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The US corporate bond market is again closed due to Trump tariffs

After only one bond issue on Tuesday, the U.S. Corporate Bond Market has closed again. Spreads during the week following President Donald Trump’s Liberation Day Tariffs have increased the most since the regional banking crisis of 2023.

Since Trump's announcements of tariffs on April 2 - exactly one week before, the corporate bond spreads or cost to borrow have increased to their highest level in almost two years.

According to Dan Krieter of BMO Capital Markets, the spreads between investment-grade bonds and junk bonds have been the widest in a week since March 2023, when regional banking stresses led to the troubles of Silicon Valley Bank, among other banks.

On Tuesday, the bond market saw its first new deal for three days, a three-part $4.2 billion transaction from Paychex, a human resources provider. This was the first new deal since Holcim, a Swiss cement manufacturer, issued a four-part $3.4 billion bond on April 2.

According to ICE BofA's indexes, high-grade bond spreads widened by 2 basis points Tuesday. They were last at 118 bps after the market closed. The spreads on junk bonds were also 4 basis points tighter, at 457 basis points.

The spreads between high-grade bonds and junk bonds may have increased again on Wednesday, due in part to the early morning volatility in the U.S. Treasury markets, when Chinese and other Asian funds sold large volumes of Treasuries.

A senior banker told a syndicate that Paychex bonds started the day a few basis points lower, but by midday were quoted 3-4 bps higher.

The yields on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury notes jumped to an all-time high of 4.515% Wednesday.

"Risk sentiment has dropped again this morning. This is likely keeping borrowers at bay as issuers wait for any semblance calm, which remains elusive," stated Krieter. (Reporting and Editing by Matthew Lewis in Washington)

(source: Reuters)