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Goldman Sachs cuts Q4 iron ore price forecast by $15/t on supply excess

Goldman Sachs on Monday cut its iron ore cost projection for the 4th quarter of 2024 by $15, to $85. per metric lot, pointing out market oversupply despite the fact that need from. top consumer China is stabilising.

Dalian iron ore futures got last week as the possibility of. Chinese stimulus and a healing in steel need raised market. belief in the middle of the nation's failing economic recovery.

We note prospective rate assistance from pre-Golden Week. holiday restocking over the next 2 weeks, however a continuing. build in overall iron ore stocks is setting the scene for another. rate drop in October, analysts at the bank said in a note,. referring to China's annual week-long holiday next month.

Iron ore fuels China's commercial sector, especially steel. production.

Goldman continued to preserve that the likelihood of falling. exports presented an essential danger to steel production in China in the. coming year.

This could lead to an additional drop in Chinese iron ore need. considered that we see increased support from domestic demand as. unlikely.

Regardless of reduced exports from India, the world's. fourth-largest manufacturer of the steel-making component, an. oversupply of iron ore is continuing due to low need, the bank. stated, including that balancing the marketplace would need lower-cost. manufacturers to likewise cut production.

However for this to happen, the rate of iron ore requires to drop. further, it stated.

(source: Reuters)