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FAO: If the Iran war continues, food prices will continue to rise around the world
The United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization reported on Friday that world food prices rose in March, reaching their highest level since last September. They could rise even more if the Middle East conflict continues to push up energy costs. In a recent statement, FAO Chief Economicist Maximo Toreros said that the price rises have been modest. They are mainly due to higher oil prices. He said that if a conflict continues for more than 40 days, and input costs are high, farmers can reduce their inputs, plant fewer crops, or switch to less intensive fertiliser crops. He added that "these choices will impact future yields, and shape our food supplies and commodity prices throughout the remainder of this year and the following years." FAO Food Price Index (which measures changes in global traded food commodities) rose 2.4% over its revised February level. The index is now 1% higher than it was a year ago. However, the value of the index has dropped by nearly 20% from its March 2022 high, which occurred after the beginning of the Ukraine war. Fertilizer costs could lead to reduced planting The index of cereal prices increased by 1.5% compared to the previous month. This was mainly due to a 4.3% rise in international wheat due to deteriorating crop prospects in America and lower plantings expected in Australia because of higher fertiliser costs. The global maize price edged upwards as the?ample supply of maize in the world offset concerns about fertiliser prices and indirect support from higher ethanol demand prospects related to higher energy costs. Due to the timing of harvest and weaker import demand, rice prices fell 3.0%. Vegetable oil price increases are now at 5.1% for the third month in a row. The higher quotations for palm, soya, sunflower and rapeseed oils reflected the impact on rising global energy costs and expectations of stronger demand. Palm oil prices have reached their highest levels since mid-2022. Sugar prices?jumped 7.2% to their highest level since October 2025 in March, due to higher crude oil prices. Brazil, the largest sugar exporter in the world, is expected use more sugarcane for ethanol production. The price of meat increased by 1.0% in Brazil and Europe, with pig prices rising in the EU. In a separate document, the FAO raised slightly its estimate of the global cereal production forecast for 2025 to a record 3,036 billion metric tonnes. This would mean a 5.8% increase year-on-year. (Reporting and editing by Tomasz Janowski and Barbara Lewis.)
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Morocco will stop fewer illegal migrants in 2025 due to route changes
Morocco will prevent?6.4% less attempts by illegal migrants to reach?Europe in 2020 compared to the previous year. The interior ministry announced this on Thursday. It added that people are using different routes, and the problem is not going away. The ministry responded to questions via email that in addition to stopping 73,640 attempts at illegal migration, they also dismantled over 300 migrant smuggling networks. The Sahel region of Africa has been ravaged by conflict for years. High unemployment, and the impact of climate change in farming communities is also a factor that drives migrants to Europe. Morocco has long been a major starting point for African migrants who are trying to reach Europe through the Mediterranean or Atlantic routes or by climbing fences around the Spanish enclaves in northern Morocco, Ceuta or Melilla. The level of cooperation with Spain has increased Since 2022, Morocco and Spain have strengthened their cooperation in the area of undocumented immigration. This follows the resolution of a previous diplomatic dispute. A senior official from the directorate of migration and border controls said that following tightened controls migrants have 'begun to use other departure points in West Africa, and parts of the southern Mediterranean. The marked drop in interceptions indicates a gradual decrease in irregular migration flows, reflecting a steady 'drying out' of the migration routes transiting through Morocco," he stated. The ministry reported that Morocco saved 13,595 migrants from drowning at sea by 2025. Meanwhile, 4,372 irregular migrants participated in voluntary return programs to their countries of origin. The official stated that voluntary returns are a reflection of Morocco's "human centered approach" to migration management, which "strikes an balance between firmness & responsibility". (Reporting and editing by Barbara Lewis; Ahmed El Jechtimi)
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The PM's Office says that the UK will deploy Rapid Sentry air defense system to Kuwait.
The office of Prime Minister Keir Sterne announced on Friday that Britain is sending its Rapid Sentry air defence system to Kuwait in order to protect British and Kuwaiti interest in the Gulf. This follows an Iranian drone attack on a Kuwaiti petroleum facility overnight. Starmer and Kuwait's Crown prince Sabah al Khalid?al Sabah discussed the deployment in a phone call on Friday morning. A spokesperson for Downing Street confirmed this. The spokesperson stated that "the Prime Minister started by condemning the reckless drone attack overnight on a Kuwaiti oil refinery." "He reaffirmed that the UK stands by Kuwait and our Gulf allies." The spokesperson stated that the leaders discussed the deployment to Kuwait of the UK air defence system, designed to shoot down low-flying drones, and other aerial threats. This would protect Kuwaiti?personnel? and?interests? in the region while avoiding an escalation to a larger conflict. Starmer and 'the crown prince' also discussed a 'disruption of global shipping through Strait of Hormuz. They welcomed a meeting on Thursday, chaired by British Yvette Cooper to develop a plan for reopening the crucial shipping route. (Reporting and editing by Tomasz janowski)
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North American farmers are cutting back on their farm machinery to save money as the season of unprofitable growing approaches
Salespeople for farm machinery are closing out a disappointing season of farming shows in North America, as farmers prepare to plant their spring crops without much new equipment. Farmers are still buying but have cut back on big-ticket purchases due to the high cost of fuel, machinery and fertilizer. They also avoid purchasing expensive items because global grain gluts have driven down crop prices. The manufacturer Degelman Industries' Chad Jones said, "They may not buy a million-dollar combine but they will buy a $100,000 tool." He was standing in front of his yellow-painted rockpickers and rippers, as well as other equipment from the company, at Canada's Farm Show, held in March. According to the Association of Equipment Manufacturers (AEM), a group that represents the major players in North American agriculture, farmers are still spending, but at a much lower level than they did in previous years. The group said that in March, sales of large-ticket items such as tractors and combine were down between 30 %?and 40 % in the U.S. compared to last year. Farm machinery sales are being hammered due to the squeeze on farmer's finances, exacerbated by President Donald Trump's tariffs in his trade war that has increased the cost of production for already expensive machines such as tractors and combine harvesters. The items are made from a large amount of steel, and sometimes with imported components. Trump's administration plans to impose a 25% tariff, rather than a 50% one, on finished goods imported from abroad that contain aluminum and steel. This will increase the price of these products. Goods that are primarily made of steel and aluminum such as tractors and combine will still be subject to the 50% tariff in place since almost a full year. John Deere's official stated that in its latest quarterly earnings call the company estimated tariffs would cost $1.2 billion by 2026. He also said that 2025 tariff costs were not passed onto farmers. Trump called for price cuts from manufacturers last Friday to help farmers. Trump's tariffs may be the cause of the industry's woes, but they are not the only problem. Kip Eideberg of Association of Equipment Manufacturers said that the easiest way to reduce the price of machinery would be to "significantly scale back the tariffs which are hitting the manufacturer, and the retaliatory?tariffs which are hitting farmers." The trade wars between the U.S. and China have affected U.S. crop sales. The soybean export market has been depressed for several months, resulting in huge stocks and a drop in crop prices. Leigh Anderson, economist at Farm Credit Canada, said that the farmers were concerned about their profitability for the next growing season. This has led to a delay in replacing equipment. He said that farmers have delayed purchases and hung on to older equipment longer. The farm show in Regina showed that farmers were not interested, as they did not test drive tractors or other large machinery. The show attracted over 5,000 attendees, but many of the displays were quiet. Eideberg, from AEM, said that it is fair to say that the purchasing behavior has changed. AEM hopes to cut tariffs because it is difficult to lower the cost of machinery and fertilizer production once they are high. Eideberg said, "That is the immediate relief which will make a difference for both farmers and manufacturers." (Reporting and editing by Emily Schmall, Aurora Ellis and Ed White)
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FAO: If the Iran war continues, food prices will continue to rise around the world
The United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization reported on Friday that world?food prices rose in March, reaching their highest level since last September. They could continue to rise if the Middle East conflict which has pushed up the energy prices continues. In a recent statement, FAO Chief Economicist Maximo Toreros said that the price rises have been modest. They are mainly due to higher oil prices. He said that if a conflict lasts more than 40 days, and input costs are high, then farmers can reduce their inputs, plant fewer crops, or switch to crops with less intensive fertilisers. He added, "These choices will impact future yields as well as shape our food supply for the rest of this year and the following years." The FAO Food Price Index measures the changes in a basket?of globally traded food commodities. It rose 2.4% compared to its revised February level. The index is now 1% higher than it was a year ago. However, the value is still nearly 20% lower than its March 2022 high, which occurred after the beginning of the Ukraine war. Fertilizer costs could lead to reduced planting The index of cereal prices increased by 1.5% compared to the previous month. This was mainly due to a 4.3% rise in the international wheat price due to deteriorating crop prospects in America and lower plantings expected in Australia because of higher fertiliser prices. The global maize price edged upwards as the?ample supply of maize in the world offset concerns about fertiliser prices and indirect support from higher ethanol demand prospects related to higher energy costs. Rice prices dropped 3.0% due to harvest timing ?and weaker import demand. Vegetable oil price increases are now at 5.1% for the third consecutive month. The higher quotations for palm, soy and sunflower oil, as well as rapeseed, reflect the rising global energy price and expectations of a stronger biofuel demand. Palm oil prices have reached their highest levels since mid-2022. Sugar prices jumped 7.2% to their highest level since October 2025 in March, due to higher crude oil prices. Brazil, the largest sugar exporter in the world, is expected use more sugarcane for ethanol production. The meat price rose by 1.0%. This was mainly due to a rise in pig meat in the European Union and in bovine meat in Brazil. Meanwhile, poultry prices were slightly lower. Separately, FAO raised their estimate of the global cereal production forecast for 2025 to a record 3,036 billion metric tonnes. This would mean a 5.8% increase year-on-year. (Reporting and editing by Tomasz Janowski and Barbara Lewis.)
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Yale report links Russian oil industry to child deportation in Ukraine
Yale University's research claims that the leading Russian state oil companies Rosneft, and Gazprom, supported wartime camps to which more than 2,000 Ukrainian youths were sent. They allegedly provided funds and facilitated transportation, and also provided funding. This led some U.S. legislators to call for sanctions against these two firms. Yale School of Public Health Humanitarian Research Lab (Yale HRL) published the findings last week. They provide the first definitive proof of the companies' involvement in the systematic Russian campaign of deportation of children and indoctrination. It said that with the support of two energy giants approximately 2,158 kids were brought to the camps in Russian occupied Ukraine and Russia from 2022-2025. This included pro-Russian educational programs. Yale's conclusions are based on an analysis of social media posts and corporate records. The report's conclusions could not be independently confirmed. The Russian Foreign Ministry and Ukrainian authorities have not responded to any requests for comment. Gazprom responded to a question about the details of the article by saying: "Gazprom has several health resorts throughout Russia, and Russian children enjoy their summer holidays there." Russia has denied forcibly taking Ukrainian children and claimed that it did so out of humanitarian reasons. The Russian government has dismissed the Yale reports as anti-Russian propaganda. In a letter, lawyers representing Rosneft stated that Yale's investigation failed to uncover any evidence that the company was involved in illegal activities. The report tries to imply that Rosneft is guilty of war crimes without any evidence. Rosneft categorically denied directing, controlling or participating in the alleged conduct," said it. UNION ROLE Yale's report stated that at least 1,072 children who were born in Russia-occupied Ukraine have received vouchers to attend proRussian camps between 2022 and 2023 from Gazprom subsidiaries, trade unions and other organizations. The Interregional Trade Union of Rosneft sponsored 100 Ukrainian children to attend three camps by 2022. The trade union of Rosneft did not reply to a comment request. Rosneft’s lawyers stated that the union is a separate legal entity and independently registered according to Russian law. Yale also claimed that it had not provided any evidence to show Rosneft was "directing, controlling, authorising or even knowing" about the union's alleged behavior. Rosneft says on its website that it "pays particular attention to strengthening the partnership relations system" with trade unions, their subsidiaries and other related organizations. Michael McFaul is a Stanford professor of international affairs who was the U.S. Ambassador to Russia from 2012-2014. He dismissed the idea that Rosneft’s union is independent. "Rosneft" is a Russian government agency. "Putin's dictatorship does not allow independent trade unions," said McFaul who was Senior Director for Russian & Eurasian Affairs at the National Security Council between 2009 and 2012. UNITED STATES RELEASES SANCTIONS In March, the United States announced that they would temporarily lift sanctions on the sale crude oil and petroleum-based products of Russian origin to combat the surge in prices following the war in Iran. The White House has not responded to a comment request. Twelve members of the U.S. Congress, representing both parties, cited Yale’s findings to call for re-imposing sanctions on Gazprom & Rosneft. These sanctions were lifted as part of the waiver. In a letter sent to by Ohio Representative Greg Landsman, it was stated that "the recent revelation of their direct involvement in Russia abducting over 35,000 Ukrainian children is cause for alarm." The letter was sent on Friday to Scott Bessent, Secretary of Treasury, and Marco Rubio, Secretary of State. It called for additional sanctions to be imposed against 35 entities that Yale had identified. RUSSIA REJECTS ICC’S ALLEGATIONS According to international law, any deportation or transfer of children to another country, whether it is an occupying power, or a different country, is a war crimes, no matter what the motivation. Ukraine has also classified this as a crime. Maria Lvova Belova, the Russian Commissioner for Children's Rights, and Vladimir Putin, the Russian President, were accused of committing a war crime by deporting Ukrainian children. The International Criminal Court has issued an arrest warrant for Putin, and Lvova Belova. They are accused of their roles in the atrocities that occurred during the war which began with Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022. The Office of the Prosecutor of the ICC did not directly respond to the claims raised in the Yale Report. In a letter, it stated that it continues to receive reports of child deportations. It also said it was entitled to expand cases to include additional suspects "should evidence meet the required standard." The Russian government has denied the allegations of the court. Lvova Belova said at a press conference in April 2023 that she didn't know what the ICC was accusing her of. "Given the facts, we will investigate." It all seems like a farce so far. Yale's new findings come after the university reported in September that Russia expanded its network of camps to include at least 210 facilities for military training, drone production and other forced reeducation of Ukrainian children. Yale reported that children from Ukraine were sent to at least six camps, including three camps owned and operated by Gazprom subsidiaries, in Russia or Crimea. This was as recent as 2025. The Kremlin has not responded to a comment request on this report. (Reporting and editing by Anthony Deutsch)
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Aluminium falls on a stronger dollar but records biggest weekly gain of a month
Aluminum fell on Friday as the stronger U.S. Dollar and growing fears of an?economic recession due to?a??prolonged Iran War?outweighed supply concerns that helped the metal record its largest weekly gain in a single month. The Shanghai Futures Exchange's most traded aluminium closed the daytime trading down 0.78%, at 24,660 Yuan ($3,585.92), per metric ton. The contract gained 3% on a weekly basis. London Metal Exchange (LME), is closed Friday and Monday in observance of the Easter holiday. Dollar strengthened after U.S. president Donald Trump's speech about Iran. The speech dampened expectations for a quick end to the conflict, reigniting concerns of inflation, rate hikes and a possible recession, which would hinder demand for industrial metals. The dollar's strength makes commodities priced in other currencies less attractive to investors. Stocks in Shanghai-monitored warehouses are also increasing, putting pressure on prices. On Friday, the number of tons rose by 3.4% compared to the previous week, reaching 470,108, the highest level since April 17, 2019. The price of aluminium, a light metal that is used for packaging, transport and construction, soared this week after Iran attacked two Middle -East producers of the metal. This heightened fears about a possible supply shortage in the Gulf, which accounted for 9% of the global supply prior to the war. The Iranian war has tightened global supply, boosting margins and some of the earlier forecasts that showed flat shipments have been revised sharply higher. Copper was the least affected metal, followed by nickel, which fell 0.13%. Tin dropped 0.77%. Zinc slipped 0.61%. Lead added 0.42%.
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Iron ore to suffer second consecutive weekly loss due to high China stocks
Iron ore prices continued to fall on Friday for a second consecutive session. They were also set 'for a second week of declines,' mainly due to the high portside stock levels in a major consumer, China. However, signs of improved demand helped limit this drop. The iron ore contract most traded on China's Dalian Commodity Exchange closed the daytime trading down 0.5% to 799.5 Yuan ($116.26), posting a week-long fall of 1.5%. As of 0700 GMT the benchmark May iron ore traded on the Singapore Exchange was 0.92% lower, at $105.4 per ton. This represents a 1.7% drop so far this week. Analysts said that the trade was dominated by downward pressure due to high portside stock, but there were no significant changes in supply and demand. Data from Mysteel showed that iron ore inventories at 47 Chinese ports increased 0.5% in a week to 177.5 millions tons on?April 2. This is close to the record high of 180.9 million tons reached?in late March. Concerns that the availability of spot iron ore could increase if China’s state iron buyer and BHP made progress in negotiations regarding a supply contract for 2026 weighed heavily on sentiment. Vietnam's trade ministry reported that prices were also being impacted by a temporary antidumping levy up to 27,83% on certain Chinese hot-rolled steel coil products, starting April 17. The downside was however capped by signs that demand had improved as some mills recommenced production following maintenance. Mysteel data shows that the?average daily metal production, which is a measure of iron ore consumption, increased by?2.7% on a week-on-week basis to 2.37 million tonnes as of April 2, marking its highest level since October 2025. Analysts at the ship-tracking company Kpler say that "the ongoing conflict in Middle East continues to exert indirect pressure by driving up fuel and freight costs." Coking coal and coke, the other ingredients used in steelmaking, also declined by 1.2% and 0.86% respectively. The benchmarks for steel on the Shanghai Futures Exchange are mixed. Rebar fell 0.23%, while hot-rolled coils dropped 0.24%. Wire rod rose 2.18 percent, and stainless steel gained 0.78%.
As more steel mills undergo repairs, the decline in iron ore continues.
Prices for iron ore futures fell on Tuesday as a result of a sluggish demand for steel ahead of the Chinese Lunar New Year later in this month. As of 0246 GMT, the?most traded May iron ore contract at China's Dalian Commodity Exchange was 1.21% lower. It was trading at 777 Yuan ($111.97). The benchmark March ore at the Singapore Exchange fell 0.84% to $102 per ton.
Prices fell on Monday due to a general commodities slump, led by gold.
Mysteel, a consultancy, reported that iron ore?transaction volumes at major Chinese ports fell as well on Monday. Steel mills are announcing maintenance plans in advance of the Chinese Lunar New Year holidays, which begin on February 16. According to a note from Mysteel, they will resume production by late February or early March. This will temper the demand for feedstock, as hot metal production drops.
The global iron ore shipment increased between January 26 and February 1. This was due to the mining giants Australia, Brazil and other countries.
Steelhome, a consultancy, released data on January 30 showing that iron ore stocks at major Chinese ports increased by 1.16% in a week.
Steel production curbs, environmental regulations, and weak domestic demand are expected to put pressure on prices in the upcoming months, according to a report published by BMI, an arm of Fitch Solutions.
The report said that a resilient global economy would continue to support Chinese steel exports by holding prices down. The DCE also lost ground for other steelmaking ingredients, including coking coal, which fell by 1.37%, and coke, which dropped by 0.49%.
The benchmarks for steel on the Shanghai Futures Exchange fell. Rebar fell by 0.51%; hot-rolled coils dropped by 0.37%; wire rods and stainless steels both declined 0.26%.
(source: Reuters)