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German automakers caught in the crosshairs of Trump's latest tariff salvo

The shares of German automakers fell on Monday after President Donald Trump decided to increase U.S. tariffs on imported European vehicles to a 25% levy from the previously agreed 15% levy, dealing 'a 'fresh blow to an already battered industry.

As of 1046 GMT the pan-European auto and parts index had fallen 2.3%, while shares for Porsche, BMW Mercedes-Benz, and Volkswagen all fell between 2% and 3%.

Trump claimed on Friday that Brussels had failed to comply with an agreement reached between Washington DC and Brussels in 2017 that reduced U.S. tariffs on automobile imports by 15%. The implementation by the EU has been slow, and it is not expected to be complete before June.

Trump's tariff announcement that he said would force European firms to move production more quickly to the U.S. has now upset this deal, and drawn harsh criticism from European politicians.

GERMAN CARMAKERS: ANOTHER YEAR OF WARNINGS ABOUT PROFIT?

After the first round of U.S. tariffs, the head of ANFIA –?the lobby for Italy's auto parts makers that largely supplies German carmakers – said that the industry is now better prepared to deal with higher duties.

Roberto Vavassori stated, "It's another slap on the face after we have already suffered a barrage"

He said that the Trump administration may have felt the need to increase the tariffs due to the influx of refund requests it has received since the U.S. Supreme Court ruled against some of President Trump's tariffs back in February.

"That is the only rationale that I can think of." Vavassori stated that the administration's main goal is to keep you on your feet.

Matthias Schmidt, European Autos Market Analyst at Schmidt Automotive, says that additional duties will further weaken Germany's premium auto manufacturers.

He stated that he expected "2026 will be another year of warnings" and noted that Audi, Porsche and other companies are most vulnerable due to the lack of U.S. manufacturing facilities.

Bernstein Research estimates the additional 10 percent in tariffs will cost Germany's automakers around 2.6 billion euro ($3.05 billion). It added that manufacturers would likely "attempt" to offset some of the burden by raising prices.

Germany's export dependent automotive sector is already under pressure from a softening of demand in China and a slowing of global growth, as well as increased input costs.

Volkswagen Group, which includes Audi and Porsche, will suffer a 4 billion euro hit in 2025 due to U.S. Tariffs.

Volvo Cars in Sweden, whose shares fell by 0.2%, stated that it was still too early to make any comments on the potential implications of the new tariffs.

Rico Luman, a senior economist at ING Research noted that Trump 'has used tariff threats regularly as a negotiating tool, but he has not always followed them through and implemented them.

The EU legislative and adoption process can be lengthy. The threatened tariff could encourage the EU Parliament and Council, however, to accelerate formal adoption.

(source: Reuters)