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Copper prices rise above $11,000 as US rates are likely to be cut

Copper prices rise above $11,000 as US rates are likely to be cut
Copper prices rise above $11,000 as US rates are likely to be cut

The copper price rose on Wednesday to its highest level in nearly a month, on the back of growing expectations that U.S. Federal Reserve would cut interest rates by December. Prices are also expected to rise after the outflows from U.S. stock markets.

The benchmark three-month price of copper at the London Metal Exchange rose 1.6% to $10,993.50 per metric tonne by 1033 GMT. It had previously reached $11,025 – its highest level since October 30. On October 29, the metal used for power and construction reached a record high at $11,200, boosted by concerns about a tighter supply of copper from the Grasberg Mine in Indonesia in this year and next.

Ewa Mannthey, ING commodities analyst, said that "upside risks" for copper were increasing, as the balance would tighten into 2026 due to supply challenges, low inventory levels and continuing trade distortions. Data on Tuesday showed that U.S. Retail Sales rose less than anticipated and that consumer confidence declined, which boosted expectations of a Fed rate cut soon. Lower interest rates are expected to support the demand for metals that depend on growth. Nicholas Snowdon said that the global copper cathode markets are facing a surplus between 350,000 and 400,000 tonnes this year. However, there will be a deficit next year of 500,000 tones of copper concentrate.

Snowdon, an influential copper bull, stated that the LME copper price would have to increase to bring metals back from the United States to global markets. The United States currently holds 70% of all global copper cathode inventories. Snowdon estimates that this could reach 90% by the first quarter 2026. Stocks of copper in LME registered warehouses Copper stocks on the Comex are down 42% in value this year. .

Other LME metals include aluminium, which rose 1.6%, to $2,845.50 per ton. Zinc also increased by 1%, to $3,022.50. Lead gained 0.3%, to $1,986, while tin grew 0.8%, to $37,735; and nickel remained unchanged at $14,870. (Reporting and editing by David Goodman Additional reporting by Dylan Duan)

(source: Reuters)