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EU retaliation plans intensify as prospects for a US tariff deal dim

EU retaliation plans intensify as prospects for a US tariff deal dim

According to EU diplomats, the European Union is looking at a wider range of countermeasures that could be taken against the United States. This comes as the prospects for a trade agreement between Washington and Brussels are fading.

Diplomats report that a growing number of EU member states, including Germany are considering the use of wide-ranging anti-coercion measures, which would allow the bloc to target U.S. service providers or restrict access to public procurements in the event of no deal.

The European Commission (which negotiates trade deals on behalf of 27 member countries) had seemed to be on track for an agreement where the EU would have still faced a 10% U.S. duty on most of its exported goods, but with some concessions.

These hopes seem to have been dashed following President Donald Trump’s threat to impose 30% tariffs by August 1 and the talks between EU Trade Commissar Maros SEFCIOVIC and U.S. counterparts last week in Washington.

Sefcovic has stated that a 30% tariff will "practically prevent" transatlantic trade. He delivered a sobering report to EU envoys about the current situation on Friday.

The EU diplomats said that the U.S. counterparts came up with different solutions during their meetings, such as a base rate of well over 10%.

Each interlocutor had a different idea. One diplomat stated that no one could tell what (Sefcovic), would work with Trump.

The chances of the United States reducing or eliminating their 50% tariffs on aluminum and steel, and their 25% tariffs on cars and auto parts are limited.

'NUCLEAR OPTION'

Washington also rejected the EU demand for a "standstill", whereby no tariffs will be imposed following a deal. Diplomats claim that Trump cannot be restrained on national security issues, which is the basis for Section 232 investigations into timber, semiconductors and pharmaceuticals.

EU diplomats report that the mood among EU member states has shifted, and that they are now more prepared to react - even though a negotiated resolution is their preferred solution.

The EU currently has a package of tariffs that are suspended until the 6th of August. It is based on goods from the United States worth 24.5 billion dollars or 21 billion euros. The EU still has to decide on another set of countermeasures for 72 billion euro of U.S. imports.

The EU has also been discussing the use of its "anti-coercion instrument" (ACI), which allows it to take retaliatory action against third-country countries who put economic pressure on their member states to alter their policies.

If the EU were to focus more on China, this would allow it to target the trade of U.S. financial services and public tenders, where the U.S. enjoys a surplus in trade with the EU. The EU's public procurement is valued at around 2 trillion euro per year.

Other possible measures include restricting U.S. investments, limiting protection of intellectual properties rights and imposing restrictions on the sale of U.S. food or chemicals in Europe.

France has always backed the ACI. Others have resisted what they see as a nuclear alternative. Trump has threatened to retaliate against other countries who take action against the United States.

Ursula von der Leyen, President of the European Commission, said last week that ACI was designed for situations beyond normal. She added: "We're not there yet."

It would require a majority of 15 EU countries, which represents 65% of its population, to be able to use it. Diplomats in the EU say that it would only do this if it were confident it could pass it. However, there are signs that support is growing, and Germany is one of those countries who have said it should be taken into consideration. Reporting by Philip Blenkinsop & Andrew Gray. Andrew Heavens, Mark Potter and Andrew Heavens edited the article.

(source: Reuters)