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Investors' reaction to Trump tariff announcement

U.S. president Donald Trump escalated the trade war by announcing on Wednesday that he would impose tariffs in return for duties imposed by other countries on U.S. products.

Trump told an audience in the White House Rose Garden that "it's our declaration" of independence. "We will set a minimum base tariff of 10%."

The rates for China will be 34% while those for the European Union, Japan and Canada would be 20% and 24% respectively.

S&P futures reversed their gains and fell by 1.7%, indicating that investors are expecting a steep drop when Wall Street opens Thursday. Nasdaq Futures, which reflect tech companies like Apple, Nvidia, and Microsoft, fell 2.4% on Thursday after earlier gaining.

COMMENTS:

CHRIS ZACCARELLI, CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER, NORTHLIGHT ASSET MANAGEMENT, CHARLOTTE, N.C.

"When the first press conference began, the President announced that tariffs would begin with a baseline of 10% across the board. Futures rallied because it was better than expected. "But once he started to give examples that were higher than 10% and started giving specifics, the futures went negative as it was worse than anticipated."

In the short term, tariffs will increase costs and decrease corporate profits. "If we have a reshaping the economy, markets will have different judgments but the immediate knee-jerk response is to initial price increases."

Peter Cardillo, Chief Market Economist, Spartan Capital Securities, New York "The tariffs seem a bit high." "We will have to wait to see if the trade war ends in the way that the administration wants it to. It depends on our trading partner now." Will they negotiate with us or will they retaliate?

The markets are under severe pressure, and one could say that they have reached an oversold state. "I think the markets will rally."

FREDERIQUE CARRIIER, HEAD of INVESTMENT STRATEGY, RBC Wealth Management "Europe will face steep reciprocal tariffs, up to 20%. This is at the higher end of what market participants had feared."

"The calculation includes the sales tax (VAT), a tax that is levied on domestic and foreign products, and does not discriminate between US products. The VAT is a major source of revenue for governments in Europe, so member states are limited in their flexibility. Profit taking on the European equity market could continue tomorrow." The impact of tariffs is not likely to be as painful on European economies, despite the fact that they are unhelpful for economic growth. This is because Europe doesn't trade with the US enough. "We expect swift retaliation from the EU." The EU had imposed specific tariffs against the U.S. but put off their implementation. "We would expect that they be implemented in a short time."

(source: Reuters)