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As rising Middle East tensions fuel interest rate hikes, gold prices drop by nearly 3%

As rising Middle East tensions fuel interest rate hikes, gold prices drop by nearly 3%
As rising Middle East tensions fuel interest rate hikes, gold prices drop by nearly 3%

Gold prices dropped nearly 3% Monday after U.S. president Donald 'Trump' said he would reinstate a naval blockade against Iran. This would boost oil markets and reignite inflation fears, as well as raise the prospect of longer-term higher U.S. rates.

By 10:38 am EDT (1438 GMT), spot gold had fallen 2.8%, to $4.005.59 an ounce. This was the lowest price since July 1. Prices fell for a second consecutive session.

U.S. Gold Futures fell 2.4% to $4013.40.

The Middle East conflict is causing oil prices to rise, and the Federal Reserve could tighten policy. This is bad for gold and other zero-yielding investments, said?Fawad Rasaqzada of Forex.com.

He added that if oil prices continue to rise, gold prices may break down, and could initially head towards the $3,800 mark, and then possibly reach $3,500 if selling pressure increases.

Rates Outlook

Trump announced on Monday that the U.S. would reinstate a naval blocade against Iran and receive a 20% reimbursement on all cargo transported through the Strait of Hormuz, after Tehran claimed to have closed the strait. The news caused oil futures to jump 5%.

Oil prices that are higher can cause inflation because they increase energy and transportation costs across the economy. This could lead central banks to raise interest rates to combat price pressures.

CME Group's FedWatch Tool shows that traders believe there is a 71% probability that the U.S. central bank will increase interest rates this September.

Kevin Warsh, Fed chair, is scheduled to give his first testimony on monetary policy before Congress on Tuesday. Market participants will be looking for clues in his remarks about the future of rates.

This week, the U.S. Government will release important data, including the Consumer Price Index, Producer Price Index and Retail Sales?reports of June, as well as weekly claims for unemployment.

Silver spot fell 3.5%, to $57.77 an ounce. Platinum dropped 1.4%, to $1.607,72. Palladium was down by 1.7%, to $1.254.94. Ashitha Shivprasad in Bengaluru and Anjana Anil, editors Helen Popper and Paul Simao.

(source: Reuters)