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Copper prices rise on China's stockpiling, and a stronger risk sentiment

The price of copper rose on Tuesday, after the news that China plans to increase its stockpiles and risk sentiment among investors re-emerged.

The benchmark three-month copper price on the London?Metal Exchange?advanced by 4.1%, to $13,418 a metric tonne at 1715 GMT. It had fallen to a 3-week low the previous session.

LME copper reached a record high of $14,527.50, fueled by speculation, on Thursday. Then, it plunged 14.5%, from this high, to a low intraday on Monday.

Ole Hansen is the head of commodity strategy for Saxo Bank, based in Copenhagen.

The market also likes the headline "China increasing its strategic copper reserves."

A state-backed official of the?China Nonferrous Metals Industry Association? said on Tuesday that China would expand its strategic reserve?of copper, and investigate building a commercial storage system.

The Shanghai Futures Exchange's most active contract for copper rose 2.6% in daytime trading to close at 104 500 yuan (15,066) per ton.

Investor sentiment improved on Tuesday, as industrial metals and gold joined other financial markets to bounce back. This was partly due to a long-awaited U.S.-India trade agreement.

Copper, which is facing weak demand and increasing inventories, was still a concern for analysts.

Hansen said, "I do not feel that current fundamentals are sufficient to justify a strong recovery, but if speculative interest is high enough, prices could 'overshoot upwards.

LME nickel rose 3.2% to $17.370 per ton, after Macquarie raised its average price forecast for 2026 to $17.750, from $15,000, following the reduction of mining quotas by top producer Indonesia.

Macquarie analyst Jim Lennon said in a note that the net effect is to lower our projection for the global market balance, from a surplus 250,000 tons in this year, to 90,000. "This effectively stops the sharp increase in world inventories," he wrote.

LME aluminium rose 1.7% to $3.107 per ton. Zinc increased 0.1% to $3.328, tin increased 7.6% to $51,150, and lead remained unchanged at $1.963. $1 = 6.9359 Chinese Yuan Renminbi (Reporting and Editing by Louise Heavens, David Goodman)

(source: Reuters)