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Gold prices fall as optimism about a cease-fire between Russia and Ukraine reduces demand for safe-haven gold.
The gold price fell on Tuesday as the slightly stronger dollar and optimism about a possible ceasefire between Russia, Ukraine and Ukraine dampened investor interest in safe-haven assets. As of 0427 GMT, spot gold was down by 0.5%, at $3,213.35 per ounce. U.S. Gold Futures fell 0.6% to $3215.50. Dollars have recovered slightly after hitting a low of more than a week in the previous session. This makes gold priced in greenbacks less attractive to those who hold other currencies. Kyle Rodda, financial analyst at Capital.com, said that the initial shock of the U.S. downgrade has worn off. There is some hope for a truce to be reached between Ukraine and Russia. Donald Trump, the U.S. president, spoke to President Vladimir Putin Monday. He said that Russia and Ukraine would immediately begin negotiations towards a ceasefire. We are seeing buyers emerge when the price dips below $3200. "I think we're due for a larger pullback, particularly if geopolitical risk is further eased and we start to see yields rising from the U.S. fiscal policies." Rodda continued. Gold, considered to be a safe investment amid geopolitical uncertainties and economic uncertainty, has reached multiple records this year. It is up by about 22% this year. U.S. Federal Reserve officials reacted cautiously to the implications of the latest downgrade in the U.S. Government's credit rating, and the unsettled markets conditions on Monday as they navigated a very uncertain economy. Moody's downgraded the United States' credit rating from "Aaa to "Aa1 on Friday, citing "significantly higher debt and interest rates than similar rated sovereigns". Later in the day several Fed officials will be speaking, which could provide further insight into the economy and central bank policy. The markets are currently pricing in a rate cut of at least 54 basis point this year. Spot silver dropped 0.6% to $22.17 per ounce. Platinum remained at $998.04, and palladium fell 0.3% to $971.84.
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Norway Opens Bidding Round for Three Floating Wind Areas
The Norwegian government has launched a bidding process for three floating wind project locations at Utsira Nord area.The awarding of project areas for offshore wind and state aid will take place in two stages, with a maturation phase in between.In the first stage, three project areas will be awarded to the developers who score the highest in a competition based on criteria like cost, feasibility, maturity, innovation and technology and sustainability.Each project area may have an installed capacity of up to 500 MW of floating offshore wind.Developers wishing to participate in the competition have been invited to submit their applications, with the deadline set September 15, 2025.The competition for state aid will be carried out after a maturation phase. To participate in the competition for state aid, the actor must have submitted a license application and provided a bank guarantee for participation in the auction. The auction will only be conducted if at least two actors meet the requirements.One proposal will be awarded state aid, and the winner will be the one who bids the lowest support requirement to realize their project. It will not be permitted to bid higher than the upper limit of $3.36 billion (NOK 35 billion) in state aid, as determined by the Norwegian Parliament.The winner of the support competition must establish a project as close to 500 MW as possible, depending on the chosen turbine size. Actors who do not win the support competition may apply to extend their exclusive rights to the project area under the provisions of the Offshore Energy Act."This is a joyful moment for the industry. With this, Norway is returning to the world stage in floating offshore wind, where we have all the prerequisites to become a global leader. Norway is a pioneer in floating offshore wind technology, and we have a strong supplier industry with many specialized companies,” said Arvid Nesse, CEO of Norwegian Offshore Wind.
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ConocoPhillips Hires Subsea7 for FEED Work Offshore Norway
Subsea7 has secured a contract by the operator ConocoPhillips Skandinavia for a front-end engineering and design (FEED) study for the Previously Produced Fields (PPF) development project, offshore Norway.The project is granted under a new framework agreement between ConocoPhillips and Subsea7.The work is set to begin immediately, and the FEED study will finalize the technical definition of the proposed subsea development.If the development project passes final investment decision and is approved by the authorities, the operator can exercise an option to a large award of the subsea structures, umbilicals, risers and flowlines (SURF) scope under the framework agreement to Subsea7.The contract could be valued up to $500 million.Offshore installation activities associated with this contract would be scheduled for 2026 to 2029.The Previously Produced Fields are located in the Greater Ekofisk Area, approximately 290 kilometers southwest of Stavanger, Norway. The PPF development will be connected to the existing Ekofisk Complex.“We are delighted to have signed a Framework Agreement with ConocoPhillips and have been awarded this initial FEED contract. The study will enable Subsea7 to engage early in the field development process, optimizing design solutions and contributing to the final investment decision. We look forward to working closely with ConocoPhillips to unlock further value in the Greater Ekofisk Area,” said Erik Femsteinevik, Vice President for Subsea 7 Norway.
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Saudi Arabia is poised to increase the summer crude burning for power as fuel oil costs rise
Analyst and trade sources say that Saudi Arabia will burn more crude oil this summer for electricity generation than it did last year as the country ramps up production after OPEC+ relaxes supply controls, and fuel oil is becoming more expensive. OPEC's kingpin, by burning more crude oil, could help ease concerns about global oversupply. OPEC+ (which includes the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, as well as allies like Russia) agreed to increase production in April, may and June by almost 1 million barrels a day. Wood Mackenzie predicts that Saudi Arabia will consume 465,000-470,000 bpd for electricity generation this year. This is an increase of 10,000-15,000 bpd compared to 2024. Several traders have also predicted an increase. FGE estimates that Saudi Arabia will consume 423,000 to 428,000 barrels per day (bpd) of crude oil for power generation this year, up from last year by 10 to 15 bpd. During the summer months, when air conditioning is in high demand, the Middle East burns a lot of crude oil and HSFO. Analysts have reduced their oil price predictions for this year, after OPEC+ decided to accelerate output increases. This has stoked concerns about rising supplies. However, the profits of refiners from producing HSFO using Dubai crude hit a record high of $4.45 a barrel. Priti Mehta is a senior analyst at Wood Mackenzie who specializes in short-term refining, oils and oil products. She said that lower crude prices and increased HSFO cracks will shift some demand for power generation from fuel oil towards crude. Saudi Arabia's Energy Ministry and Saudi Aramco have not responded to comments. OPEC data shows that Saudi Arabia's oil output quota in June was 9.367 millions bpd. This is up from the 9.034million bpd of April. David Wech is the chief economist of analytics firm Vortexa. He said that Saudi Arabia has an incentive to increase crude production but not export it. Burning it to generate electricity would be a good choice in this situation. Analysts and trade sources said that high prices will likely limit Saudi Arabia's fuel consumption for electricity generation this year, while its imports of Russian oil are unlikely to surpass last year's records. Since 2023, the kingdom has imported more Russian fuel oil at a discount for summer use as the price of Russian barrels dropped following Moscow's invasion in Ukraine. Saudi Arabia generates most of its electricity using natural gas and oil. Renewable energy sources are minimal. The country has signed agreements to expand the gas network at Jafurah and its production. Woodmac's Mehta stated that "further increases in the liquid burn in 2025 will be limited due to the approximately 6 gigawatts renewable energy power plants being brought online, and the beginning of operations in the Jafurah Shale Gas Field later this year." Rystad expects Saudi Arabia will reduce crude oil use and increase gas production for power generation by 2030.
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Iron ore prices rise as traders assess resilient demand and soft China data
Iron ore futures traded in a narrow range on Tuesday as investors weighed the resilient demand for steelmaking ingredients near term against the subdued data from China, its largest consumer. As of 0252 GMT, the most traded September iron ore contract at China's Dalian Commodity Exchange remained unchanged at 723.5 Yuan ($100.17). On the Singapore Exchange, benchmark June iron ore was trading at $99.6 per ton. This is a 0.15% increase. Mysteel, a consultancy, said that production among Chinese iron ore mines continued to rise last week after more mines reopened. According to Mysteel, the total volume of iron-ore concentrate produced has increased by 2% each week, bringing it to 498,800 tonnes per day in average. Everbright Futures, the broker, reported that hot metal production, which is typically used to gauge demand for iron ore, fell 0.35% on a month-to-month basis to 2,45 million tonnes. Galaxy Futures, a broker, stated that while hot metal production has decreased slightly, it is still high and demand for steel continues to increase. In a report, Hexun Futures said that iron ore shipments from Australia and Brazil, two major producers, increased by 9.53% on a month-to-month basis to 33.48 millions tons. Retail sales and factory output in China were below expectations, while new home prices continued to stagnate. Data released on Monday showed that China's crude-steel output fell 7% in April from March, but production was still high. Coking coal and coke, which are both steelmaking ingredients, were down by 0.76% apiece. The benchmarks for steel on the Shanghai Futures Exchange have lost ground. Rebar fell 0.39%, while hot-rolled coils dropped 0.19%. Wire rods also declined 0.54%, and stainless steel lost almost 1%.
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Gold prices fall as optimism about a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine reduces demand for safe-haven gold.
The gold price fell on Tuesday as the slightly stronger dollar and optimism about a possible ceasefire between Russia, Ukraine and Ukraine reduced investor demand for safe haven assets. As of 0210 GMT, spot gold was down 0.4% to $3,215.31 per ounce. U.S. Gold Futures fell 0.5% to $3218.40. Dollars have recovered slightly after hitting a low of more than a week in the previous session. This makes gold priced in greenbacks less attractive to those who hold other currencies. Kyle Rodda, financial analyst at Capital.com, said that the initial shock of the U.S. downgrade has worn off. There is some hope for a truce to be reached between Ukraine and Russia. Donald Trump, the U.S. president, spoke to President Vladimir Putin Monday. He said that Russia and Ukraine would immediately begin negotiations towards a ceasefire. We are seeing buyers emerge when the price dips below $3200. "I think we're due for a larger pullback, particularly if geopolitical risk is further eased and we start to see yields rising from the U.S. fiscal policies." Rodda continued. Gold, which has been viewed as a safe investment amid geopolitical uncertainties and economic uncertainty, has reached multiple records this year. It is currently up by about 23%. U.S. Federal Reserve officials reacted cautiously to the implications of the latest downgrade in the U.S. Government's credit rating, and the unsettled markets conditions on Monday as they navigated a very uncertain economy. Moody's downgraded the United States' credit rating from "Aaa to "Aa1 on Friday. The company cited rising debt and interest rates "that are substantially higher than similar rated sovereigns". Later in the day several Fed officials will be speaking, which could provide further insight into the economy and central bank policy. The markets are currently pricing in a rate cut of at least 53 basis point this year. Spot silver dropped 0.3%, to $32.25 per ounce. Platinum rose 0.3%, to $1,000.71. Palladium fell 0.1%, to $973.74.
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Asian stocks are rising as traders consider US debt and trade deals
Asian stocks rose Tuesday, while U.S. Treasury rates steadied. This gave the dollar a little breathing room as investors weighed the debt burden of the largest economy in the world and waited for trade deals. Moody's downgraded its rating of U.S. sovereign debt last week due to growing concerns over that nation's $36 trillion in debt. This led to a sell-off on Treasuries Monday, but this stabilised during Tuesday's Asian trading hours. Kyle Rodda is a senior financial analyst at Capital.com. He said that the Moody's downgrade had only a short-term impact and was of little significance in the larger picture. "But we aren't really getting any fresh news to invest in... We haven’t received any new deals." Analysts say that markets struggle to find direction as there is little sign of trade agreements on the horizon. The 30-year bond rate was 3.5 basis point lower at 4,906%, after reaching a 18-month high 5.037% during the previous trading session. The major U.S. indexes recovered quickly from an early loss and ended mostly flat. The MSCI index for Asia-Pacific stocks outside Japan, which includes all shares traded in the region, is now 0.36% higher and hovering around the seven-month-high reached last week. Japan's Nikkei rose 0.65% early in the morning. Chinese stocks opened unchanged after the central bank cut lending rates benchmark for the first since October. Five of China's largest state-owned banks lowered their deposit rates as well. Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index grew 1%, while the blue-chip index rose by 0.15%. U.S. Federal Reserve officials reacted cautiously to the implications of Moody's downgrade, and the unsettled conditions in the market as they navigated an uncertain economic climate following the U.S.'s erratic trade actions. Although not an immediate issue for the Fed higher borrowing costs linked to a deteriorating U.S. Financial Position could make credit more expensive and cause restraints on economic activity. The U.S. Central Bank has cut interest rates twice this year compared to four times last month, when Donald Trump's tariffs shook the markets and caused investors to sell U.S. assets. Charu Chanana is the chief investment strategist of Saxo in Singapore. She said that for now, U.S. exceptionalalism and corporate resilience offsets risks. How long will it be before investors demand a higher premium for risk, with the Fed still in a wait-and see mode and trade negotiations seemingly stagnating? The markets will monitor a U.S. Congress debate on a tax law later that day. Trump is expected to attend the event ahead of the vote later this week. The measure would extend Trump’s 2017 tax cuts, and could add up to $5 trillion in national debt in the next decade. Investors are also watching for the Reserve Bank of Australia to make a decision on policy, as interest rate cuts are widely expected. The Australian dollar was slightly weaker, at $0.64485. Oil prices in commodities were mixed, as investors worried about a possible breakdown of talks between the U.S. & Iran over Iran's nuclear activities and the weakened prospect of Iranian oil entering the market. (Reporting from Ankur Banerjee in Singapore and Johann M. Cherian; Editing by Christopher Cushing).
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In the Pertamina case, Indonesia contacts trading firms in Singapore
It was announced on Monday that the Indonesian Attorney General's Office had contacted a number trading firms in Singapore about a corruption probe involving Pertamina. In the first half of this year, a number of Pertamina subsidiaries executives were arrested for alleged corruption in relation to oil imports from 2018 through 2023. This allegedly caused state losses of $12 billion. Pertamina apologized publicly and promised to improve the transparency after the arrests. Harli Siregar, a spokeswoman for the Attorney General's Office said that investigators want to speak with some Singapore trading firms about the case. Siregar stated that earlier attempts to summon these companies to Jakarta, whose names were not disclosed, failed. Therefore, the companies may be questioned in Singapore. Siregar declined to provide any further details. "These companies will also be questioned in order to gather more evidence for the ongoing investigation," he said. In response to an inquiry for comment, Fadjar Santoso, a Pertamina spokeswoman, said: "We respect and support the Attorney General's Office's investigation and law enforcement activities in accordance with the applicable regulations." Four sources familiar with the matter said that at least four trading firms have received a request to help with the investigation by Singapore's Corrupt Practices Investigation Bureau. They asked not to be named due to the sensitive nature. CPIB didn't immediately respond to an inquiry for comment. Bloomberg reported earlier that Singapore trading companies had been approached as part of the investigation. The Indonesian Attorney General's Office has said that it has interviewed hundreds of witnesses as part of the investigation.
Trump will decide US tariffs on Mexico and Canada by Tuesday deadline
His Commerce Secretary said that President Donald Trump would decide on Monday which tariff levels he would impose on Canada and Mexico on early Tuesday morning, amid last-minute talks over border security and efforts aimed at preventing the inflow of opioids such as fentanyl.
Trump has promised to impose tariffs of 25% on all imports coming from Canada and Mexico. The Canadian energy sector will be subjected to 10%. CEOs and economists claim that the tariffs, which cover more than $900 Billion in annual imports to the United States from Canada and Mexico, would be a major setback for the North American economy.
Tariffs will be in effect on Tuesday at 12:01 am EST (0501 GMT).
Howard Lutnick, Commerce Secretary on Sunday, indicated that Trump might not impose all of the tariffs. He said that the president will determine the exact level and that tariffs are a "fluid" situation.
Lutnick, a CNN reporter, said that Trump and his advisors will be discussing the progress Canada and Mexico have made in closing their border to illegal immigration on Monday.
He said that both Mexico and Canada had done an excellent job at the border, but they needed to do more to stop the flow of fentanyl into the U.S. in order to reduce the number of deaths caused by the opioid drug.
Lutnick stated that the president is concerned about the lives of Americans, and so the cartels must be attacked to bring down the fentanyl.
It's because it's fluid. Lutnick said that the president will have to tell him, "I'm grateful for what you've done, but I don't think you've accomplished enough."
Trump will also likely raise the fentanyl tariffs on Chinese imports from 10% to 20% on Tuesday, unless Beijing stops importing fentanyl into the U.S. Lutnick didn't mention any possible changes to these duties. These duties would affect $439 billion in annual imports.
On Friday, senior Canadian and Mexican officials met with Trump Cabinet members to discuss efforts to secure their border. However, Trump cited the lack of progress made in reducing deaths from fentanyl-related overdoses.
MEXICO'S RESPONSE PLAN
Mexico has intensified its anti-drug campaign and hinted that it may take new measures against imported Chinese products after avoiding Trump's first tariff round by striking a deal at the last minute to send thousands troops to its border in the north.
In a Monday press conference, President Claudia Sheinbaum said that her government was calm while it awaited Trump’s decision. However, Mexico will react if tariffs were imposed.
Sheinbaum stated, "We have plans B, C and D" without providing any further details. Sheinbaum added that the coordination between the U.S. and Canada on fentanyl trade has been "very effective."
The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention estimates that 72,776 Americans will die from synthetic opioids by 2023, primarily from fentanyl.
NAVARRO : TRUMP UNWAVERING
Peter Navarro, White House Trade Advisor, told CNBC Monday that he doesn't see Trump compromising on his tariff agenda. He did not specify the level or scope of tariffs for Canada or Mexico.
He said that the impact of any tariffs on inflation would be "second order small". I don't think the president will waver, as he is determined to make America strong and prosperous with (more) factory employment and real wages rising. He has chosen this path."
Trump added a new trade action on Saturday to the cascade of tariff announcements that have taken place over the last month. He opened a national-security investigation into the imports of wood and wood products, which could lead to steep tariffs. Canada, which already faces 14.5% U.S. duties on softwood lumber would be particularly hard hit.
Trump had ordered the revival of an investigation on countries that levied digital services taxes. He also proposed fees up to $1.5million for every Chinese-built vessel entering a U.S. Port.
This is in addition to the plans to increase "reciprocal" tariffs to match other countries' tariff rates and to offset other trade barriers. The European Union could be hit hard by this move due to the high value added tax charged by EU member countries.
Desmond Lachman of the conservative American Enterprise Institute warned that Trump's "tariffs-on-steroids" agenda could keep inflation high and tip the global economic system into recession.
PACKAGE ORDERS
Late on Sunday, the White House issued technical orders by Trump in relation to tariffs against Mexico and Canada. The White House declared that low-value packages coming from Mexico and Canada cannot enter the U.S. under the "de minimis exemption" for shipments below $800. The order stated that the ban would take effect after the Commerce Department determined that sufficient screening measures were taken.
Trump suspended the de minimis exemption for low-value Chinese package on February 4, but U.S. Customs and Border Protection Agency was forced to pause this suspension as packages were piling at U.S. Airports without a screening method.
Fentanyl traffickers are using the de minimis exemption to bring fentanyl, its precursor chemicals and other drugs into the U.S. and officials claim that the packages enter the country unscreened. Reporting by David Lawder, Andrea Shalal and Susan Heavey; additional reporting from Kym Madry and Ana Isabel Martinez at Mexico City and Susan Heavey and Andrea Shalal in Washington; editing by Alistair Bell
(source: Reuters)