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CORRECTED - Russia prepares to seize strategic Ukrainian city Pokrovsk

According to Russian military blogs, Russian forces are on the verge of taking Pokrovsk in eastern Ukraine after a pincer-like movement encircled the city while small groups highly mobile Russian units entered the city.

What is POKROVSK?

Pokrovsk, a hub for road and rail in Ukraine's eastern Donetsk Region, had a population of around 60,000 before the war. The majority of people have fled. All children have been evacuated, and there are few civilians left.

The road is a major one used by the Ukrainian army.

The only coking coal mine in Ukraine, which was used to make steel, is located about six miles (10 kilometers) west of Pokrovsk. Metinvest, a Ukrainian steelmaker, announced in January that it had suspended mining activities there.

The largest and oldest technical university of the region, Pokrovsk's, has been damaged by shelling. It now stands abandoned.

Why does Russia want Pokrovsk?

Russia wants the entire Donbas region which includes Luhansk & Donetsk Provinces. Ukraine still controls 10% of Donbas, which is an area of approximately 5,000 square kilometers (1,930 sq mi) in western Donetsk.

The Russian president Vladimir Putin claims that Donbas now belongs to Russia, but Kyiv as well as the West reject Moscow’s seizure of territory.

Capturing Pokrovsk (dubbed by Russian media "the gateway to Donetsk") and Kostiantynivka, to its northeast, which Russian forces are trying to envelop would give Moscow a base to drive north to the two largest remaining Ukrainian-controlled Donetsk cities - Kramatorsk & Sloviansk.

Why has it taken so long?

Russia has been threatening Pokrovsk since more than a decade, but its military has used a different strategy. Instead of the frontal attacks that were so famously employed in Bakhmut by Russia's military, they have adopted a new tactic.

Russian forces used pincer movements to nearly completely encircle Pokrovsk, and then harassed Ukrainian forces with small units and drones in order to disrupt logistics and create chaos at their rear.

In essence, Russia's tactic carved out what Russian military blogs called a gray zone of ambiguity from the city. This was a place where neither side could control it but that was very difficult to defend.

It may take time to clear Pokrovsk as well as the nearby Myrnohrad, which will delay Russia's official announcement. The Russian offensive on Pokrovsk was also delayed by the Ukraine's incursion in the Kursk region last year.

What is happening now?

Ukraine has been rushing to reinforce positions in the city.

"There are fierce battles in the city, and at the entrances to the city..." Logistics is difficult. "We must continue to destroy occupiers," said President Volodymyr Zelenskiy on Sunday.

Valery Gerasimov (Chief of the General Staff) told Putin that Russia had stopped a large number Ukrainian soldiers from entering the area. Russian bloggers claimed that Ukraine's top units had left the area.

The pro-Ukrainian war blogger DeepState said that Russian forces continued to infiltrate into the city.

DeepState stated that "the situation in Pokrovsk has reached a critical point and is continuing to deteriorate at a rate where it could be too late for redress."

Due to restrictions on reporting in the war zone, it was impossible to verify any battlefield reports.

What is Russia doing along the rest of the front?

The Russian military claims to have control over more than 19% (116,000 square kilometers) of Ukraine.

Gerasimov said to Putin that Russian forces are also advancing into the Dnipropetrovsk region of Ukraine and Zaporizhzhia and they threaten Kupiansk, which is located in Kharkiv's region.

The Russian advance towards Zaporizhzhia indicates that Moscow's current plan includes taking over the entire region.

Moscow considers Crimea, Luhansk Donetsk Zaporizhzhia Kherson and Zaporizhzhia to be subjects of the Russian Federation. Kyiv claims they are all part Ukraine.

The majority of countries do not recognize the area as being part of Russia, but Syria and Nicaragua have recognized Moscow's annexation. In 2014, the United Nations General Assembly declared that the annexation was illegal and recognized Crimea as part Ukraine.

Putin accused the West for having double standards, accusing them of recognising Kosovo in 2008 as an independent state against Serbia's will but refusing to recognize Crimea. Russia opposes the independence of Kosovo. (Reporting and editing by Gareth Jones, Guy Faulconbridge)

(source: Reuters)