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U.S. gasoline drops below $4 per gallon for the first time since April

U.S. retail gasoline prices fell below $4 per gallon for first time since April, as optimism grew about a preliminary agreement between the U.S. and Iran, which could lead to a reopening of Strait of Hormuz - a vital passageway for oil supplies around the world. Crude oil prices fell by more than $4 per barrel after U.S. president Donald Trump announced the U.S.-Iran had signed a Memorandum of Understanding to end the near four-month conflict. However, it is still unclear whether this agreement will last.

The drop in fuel prices may provide some relief for the Trump administration. They had promised to lower energy prices to consumers. Trump and Republican legislators, who are running to protect narrow majorities in the U.S. Congress during the midterm elections in November, have 'faced backlash due to the rising price of fuel.

At $4 per gallon, consumers are viewed as having a psychological threshold that they must overcome before changing their behavior. Trump announced that the deal's text would be made public after the formal signing ceremony, which took place on Friday. He also stated that the Strait of Hormuz will be reopened in its entirety. Experts say that it may take several weeks before shipping activity returns to normal. This is because removing the mines from waterways?is an extremely complex process.

Patrick De Haan is the head of GasBuddy's petroleum analysis. He said that the real test will be whether this relief can last. For now, the average national price could continue to fall, as long as there is no drastic reversal, and both the U.S.and Iran continue in a positive way.

GasBuddy reports that the average U.S. retail gasoline price fell to $3.997 per gallon Sunday. This is the lowest it has been since mid-April. Prices are still 90.8 cents higher than they were at the same time last.

According to the American Automobile Association, the national average price was $4.065 for Monday.

According to De?Haan, Americans collectively spent $46 billion on gasoline more since the beginning of the war.

Late March, gasoline prices surpassed $4 after Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz to most shipping. The Strait of Hormuz is responsible for nearly a fifth of all global oil flow. Consumer inflation surpassed 4% in 'May for the first three-year period. According to the Labor Department, falling gasoline prices have led to a moderated expectation of inflation among consumers this month.

It is not yet clear if the relief will last.

Bjarne Shieldrop, SEB's chief commodities analyst said: "This is fragile." It can easily fall apart. Schieldrop stated that there may be certain details in the U.S.Iran Memorandum which are impossible to overcome. U.S. gasoline is in a supply crunch. The'resilient domestic demand' and 'robust fuel exports" are threatening to put pressure on the already thin inventories, sending gasoline prices soaring. According to government data, in the first week of June, gasoline inventories fell to their lowest level for a decade. They were just 215.1 millions barrels.

Tom Kloza is the chief energy advisor at Gulf Oil. He said that if no progress was made in clearing the strait and reinstating insurance for vessels, or in curbing the violence of Iranian proxy forces, then the reprieve could be short-lived. Reporting by Nicole Jao, New York; editing by Sanjeev Mikleni

(source: Reuters)