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Indonesian cobalt production will double by 2027. No plans to "control" supply

A senior official announced on Wednesday that Indonesia would double its cobalt production by 2027 compared to last year. He added that the country, the second-largest producer in the world, has no intention of "controlling" the supply of this key component for electric batteries.

Septian Hario Seto said that Indonesian cobalt production will increase to 114,630 metric tonnes per year in 2027 from the 55,630 tons produced in 2024.

Indonesia is the second largest cobalt producer in the world after the Democratic Republic of Congo, which produces 70% of the global supply. The DRC announced earlier on Wednesday that it is reviewing a ban on exports of cobalt for four months, which was implemented on February 22 in order to curb oversupply and low price.

In March, the DRC announced that it would also partner with Indonesia in order to manage global pricing and supply.

Seto stated that Jakarta has no intention of "controlling" the cobalt supply.

He said that if we want to control nickel, we'll need to control cobalt.

Seto stated that the growth in Indonesian production is driven by plants that use high pressure acid leaching, a technique made economically viable thanks to increased cobalt and Nickel prices since 2021.

Prices of cobalt will reach $40 per pound by 2022, before dropping to $10/lb by the end 2024. Prices have recovered substantially since the Congo export ban, and are currently around $16/lb.

Seto stated that the expansion of cobalt production in Indonesia will not be sufficient to compensate for the reduced supply from the DRC, if the export embargo continues.

He added that extending the export ban would cause short-term price volatility and long-term demand reduction for cobalt. This is because battery producers will, for example use technology to reduce cobalt consumption, which is a critical component of batteries for electric cars and mobile phones.

He said, "Downstream users may think you're not reliable or sustainable and will then look for ways to replace you."

He said that the cobalt content of batteries is now 10%, or even lower, than it was in the past. Reporting by Hongmei LI in Singapore, Editing by Lewis Jackson & Lincoln Feast.

(source: Reuters)