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Gold drops as Gulf tensions fuel inflation concerns and Fed rate hike bets

Gold prices fell on Monday as recent hostilities in Gulf added to inflation fears and expectations of rate hikes by the U.S. Federal Reserve, putting pressure on the non-yielding material. As of 1053 GMT, spot gold was down by 1.3% to $4,036.19 an ounce. U.S. Gold Futures for August Delivery fell by 1.1%, to $4.051/oz.

Bullion experienced a weekly decline of 1.7% on Friday, and is on course for a monthly loss in excess of 10%. A U.S. official announced on Sunday that Iran and the United States had agreed to cease recent hostilities and re-start talks regarding their dispute over Strait of Hormuz. Iran fired missiles and drones towards the United States. Early on Sunday morning, military sites were found in Kuwait and Bahrain. This was shortly after President Donald Trump had threatened to cease the existence of the 'Islamic Republic' if they did not honour an agreement to end a war. Investors are still uncertain about the U.S.-Iran Peace Talks, which is putting pressure on gold prices. ActivTrades Analyst Ricardo Evangelista said that investors were under pressure because they were unsure of how things would progress.

Crude oil prices rose on the day.

Gold is often seen as a hedge to inflation but its appeal dwindles in an environment of high interest rates because it doesn't yield any interest. CME's FedWatch tool showed that the markets are pricing in three Fed rate increases this year. There is a 61% probability of a hike in September. Investors are now awaiting June's ADP Employment Data and the U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls data for more clues about the Fed's policy.

"A stronger-than-expected U.S. non-farm payrolls reading later this week ?could reinforce expectations of a ?more hawkish Federal Reserve, creating the conditions ?for a sustained break below $4,000," said Evangelista. Silver fell 2.4% per ounce to $57.73, platinum dropped 1.4% to $1.590.70, and palladium increased 0.6% to $1.216.67. (Reporting by Sumit Saha in Bengaluru; Editing Harikrishnan Nair and Tasim Zahid)

(source: Reuters)