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LME Copper Spreads Surge to Premium on Short Covering

LME Copper Spreads Surge to Premium on Short Covering

A sharp movement in a key spread was triggered by short-covering at the London Metal Exchange ahead of the contract expiration next week, amid expectations of U.S. copper tariffs.

Fears that U.S. president Donald Trump could impose tariffs against copper prompted traders and investors alike to purchase copper at the U.S. COMEX and sell it on the LME.

The LME is reducing or rolling over short or bearish positions ahead of Wednesday's settlement, converting discounts for copper contracts nearer the maturity date into premiums or reversed.

The spread between cash LME copper and benchmark 3-month futures For the first time since 19 months, Friday saw a spike in prices.

The price of a metric tonne soared to $249, the highest level since November 2021. Two days earlier, it was $119 cheaper.

Backwardation is a sign of shortages in the LME system.

Alastair M. Munro, Senior Base Metals Strategist EMEA at Marex, explained that the spike in spreads was caused by short-covering before pricing cash for third Wednesday on Monday.

He said that the term structure in China is changing, and added that China had destocked its stock for the lunar new year holiday.

Munro said that the nervousness surrounding various U.S. Tariff Plans and the possibility of an easing in Russian sanctions also played a role.

Investors are trying to factor in possible tariffs. The premium of Comex to LME was $1,050 per ton, a drop from the record high of $1,153 one day earlier.

Amalgamated Metal Trading's head of research, Dan Smith, said that people are pulling metal from the LME to ship to the U.S.

In less than three weeks, the copper inventories at warehouses certified by Comex more than doubled to 230.281 metric tonnes from 98.049 metric tons on January 27, up from 98.049 tons.

(source: Reuters)