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AGL Energy, a power producer, beats profit expectations and narrows its annual forecast

AGL Energy, an Australian power company, reported a first-half profit that was ahead of analysts' estimates. However the company lowered its earnings forecast for the full year citing lower demand from customers in the second half.

AGL Energy has lowered its outlook for fiscal 2025 post-tax net profits to A$580 ($364.88 millions) to A$710, down from its previous expectations of A$530 to A$730.

This new range has a mid-point that is slightly lower than Visible Alpha's consensus profit estimate of A$657 millions, but substantially lower than fiscal 2024's underlying profit of A$812million.

The power producer stated that the narrowing of forecast is due to a strong performance in the first half, and earnings are expected to moderate during the second quarter, due to lower gas and electric demand from customers, as well as continued customer competition.

The company also lowered its forecast for annual operating earnings to A$1.94 billion - A$2.14 Billion, missing the consensus estimate of A$2.06 Billion.

AGL, which generates nearly 20% of the total electricity in Australia's National Electricity Market NEM, is fighting with lower contract price -- as the normalisation high wholesale electricity prices in the previous financial year affects contract pricing.

The company's bottom line was hurt by higher operating costs, due to inflationary pressures.

The underlying profit for the first half of the year fell below last year's A$399 millions to A$373 ($234.80) million.

It comfortably exceeded the Visible Alpha consensus of A$307,4 million.

"As expected, the results were impacted by an increased Consumer margin compression due lower customer prices and increased market competition," stated Chief Executive Officer Damien Nicks.

The company's losses were reduced by higher generation volumes and gross margins at its electricity and natural gas trading business and its coal-fired Bayswater Power Station in New South Wales.

The Melbourne-headquartered firm, which counts tech billionaire Mike Cannon-Brookes as its top shareholder, declared an interim dividend of 23 Australian cents per share, below the 26 Australian cents declared last year. Reporting by Sameer Mukherjee and Rajasik Mukherjee, both in Bengaluru. Editing by Alan Barona & Shilpa Majumdar.

(source: Reuters)