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Nickel prices rise on fears over sulphur supplies via Hormuz
Nickel reached a three-week peak on Thursday as concerns over traffic disruptions?throughout the Strait of Hormuz sparked fears of sulphur shortages and threatened a key raw material for production. The benchmark three-month nickel on the London Metal Exchange rose 2.57%, to $17.235 per metric ton at 0700 GMT. The price had risen by up to 3.14% in the previous session. This was the largest increase since May, and the highest since June 23. The Shanghai Futures Exchange's most traded nickel contract was up 3.01% to 132,940 Yuan ($19641.85) per ton. "Sulphur?tightness?expectations are fermenting once again." This is mainly due to an increase in the?cost expectation for high-pressure acid leaching, which is a process that is used to extract nickel ore. Indonesia, which is the world's largest nickel producer, depends on the Middle East to provide about 75% the sulphur needed in sulphuric acids for leaching metals from ore. The U.S.-Iran blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, as well as military operations, have caused a disruption of shipments along this vital shipping route. The copper price was stable, helped by a weaker U.S. Inflation data and the?hopes for a more dovish Federal Reserve. Supply concerns and recent withdrawals from LME warehouses also helped. The metal rose by 0.27% at the LME, and fell by 0.23%?at the SHFE. Data released on Wednesday revealed that U.S. producer prices had their largest decline in 14-months in June. This is the latest in a series of U.S. reports which have dampened expectations for Fed rate hikes. Reduced borrowing costs tend to boost economic activity, which in turn can help metal demand. Aluminium grew by 0.68% on the LME, while zinc climbed 0.85%, and lead rose 1.19%. Tin also gained 1.35%. Aluminium was unchanged on SHFE. Zinc lost 0.68%. Lead added 0.38%. Tin fell 1%.
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Russian regions report death and injuries after another Ukrainian drone attack
As Kyiv continues its campaign against the 'Russian energy infrastructure, authorities in three Russian regions have reported deaths and injuries caused by Ukrainian drones and rocket strikes. Mikhail Yevrayev, the governor of 'Yaroslavl Region,' 250 km (155 miles) east from Moscow, where an oil refinery has been repeatedly attacked, said one man was killed and four others injured. He claimed that 19 drones had been?downed in the area, but did not specify which targets they were aimed at. Russian media reported that there were casualties in the Volga River region of Saratov after a drone attack on the city of Engels. Engels is home to an airbase which has been repeatedly attacked by Ukraine over the past few years. The governor of Bryansk Region, in Russia's west, near the Ukraine border, confirmed that a 15 year old girl and her grandma were killed by a rocket attack on the village Suzemka. A third person was injured. In recent weeks, Russia has experienced acute fuel shortages in all 11 time zones as long-range Ukrainian drone attacks hit its oil refineries. Ukraine claims it wants to limit the oil revenues that Russia uses to fund its four-year war on its neighbor, despite the fact that thousands of Ukrainians have been killed in Russian strikes across the southeast Ukraine. Both sides deny that they are targeting civilians. Officials in Ukraine said that Russian 'ballistic missiles' struck two districts of the Ukrainian capital Kyiv at dawn on Thursday. The fires started and two people were killed. Reporting by Felix Light, writing by Philippa Fletcher; editing by Philippa Light
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The tourist season has hit the Greek islands and they are experiencing a drought.
Seven Greek Islands in the Aegean have declared drought emergency this year. This is to conserve?water, as climate change causes summers to be hotter and rain more irregular. Authorities are now wondering if there will be enough rain to support the thousands of tourists that strain water supplies just as locals are in dire need. Astypalaia is an island in the shape of a butterfly, located east of mainland Greece. It relies on bottled drinking water and was not affected by the rains that fell in the north and west of Greece, giving the country the wettest winter it has experienced since 2022. According to local authorities' data, Astypalaia, in the southeast Aegean region, experienced the second-driest year since 2020. This created a dilemma for local officials. The island's only water reservoir, built in the 1990s, is surrounded by dry hills with sparse low shrubs. FARMERS RETURN TO WELLS In April, authorities cut off Evdokia Paltianou's access to a manmade lake in order to conserve?water. Her orchard's vegetables withered because she had to rely solely on the brackish water she pumped out of her well. Palatianou said, "Unless it rains I won't be planting anything" as he stood next to an old tree that was once full of mandarins in the village of Livadi on the coast, which is the main fertile area of the island. The lake that supplies water to Livadi, and the main tourist city of Chora (the island's capital), for household use, irrigation, and other purposes, contains now around 150,000 cubic meters, or a sixth its storage capacity. It would last about five and half months if you consume 900 cubic meters per day in summer. Komineas reported that the authorities declared a water crisis in May in order to expedite a temporary desalination facility with a daily production of 600 cubic meters for Chora. They also blocked irrigation to farmers in Livadi in order to protect the lake's reserve until autumn. He said that they would reconnect farmers if the Livadi Reservoir is refilled with rain. CONSUMPTION SOARS IN THE HIGHEST SUMMER MONTHS The Copernicus European Drought Observatory's map of Astypalaia, which was published in June, shows the area in orange as an early indicator of drought. In the village of Analipsi, on the east coast of the island, farmers fill tanks with water or use borehole water that is low quality. Desalination plants that supply tap water in the area were unable to meet the needs of a population that grew from 1,400 people in midsummer to 7,000 by the end of summer. A second temporary facility, located in?Chora, was built in anticipation of a permanent desalination system that will be constructed at the end of this year. On Greek islands, dozens of desalination units are being installed. ?omineas admitted that the temporary plant was expensive, but said it was necessary in case of drought. He said, "I was worried about what would happen if it didn't rain again this year." HOTELS CONSIDER RESOURCE-SAVING MEASURES Some hoteliers in Astypalaia are already taking action to save water. Maria Alkalai (42), who runs a hotel in Chora with views of the castle, the Aegean sea and the hillside, offers guests who choose to skip the daily cleaning a five-euro voucher. She said that "clients have embraced" the idea. She imagined a second island hotel that would have a cistern to collect rainwater in place of a pool or jacuzzi. Stavros papastavrou, the Environment Minister, has approved 15 million-euros ($17million) for desalination and grid upgrades, as well as water tanks, on nine of Greece's 200+ inhabited islands. This includes 1.5 million euros for Astypalaia. He briefed Luxembourg's environment ministers on water resilience in June. He said that water was not a theoretical issue for Greece. It is about the security of the country, its economic growth, and protecting local communities. According to the National Centre for Scientific Research “Demokritos” in Athens, droughts could worsen by 2049 due to global warming and increased water scarcity.
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British Steel is nationalised by Britain to protect domestic steelmaking
In an attempt to protect the future of steel production, the UK government announced in a statement on Thursday that it had 'nationalised' British Steel, which was previously owned by Chinese investors. British Steel's public ownership is necessary for the UK to safeguard its national interests, according to the government. "British Steel" is a part of the fabric and strength of Britain. The decision today secures the future for steelmaking in Britain, protects "skilled" jobs and safeguards an important national capability," said Keir starmer, the outgoing prime minister. In April 2025, the 'government' took over the operational control of British Steel, from its Chinese owners Jingye. This was done to prevent the closure of Scunthorpe, a steelworks located in northern England, and protect the 2,700 jobs in the plant, as well as thousands of others in the supply chain. The plant is the last primary steelmaking facility in the country. It supplies rail, construction and automobile industries. However, it has struggled in recent years with high energy prices in Britain and an oversupply of steel on the global market. Starmer stated that his government would introduce legislation in May of this year to allow the company to be taken over by the state after it failed to find a buyer. The company was privatised under Margaret Thatcher's regime in 1988. It said that the government appointed a leadership team to 'focus on stabilising operations and managing health and safety. They will also maintain production and work with management, unions, and staff in order to make British Steel an economically sustainable and low-carbon enterprise. Peter Kyle, Secretary of State for Business and Trade, said: "British Steel now belongs to the British people and our focus is the future." (Reporting and editing by Muralikumar Anantharaman, Sonali Paul, and Akanksha Kushi from Bengaluru)
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Bonds cheer lower inflation as Asian shares drop on chipmaker drag
?Asian stocks fell on Thursday, as a selloff in chipmakers obscured stellar earnings by industry leader TSMC. Meanwhile,?bonds benefited again from a benign reading of?U.S. Inflation that reduced the likelihood of a rate hike. As the U.S. finished its latest attacks on Iran, oil prices dropped. In recent days, the Middle East has been rife with hostilities. Washington launched attacks against Iran while Tehran targeted U.S. bases located in Kuwait and Jordan. Brent crude futures last fell 0.5% to $84.5 per barrel, but rose 11% in the past week. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC), world's biggest contract manufacturer of advanced AI chip, reported a 77% increase in the second?quarter profit to a record which was far beyond market expectations. TSMC's stock rose 1.2% ahead of the results but it was not enough to reverse the decline in Asian chipmakers. MSCI's broadest Asia-Pacific index outside Japan fell 1%, while South Korea's KOSPI dropped 6.2% due to weakness at Samsung, which was down 6.6% and SK Hynix (down 9%). Japan's Nikkei dropped 3%. China's Hang Seng Index broke the trend by gaining 1.8%. Brian Heavey is an equity trader at JPMorgan. He wrote in a report that he was "seeing aggressive pullbacks in Memory/Hardware". Don't believe there is a 'negative headline' that's driving the semis/hardware sale. "It just shows how high the bar is for semis earning." Overnight, ASML shares, the world’s largest supplier of equipment used to manufacture high-tech computer chip, ended 0.4% lower despite its raising their 2026 sales predictions and pledging a capacity increase. Wall Street gained overnight when investors shifted from semiconductors to Magnificent Seven stocks, banks and other major lenders after strong earnings. Asia, however is more susceptible to the chip selling-off due to its greater exposure to semiconductor stocks. Stock futures for the entire region are up by 0.2%. In Asia, Wall Street futures were mostly flat. BONDS CHEER COOL INCLAIMATION Surprisingly weak U.S. consumer inflation data a day before added to the benign figures for the PPI in June. The markets have now priced out an imminent rate hike by the U.S. Federal Reserve to only 10% from 43% at the beginning of the month. Oil prices are rising on renewed Middle East hostilities, and the 'pullback' in inflation could only be temporary. Bond investors focused, however, on the cooler inflation data. The yield on two-year Treasury bonds increased by 2 basis points, to 4.1514%. They had fallen 14 bps in the previous two days. Ten-year Treasury yields increased by 1 basis point to 4.5594% after falling 7 basis points over the last two days. The dollar fell, except against the beleaguered Japanese yen. The dollar index remained steady at 100.52 after dropping 0.4% overnight to its lowest level since June 18. The yen was hovering at 162.15, just below the 40-year low of 162.84, as speculators remain cautious of Japanese intervention. The pound reached a two-month high on the expectation that Andy Burnham will choose a conservative finance minister when he is named Labour Party leader, which is expected to happen on Friday. The pound was unchanged at $1.3532 after a 1% increase overnight. Gold fell 0.8% to $4,027 per ounce. (Editing by Christian Schmollinger & Lincoln Feast)
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Kashagan Oil Operator says arbitration prevents Kazakhstan from enforcing fine
The operator of Kazakhstan's Kashagan Oilfield announced?on Thursday? that an international arbitral tribunal has issued a restraining order prohibiting Kazakhstan from enforcing an environmental fine. The Kazakh Justice Ministry announced on Tuesday that Kashagan's operator must pay a fine of $4.90 billion ($2.3 trillion tenge) by July 20, 2012. The country is involved in arbitration with oil companies that work on its oilfields. It accuses them of environmental violations and corrupt practices. The North Caspian Operating Company, Kashagan’s operator, stated in a statement: "The Arbitral Tribunal has issued a Restraining Order which prohibits the Republic to take any measures to enforce fines?while arbitration is still pending." "NCOC, the Contracting Companies and their representatives reject the fine and the allegations that underlie it and will contest them by any means available." North Caspian Operating Company, a joint venture between Shell, TotalEnergies and ExxonMobil, as well as China's CNPC is a multi-national?venture. Kazakhstan won an arbitration in January concerning the Karachaganak?field. It was seeking to recover around $4 billion. (Reporting and writing by Mariya Goreyeva, Felix Light and Vladimir Soldatkin; editing by Jacqueline Wong & Tomaszjanowski)
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Gold drops as Mideast conflict dampens inflation hopes
Gold prices fell?on Friday as a Middle?East conflict escalated, fueling fears that the U.S. Federal Reserve might raise interest rates in this year. This tempered recent optimism about easing inflation. By 0518 GMT, spot gold had fallen 0.8% to $4,029.29 an ounce. U.S. gold for August delivery fell 0.4% to $4034.40. The latest escalation of the?U.S.Iran conflict has not been reflected in June's inflation numbers, according to Jigar Trivedi. He is a senior research analyst with IndusInd Securities. After reimposing its naval blockade, the U.S. launched a series of two-wave attacks against Iran's missile and coastal defence sites. Iran responded by attacking U.S. military bases in neighboring countries as part of what it termed an "existential conflict" with America. The oil price has risen by 11% this week alone, raising concerns about inflation. Gold is often seen as a hedge against inflation, but it's no longer attractive in an environment of high interest rates. U.S. consumer inflation and producer inflation both slowed down in June amid a drop in energy prices, confirming that inflation had been?subsiding' before the recent escalation of the Middle East conflict. However, the financial markets did not believe that a Fed rate increase this year was possible due to the moderated inflation. CME FedWatch Tool data shows that traders still price in a 73% chance for a Fed hike in December. Fed Governor Lisa Cook stated on Wednesday that she was "prepared to take action" if the inflation rate does not begin to fall soon. Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh also declared his determination for inflation to be brought down, without revealing how. Investors will be watching for comments from 'Dallas Fed president Lorie Logan, and 'Fed vice chair Philip Jefferson later today. Silver fell by 1.2% elsewhere to $57.07 an ounce. Palladium fell 0.4% to $1,308.49 and platinum dropped 0.6% to 1,664.75 (Reporting and editing by Subhranshu Sahu, Rashmi Anich and Swati verma from Bengaluru)
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The IEA warns that China's restrictions on rare earths threaten $6.5 trillion in Western industry
International Energy Agency warns that the full implementation of China’s rare earth export restriction could put $6.5 trillion in downstream production outside of the country at risk. China, the world's largest producer?of?rare Earths, increased export controls in?October of last year, to include additional materials, and introduced new licensing requirements. However, they agreed to postpone implementation for one year. Rare earths is a grouping of 17 metals that are used in small amounts but essential for products such as cars, aircrafts, electronics and weapons systems. The IEA's Global Critical Minerals outlook report stated that if the controls are fully implemented, an estimated $6.5 trillion?of manufacturing across the automotive and high-tech sectors, as well as the defence, energy, and defence sectors, could be affected by supply disruptions. According to the report, nearly half of all economic impacts would be attributed to the U.S. Fatih Birol, Executive Director of the IEA, said: "Our analysis shows that vast amounts of economic value are dependent on relatively small quantities?of critical minerals. Their supply chains remain highly concentrated and therefore vulnerable." The agency warned about the risks posed by China's planned controls on exports of graphite, an important material used in batteries for electric vehicles, which had been announced at the time but later delayed. The report stated that a full implementation of graphite controls would put around $300 billion?of downstream production in countries outside China at risk. China accounts for more than 90% of the global graphite production. Western governments are trying to create alternative supply chains for critical minerals. According to the IEA, public financing commitments of new?projects have more than quadrupled from 2023-2025. They now total $65 billion. New rare earth refinery projects in the U.S. The agency reported that Malaysia and China reduced China's share of the global market from 90% to 85% in the last year. If the planned projects are completed on time, this share could drop to 70% by 2035. Reporting by Eric Onstad. Mark Potter (Editing by Mark Potter).
Venezuela's oil, mining and mining sector: huge potential but weak infrastructure
Here are some key facts about Venezuela's oil and mining sector, after the capture of President Nicolas Maduro by U.S. troops on Saturday.
RESERVES
Official data show that Venezuela may have the largest oil reserves in the world, but its crude production is only a fraction of what it could be due to years of mismanagement, a lack of investment, and sanctions.
According to the Energy Institute in London, Venezuela has about 17% of the global?reserves (303 billion barrels), ahead of Saudi Arabia as the leader of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries.
According to the U.S. Department of Energy, Venezuela's heavy oil reserves, located in central Venezuela, are expensive to produce but relatively simple to process.
Maduro, then acting president Delcy Rodrguez, the former vice president of Venezuela, announced in 2019 a five-year plan to boost mineral extraction and replace oil production.
Venezuelan government data released the year before used terms from the mining industry interchangeably including resource and reserve, making it hard to determine if Caracas was aware of its full mining potential.
A reserve is a volume estimate for a mineral which can be economically produced. The volume of a particular mineral in a region is called a resource, regardless of whether it can be economically extracted.
The 2018 report was published by Venezuela's Mining Ministry website as a "minerals catalogue" for investors. It estimated that coal reserves were approximately 3 billion metric tonnes and nickel reserves were 407,885 tons.
The same report also estimated gold resources of 644 metric tonnes, iron ore resources of 14.68 billion tons (while acknowledging that much of this was a speculation estimate) and bauxite reserves of 321.5 millions metric ton.
Venezuela published in 2021 a map showing mineral reserves, based on 2009 data. The map did not include the volume of reserves for antimony, copper and nickel, coltan (molybdenum), magnesium, zinc, titanium and tungsten.
It does not seem that the country has a large amount of rare earths. Rare earths are a group of 17 minor metals which is used to produce magnets to turn energy into motion. Rare earths is a subset critical minerals.
PRODUCTION
Venezuela, along with Iran, Iraq Kuwait and Saudi Arabia, was a founder member of OPEC. The country's struggle with electricity has repeatedly hindered mining and oil operations.
In the 1970s the?country produced as much as 3.5 millions barrels of crude oil per day, which represented at that time over 7% global oil production. In the 2010s, production fell below 2,000,000 bpd and reached an average of 1.1,000,000 bpd in 2012 or just 1% global output. This was about the same as the U.S. State of North Dakota.
If the developments lead to a real regime change in the end, it could result in even more oil being available on market over time. It will take some time before production recovers fully," said Arne L. Rasmussen, Global Risk Management.
Saul Kavonic, analyst at MST Marquee, says that if regime change is successful, Venezuelan exports will grow, as sanctions are lifted, and foreign investments return.
Jorge Leon, Rystad's head of geopolitical analyses, said that Libya and Iraq are clear examples.
Trump said to Fox News Saturday that the United States will be heavily involved in Venezuela's petroleum sector.
It is unclear what the operational status of mines linked to Maduro’s five-year plans are. Maduro's National Council for Productive Economy said last month that the national production of iron ore, gold and coal increased in the first quarter of 2025. However, it did not provide any figures.
Venezuela nationalized the gold sector in 2011. The government controls CVG, a maker of iron and steel.
Last October, it was reported that Venezuela had restarted its coal production. The country aims to export over 10 million metric tonnes of this mineral by 2025. The government has not yet met this target. The U.S. Geological Survey estimates that Venezuela produced 100,000 tons of coal in 2019 from its 731 million tons of reserves.
In the last decade, oil has accounted for a large part of the country's mineral production, which includes nickel, bauxite and iron ore.
USGS data for 2021 shows that Venezuelan bauxite production will be 250,000 metric tonnes, down from 550,000 tons last year. Iron ore production, on a basis of iron content, was 1,41 million tons and gold production, 480 kg.
The USGS estimated that alumina production, which is refined from bauxite and used to produce?aluminium, would be down to 80,000 tons by 2021. This was down from 240,000 tons just four years ago. Aluminum production has been estimated at 20,000 tons, a drop from 144,000 tons four years earlier.
Joint Ventures
Petroleos de Venezuela S.A. (PDVSA) was formed in 1970 when Venezuela nationalized its oil industry. (PDVSA).
Venezuela opened up the oil sector for foreign investment in the 1990s. Venezuela required that all oil projects be owned by PDVSA in majority following the 1999 election of Hugo Chavez. Exxon-Conoco left Venezuela in the 2000s, and their assets were confiscated.
PDVSA has set up joint ventures with Chevron and other companies to boost production. These include ENI, China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC), Total, and Rosneft, a Russian company.
Maduro has threatened to issue mining licenses in 2023 in a region that is the subject of a dispute over ownership with Guyana, whose neighbor is located in this area.
Maduro’s government has supported the artisanal mining of gold in Venezuelan Amazon since at least 2016.
EXPORTS, ?REFINING
Since the introduction of the sanctions, China is now the largest buyer of Venezuelan crude oil.
Venezuela owes China about $10 billion after China became its largest lender during the late president Hugo Chavez.
Venezuela repays its loans by transporting crude in three very large carriers that were previously owned jointly by Venezuela and China.
In December, two of these supertankers approached Venezuela when Trump announced the blockade on all tankers entering and leaving the country.
According to industry sources and documents, including the monitoring service TankerTrackers.com, about a dozen oil tanks loaded with Venezuelan crude or fuel have left Venezuela's waters in apparent defiance of U.S. Government's export ban.
Trump said to Fox News Saturday that China will get the oil, without providing any further details. Russia has also lent Venezuela billions of dollar, but the exact amount remains unclear.
PDVSA owns significant refinery capacity outside of the country. This includes CITGO, which is located in the United States. However, creditors have been fighting to control it for years in U.S. courtrooms. Reporting by Marianna Paraga, Arathy Sommesekhar Dmitry Zhdannikov Ernest Scheyder Daina Beth Sool; Additional reporting by Tom Daly. Editing by Jason Neely Stephen Coates Nia Williams
(source: Reuters)