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France 'far from prepared' to build 6 new nuclear reactors, auditor states
France is far from all set to construct six nuclear reactors, the state's leading audit body stated on Tuesday, underlining the difficulties the country faces in invigorating its aging fleet of nuclear power plants. French President Emmanuel Macron revealed a strategy in 2022 for state-owned utility EDF to construct six European pressurised reactors (EPRs). The cost was estimated at 51.7 billion euros ($ 52.73. billion), however modified approximately 67.4 billion in 2023 on greater raw. material and engineering expenses. EDF planned to update that price quote by the end of in 2015. but has actually refrained from doing so publicly. Building and construction is anticipated to get underway in 2027 but with. financing for the job still unpredictable, the supply chain has. not had the ability to get ready for such a large construction. program, raising the threat of failure, the Court of Auditors. stated in its report. France gets about 70% of its power from nuclear plants,. however a number of its aging reactors will quickly need to be retired. It is likewise intending to export its know-how amidst revived. interest in nuclear energy globally, and to show the. efficiency of its brand-new streamlined EPR model, called EPR2. While the estimated budget for the brand-new reactors has. increased, it stays much lower than other recently finished. tasks, based on what EDF hopes will be efficiencies won from. constructing a series of plants. Although the market has actually started to prepare for. building of the EPR2s, it faces many challenges, not least. unpredictability over funding, the audit report stated. French officials are dealing with plans to provide an. interest-free loan to EDF to fund a substantial part of. the building and construction, Reuters has actually reported, however the strategy has not yet. been finalised. Hold-ups and unpredictabilities ... decrease the exposure that the. players in the sector need to participate in commercial tasks of. this magnitude and obtain funding, said the audit body. It included that the accumulation of threats and restraints. might cause a failure of the EPR2 programme. EDF responded that defining funding and regulation schemes. with the state was a prerequisite for its final financial investment. decision, which it formerly stated it was considering for early. 2026. EDF plans to take a last investment decision on the. programme in early 2026. The auditor predicted mediocre success of the. just recently released Flamanville EPR, based upon future power costs. It approximated the reactor expense around 23.7 billion euros,. consisting of funding. EDF said that the competitiveness of the EPR2 programme. would depend in part on the financing plan that will be. reached as part of the contract between the state and the. European Commission. EDF stated it considers it needed to conclude a. initial agreement with the state to set the framework for the. investments to be funded under this program, prior to. getting authorisation from Brussels. It added that EDF is likewise dealing with a considerable boost. in expenses at the UK's Hinkley Point nuclear plant, which it is. now carrying alone after the withdrawal of Chinese partner. CGN in 2023. It ought to secure new financiers in the project, previously. dedicating financing for Britain's Sizewell C plant, it stated. EDF repeated that its contribution to the funding of. Sizewell C underwent the fulfilment of particular conditions,. including its stake capping at 20%.
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Vietnam indications nuclear cooperation handle Russia's Rosatom
Vietnam and Russia signed on Tuesday a contract on nuclear energy and numerous cooperation offers throughout a check out to Hanoi by Russian Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin, highlighting close ties between the 2 nations. Russia's nuclear energy company Rosatom and Vietnam's. state-owned power utility EVN consented to increase cooperation in the. nuclear sector, according to a joint file. Vietnam prepares to restart its nuclear energy programme having. suspended it for years, as it needs to increase power generation to. feed its growing industrial sector, a crucial motorist of its economy. Russia also accepted transfer a maritime research study vessel,. under a deal signed by Vietnam's defence ministry and Russia's. science ministry. The 2 sides will evaluate, go over and discover services to. the restrictions in bilateral cooperation, Vietnam's federal government. stated on its website, describing the agreements signed on. Tuesday. Western sanctions imposed on Russia for its military. operation in Ukraine have hampered monetary deals. between the 2 partners. Russia is Vietnam's biggest supplier of weapons, but Hanoi. has in current years stated it wishes to diversify its sources of. military hardware.
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What does Indian market want from February's spending plan?
Indian Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman will present the national budget on Feb. 1, amidst slowing development in Asia's third biggest economy and rising global unpredictabilities. Market is lobbying for steps to increase development expected to stutter to a four-year low this fiscal year, by putting more money in the hands of the middle class as urban intake fails. The federal government is thinking about some income-tax cuts and incentives for electronics makers, Reuters reported last month. CONSUMPTION INCREASE The federal government needs to cut tax on fuel and reduce income tax for those making up to 2 million rupees ($ 23,000), lobby group Confederation of Indian Industry (CII) stated. It needs to also increase benefits under state-backed schemes such as a rural job guarantee scheme, raise money handouts to farmers and think about usage coupons for lower earnings groups. TAX CHANGES India must further streamline tax rules to alleviate company, said another lobby group, FICCI. The government should consider providing relief in capital gains tax on factory sale continues invested in larger systems, said Virender Nagpal of small-industry group Laghu Udyog Bharti. INFRASTRUCTURE COSTS India ought to maintain increased facilities spending and raise it by a quarter in the next beginning with April 1, CII stated. Government infrastructure spending has been essential to India's. world-beating financial development in the last few years, though it is. likely to undershoot a record spending allowance of 11.1. trillion rupees ($ 131.72 billion) in 2024/2025. TARIFF CUTS The federal government must cut tasks on electronic. components such as parts of mobile telephones, consisting of parts. of printed circuit boards (PCB) and electronic camera modules, to lower. expenses for domestic phone assembly units, the Indian Cellular and. Electronic devices Association said. India is the world's fourth-largest cell phone provider. with much of its production progress led by global firms such. as Apple and Samsung. India aims to expand. its electronics making to $500 billion by fiscal 2030. ICEA said India ought to also cut duties on parts for. television makers and cars and truck screens, while thinking about allocating. financial backing of nearly $4.6 billion to assist domestic. electronic part manufacturing. EXPORT FOCUS With China mainly front-and-centre for Trump's tariff. threats, India might discover a substantial chance to boost. exports by $25 billion in sectors such as electronic devices,. vehicles, chemicals and textiles, stated Ashwani Kumar, head of. the Federation of Indian Export Organisations' (FIEO). To exploit the circumstance India should consider a new. marketing scheme focused on exports to the Unied States, FIEO. said in a statement. India must wean itself of dependence on foreign carriers by. investing even more in its own shipping corporation or encourage a. private sector shipping line, the body included.
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BP warns of fourth quarter earnings struck as production and refining margins fall
BP cautioned on Tuesday that lower production, weak refining margins and slow trading would see its revenue in the 4th quarter of 2024 fall from the previous three months. Given that taking the helm a year back, CEO Murray Auchincloss has scaled back the firm's energy transition technique in an effort to improve earnings and regain investor self-confidence as BP's share lags behind its competitors. A capital markets occasion formerly set up for Feb. 11 in New York will instead happen on Feb. 26 in London, BP said, as Auchincloss is recuperating from a planned medical treatment. BP said the drop in refining margins and a higher effect from turn-around and upkeep activity would lead to a. quarter-on-quarter drop in earnings of up to $300 million, while. realisations in its oil production and operations unit could. cause a more reduction of $200 million to $400 million. It. also expects a drop in upstream production. The business's 3rd quarter underlying replacement cost. earnings, the company's definition of net income, was $2.27. billion, already the weakest since the 4th quarter of 2020,. when revenues collapsed throughout the pandemic. Global demand for fuel and diesel has actually fallen short of. expectations, while the launch of new oil refineries in Asia and. Africa has actually resulted in oversupply. Recently, Shell alerted of weak point throughout several. divisions, while Exxon Mobil signified a $1.75 billion. drop in fourth-quarter incomes. BP, which will release fourth quarter results on Feb. 11,. expects its net financial obligation at end-December to have actually fallen from the end. of the previous quarter. Expedition write-offs are seen falling. by $100 million to $200 million.
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Ukraine boosts rolled steel output, exports in 2024, union says
Ukraine increased rolled steel production by almost 16% in 2024 to 6.2 million heaps and increased exports thanks to higher raw steel output, its steel producers' union stated late on Monday. Ukraine's steel output increased by 21.6% to 7.58 million metric lots in spite of production suffering because Russia's invasion on Feb. 24, 2022, which has actually led to the destruction of steel plants. 2 industry sources informed Reuters this week that Ukraine has halted production at its only coking coal mine, situated in Pokrovsk, due to advancing Russian forces. That postures a fresh difficulty for a market which in 2015 created about $4.4 billion in export profits. The steelmakers' union stated in October the possible closure of the Pokrovsk mine could trigger steel production to drop to 2-3 million metric loads in 2025. The union said in a declaration that rolled steel makers improved exports to about 4.17 million tons in 2024 from 2.99 million in 2023. The European Union accounted for 70.7% of Ukraine's rolled steel exports last year.
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India's palm oil imports drop 41% m/m to 9-month low
India's palm oil imports in December plunged 41% from a month previously to a ninemonth low, as a rally in prices to a 21/2year high triggered refiners to increase purchases of rival soyoil readily available at a discount, a leading trade body stated. Lower palm oil imports by India, the world's greatest buyer of veggie oils, might weigh on benchmark Malaysian palm oil rates, but support U.S. soyoil futures. Palm oil imports in December was up to 500,175 metric lots, the lowest because March 2024, the Solvent Extractors' Association of India (SEA) stated in a declaration on Tuesday. Imports of soyoil increased 3.2% to 420,651 loads, the greatest in four months, and sunflower oil imports fell 22.3% to 264,836 heaps, the trade body stated. Lower imports of palm oil and sunflower oil reduced the nation's total vegetable oil imports in December by 24.3% to 1.23 million tons, the most affordable in 3 months, the SEA stated. Palm oil is losing market share in India to more affordable soyoil as declining Malaysian palm oil exports due to tightening up supplies are driving consumers towards South American soyoil, the SEA said. Palm oil normally trades at a discount to soyoil and sunflower oil, but falling stocks have raised its prices above rival oils, whose products are plentiful, traders said. Palm oil's premium over rival oils has boiled down in the last couple of weeks, but the vegetable oil still holds a premium of more than $40 per heap over soyoil, which will motivate Indian purchasers to decrease imports even in January, stated a Mumbai-based dealership with an international trade home. India purchases palm oil primarily from Indonesia, Malaysia and Thailand, while it imports soyoil and sunflower oil from Argentina, Brazil, Russia and Ukraine.
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OMV sees favorable Q4 incomes impact of $215 mln from Gazprom arbitration
Austrian oil and gas group OMV said on Tuesday it expected a positive impact of around 210 million euros ($ 215.4 million) on its fourthquarter incomes from an arbitral award linked to its German gas supply contract with Gazprom. The Vienna-based company included the favorable net effect would be tape-recorded in the tidy operating outcome of its Gas Marketing && . Power business unit. OMV stated in November it had received an award of more than. 230 million euros from the International Chamber of Commerce in. connection with irregular German gas supplies from Gazprom. Export. In a fourth-quarter trading update, it also stated greater. fixed expenses primarily due to seasonal effects would have a. mid-double-digit million euro impact on the tidy operating. outcome of its chemicals business. OMV's chemicals department, considered as a development engine for the. company as it moves far from contaminating nonrenewable fuel sources, produces. chemicals used in gas and water pipes, automobile parts and medical. syringes, to name a few things. The group's Fuels & & Feedstock organization was struck by a. considerably lower marketing result and greater repaired costs in. the quarter, causing a low double-digit million euro impact. on the system's clean operating outcome, OMV said. A clean operating result is based upon the present cost of. supply, and omits one-off products and short-term gains and. losses from energy inventory holdings. OMV taped mixed typical energy rates in the 4th. quarter, with a 7.4% fall in typical realized petroleum price to. $ 72.6 per barrel, while that of gas rose 22.9% to 30.6. euros per MWh. OMV will publish its full fourth-quarter results on Feb. 4.
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Iron ore extends gains on lower shipments, robust China steel exports
Iron ore futures rose for a. fourth straight session on Tuesday to hover near their greatest. levels in more than a week, helped by lower shipments from key. manufacturers and leading consumer China's robust steel exports. The most-traded May iron ore agreement on China's Dalian. Product Exchange (DCE) ended daytime trade 2.22%. greater at 783 yuan ($ 106.81) a metric load, striking the greatest. level because Jan. 3. The benchmark February iron ore on the Singapore. Exchange increased 1.68% to $100.4 a ton, as of 0717 GMT. It struck the. highest level because Jan. 3 at $100.8 earlier in the day. Iron ore deliveries from Australia and Brazil, the world's. leading 2 producers, slipped by 9% week-on-week to 23.88 million. tons in the week of Jan. 6-12, data from consultancy Mysteel. showed. Also assisting the essential steelmaking ingredient were lightened up. need prospects as steel exports remained robust. China's steel exports last month climbed up 25.9% year-on-year. to bring the 2024 overall to a nine-year high of 110.72 million. heaps, an increase of 22.7% from 2023, custom-mades information showed on Monday. China's steel exports are likely to post yearly development in. January and February too amid competitive costs,. diminishing yuan, and rising export orders amongst steelmakers,. Wang Guoqing, an expert at consultancy Lange Steel, said in a. note on Monday. Wang anticipated steel exports in 2025 to stay at between 80. million and 100 million loads in the middle of growing trade frictions. Other steelmaking components on the DCE advanced, with. coking coal and coke up 2.03% and 0.9%,. respectively. A lot of steel benchmarks on the Shanghai Futures Exchange were. more powerful on high raw materials costs. Rebar included 1.48%, hot-rolled coil increased. 1.94%, wire rod climbed up 1.24% while stainless steel. ticked 0.19% lower. China's latest bank loan information that beat expectations also enhanced sentiment in the. ferrous market.
LME puts 2022 nickel crisis behind it as trading booms: Andy Home
The London Metal Exchange ( LME) has actually now totally recuperated from its neardeath nickel crisis in 2022, with trading activity last year the greatest considering that 2015 and the fourth greatest on record.
Typical everyday volumes at the 148-year-old institution were 664,698 lots in 2024, up by 18.2% on 2023, the LME said.
Nickel volumes leapt by 58.8% and by the end of the year were back at levels seen in 2021 prior to the marketplace meltdown and suspension of trading in March 2022.
Underpinning the recovery has actually been a steep increase in LME nickel stock, part of a broader pattern of greater exchange stocks, and restored investor interest in the commercial metals sector.
The tide of fund cash also lifted volumes on the CME , which has actually been aggressively broadening its metals portfolio to compete with the LME.
Undoubtedly, the world of metals trading is ending up being an ever more contested arena with the Shanghai Futures Exchange (ShFE). aiming to expand its worldwide existence and brand-new players. offering alternative prices models.
STOCKS LIQUIDITY
The LME's nickel crisis was compounded by low stocks and the. absence of physical shipment alternatives available to big brief. position holders such as China's Tsingshan Group.
The exchange has because authorized as great delivery 6 new. brands of nickel, 5 from China and one from Indonesia.
LME nickel inventory, both on-warrant and off-warrant, grew. to almost 230,000 metric tons at the end of November 2024 from. under 40,000 in May 2023.
LME stocks are now a lot more lined up with nickel market. characteristics, which has actually boosted both confidence and trading volumes.
Nickel is simply one element of a bigger turn of the. stock cycle. LME stocks of all metals were 2.2 million lots. at the end of November, up by 505,000 loads on the start of 2024. and more than double levels seen over much of 2022.
More stock means more funding and, in the case of. aluminium and zinc in specific, more stocks churn as traders. arbitrage storage differentials.
All the LME base metals except tin saw greater exchange stock. levels last year, which assists discuss the rise in activity. across all the core agreements.
THE INVESTMENT RADAR
Tin volumes leapt by 25.9% in 2024 relative to 2023 even. though it was the only metal to see exchange stocks decrease over. the year.
That talks to the other huge chauffeur of increased LME. activity last year - the return of financiers to the base metals. markets.
Funds were holding record long places on the LME tin. agreement in September, reflecting more comprehensive investment interest in. the clean-energy metals story.
Not a surprise that copper volumes on the LME and the CME. exchanges surged in the very first half of 2024 as funds stampeded. into a market that was trading at record small highs.
Retail financiers are likewise being drawn into metals trading.
CME's micro copper contract, which the exchange states is. tailored to the specific financier, has actually seen volumes more. than double in both 2023 and 2024. Although each contract is for. simply 2,500 pounds of copper, last year's volumes were equivalent. to over 3.3 million tons.
Nevertheless, fund streams in copper peaked with the price and all. 3 major exchanges saw volumes slide over the 2nd part of. 2024.
Funds likewise left the tin market after September with volume. growth in the LME agreement slowing to just 8.9% in December from. over 40% in the second quarter.
Indeed, total LME volumes contracted in December for the. very first time because March 2023 as a resurgent dollar and a. record-breaking U.S. stock exchange saw metals when again fall off. the investor radar. For how long remains to be seen.
MORE CONTRACTS, MORE COMPETITION
The LME can now boast three progressively liquid steel. agreements, although it has lost to the CME when it pertains to. battery metals such as cobalt and lithium.
The CME's lithium hydroxide contract saw volumes rise from. 20,307 lots in 2023 to 91,094 in 2015, making it one of the most. liquid recommendation point beyond China.
CME cobalt volumes of 28,720 lots last year overshadowed the. 1,600 lots traded on the London agreement.
The Shanghai exchange, meanwhile, has actually fleshed out its core. base metals portfolio with new lead, nickel and tin choices. contracts and an alumina agreement that notched up volumes of. over 79 million lots in its very first full year of trading.
ShFE has actually made clear of its ambition to draw more. overseas gamers to the Shanghai market and has actually been looking at. worldwide delivery points to accomplish benchmark prices. status.
With the CME's aluminium futures and choices volumes also. growing last year, the LME's dominant role in global metals. rates is dealing with risks from both east and west along with. new players looking for a piece of the metals trading action.
BHP's suspension of its nickel operations in 2015. appeared to scupper plans by ABAXX Commodity Exchange and Global. Commodities Holdings (GCH) to introduce alternative prices models.
However ABAXX introduced its nickel sulphate contract on Jan. 10. and has actually simply announced the first block trade executed between. Traxys and HNK Alpha.
GCH, on the other hand, posted on LinkedIn on Friday that the. world's first really physical nickel contract is coming to life. with a bid-ask spread for full-plate metal in Rotterdam.
There may yet be a sting in the tail of the LME nickel legend.
The opinions revealed here are those of the author, a. writer .
(source: Reuters)