will play out. From our. perch, the more important news for markets last week was the. trend re-acceleration in consumer price inflation and the. implication for the path of future short term rates of interest.

Moreover, disappointment in the information of the results from. JPM and Wells on Friday. Because context, as we have actually kept in mind for. some time, danger settlement in equities is bad in outright. terms and relative to Treasuries. We had actually already decreased our internet. long equity exposure ahead of this over the previous two weeks.

BRIAN JACOBSEN, PRIMARY ECONOMIC EXPERT, ANNEX WEALTH MANAGEMENT,. MILWAUKEE, WISCONSIN

The secret is whether Iran will consider this retaliation a. determined and last reaction, unless Israel chooses to escalate. In 2020, Iran considered its response to the U.S.'s killing of. General Soleimani a determined and equitable response. , if it remains. . tit-for-tat instead of intensifying, then we will likely see a. sigh of relief throughout equities even if oil rates, gold, the. dollar and bonds all embed a danger premium to show the. dispute..

(source: Reuters)