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Andy Home: Crisis in Europe is a hindrance to future metals strategies for Europe

Andy Home: Crisis in Europe is a hindrance to future metals strategies for Europe

The European Commission identified 47 strategic project which it hopes will kickstart the critical minerals sector in the region and reduce its dependency on imports from China, especially.

Even as European policymakers strive to create a future industrial base for the region, they face a crisis within its existing metals industry.

The long-term decline in European steel and aluminum production has been accelerated by Chinese overcapacity, and high energy costs.

However, the latest threat comes from the United States. The tariffs imposed by President Donald Trump, in particular the higher tariff on aluminum imports, could lead to a metal flood into Europe.

Europe's response will be equally protectionist and lead to further fracturing in global trade patterns.

BUILDING FOR FUTURE

Europe's strategic project qualify for fast-track progress through the permitting phase - maximum 27 months in case of mine projects, and 15 months in case of processing projects. They also have access to both European and national funding.

List is heavily geared towards battery inputs like lithium, cobalt and nickel, but includes other elements as well, such as germanium, gallium and tungsten. The list includes 14 of the 17 metals listed on the EU’s strategic metals.

The projects in 13 states span the entire supply chain, from mining and processing to recycling to materials substitution.

The EU should be able to meet its domestic production benchmarks of cobalt, lithium and nickel by 2030 and make "substantial" progress with other battery materials like manganese, graphite, and manganese.

METLEN’s project in Greece, which covers the needs of the region by 2028, will be able to meet the current Chinese export restrictions on gallium.

More is to come.

The European Commission has received 46 requests for projects outside the EU. The European Commission said that a decision regarding the selection of these projects would be made at a future stage.

CURRENT CRISIS

The European ambitions to develop new energy metals are in stark contrast with the problems that Europe's traditional metals sector faces.

The EU's steel production has fallen from 160 million tons in 2017 down to 126 millions in 2023. The Commission has stated that the current steel capacity utilization of around 65% was unsustainable.

Around half of the remaining capacity has been idled in the region since 2021.

In its "Action Plan", the Commission identifies that high power costs are a major problem for their industrial metals base. The power prices soared in 2022 following Russia's invasion in Ukraine. Although they have since dropped, they are still higher than their historical levels and far above those in the United States.

There are a number of proposed solutions, from improving the efficiency of the network to facilitating longer-term contracts for power supply.

The short-term goal is to "use all of the flexibility (of the state aid rules) in order to reduce costs for energy intensive industries."

Tariff Turbulence

Metal diverted from America washing up in Europe has prompted a focus on ways to stop further contractions in Europe's nonferrous and steel metals sector.

According to the Executive Vice-President of the European Commission Stephane Sejourne, tighter steel import quotas may come as early as next month.

The Commission is considering a "melted and poured rule" that would allow it to take action directly against the original metal producer, rather than the third-party converter.

The Commission is preparing to implement some kind of safeguard measure in order to prepare for the plans for import restrictions.

Many struggling operators are in a race against the clock.

Paul Voss has called for "immediate and targeted interventions to stabilize the sector immediately."

One of these interventions would be to stop the flow of recyclable material out of Europe.

SCRAP WARS

The U.S. 25% tariff on aluminum imports has been described as "without exemptions or exceptions", but it does not apply to scrap.

The EU was already on course to export 1.3 million tonnes of aluminium scrap last year. This figure will likely rise as more scrap material is sent to the United States where it can be remelted into aluminum products, and the processors are able to pocket the premium.

The threat of U.S. tariffs on copper is already causing European copper recycling companies to worry that more units are being sent to the United States, along with refined metal.

The Commission promises to propose appropriate trade measures by the third quarter this year to ensure that more scrap remains in the EU.

This will include reciprocal actions against both countries that impose metals tariffs as well as those who currently block the export of scrap.

Geopolitics have not affected global scrap trading much, but this is about to change.

SENSE OF URGENCY

When it comes to critical metals, the European Union is catching up with the United States.

The 27-member bloc does not have the same presidential powers as the Joe Biden or Trump administrations.

The combination of metals action plans and strategic projects shows that the European Commission is aware of the importance of building for the future while protecting what they already have.

As both corporations and lobby groups are quick to note, words must be followed by actions.

To quote Voss, European Aluminium: "Strategy will not keep our operation running."

These are the opinions of the columnist, an author for.

(source: Reuters)