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Gold to experience its biggest weekly decline since early June due to inflation and rate hike worries
Gold was up on Friday, but it is 'on track to its biggest weekly loss in six years as rising energy prices fuel inflation fears. This also reinforces expectations for interest rate increases by the U.S. By 2:20 pm EDT (1820 GMT), spot gold had risen 1% to $4,011.29 an ounce. Earlier in the session, prices fell to their lowest levels since June 30, and have fallen around 2.6% for the entire week. U.S. gold futures for August delivery settled at $4,018.80, up 0.7%. The U.S. Dollar rose for the second consecutive session, increasing the price of bullion for foreign buyers. Chris Gaffney is president of EverBank's world markets. He said that the main reasons for the gold selloff were a stronger U.S. currency and higher inflation fears. The U.S. escalated?its renewed campaign against Iran by hitting bridges, and an airport. Tehran responded by launching'strikes against U.S. bases in the Middle East. Brent crude oil prices rose by around 16% in the week after the attacks. The price of gold has dropped by about 25% since U.S.-backed Iran's war began in late Feburary, due to expectations that inflation-driven war could cause interest rates to rise for longer. Gold is often seen as a hedge to inflation. However, higher interest rates can have a negative impact on this non-yielding metal. Gaffney stated that "recent data has decreased the likelihood of a rate increase at the next FOMC Meeting, but global interest rate are continuing to rise and the recent increase in oil prices may drive the Federal Reserve into a more hawkish policy on U.S. interest rate policy." According to the CME FedWatch Tool, traders see a 58% likelihood of an interest rate increase in September. Fed Vice-Chair Philip Jefferson said on Thursday that he was 'open' to raising interest rates if inflation did not improve in the near future. Goldman Sachs stated in a report that "gold's share of private portfolios is still low and recent geopolitical developments, such as Iran and broader tensions may?accelerate the diversification beyond central bankers to private investors." Spot silver increased 1% to $60.06, platinum fell 1.4% to $1.595.64, while palladium remained steady at $1.249.63. All three metals are headed for losses this week. Noel John, reporting from Bengaluru and Jan Harvey and Chizu Nomiyama editing the report)
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Israeli strikes kill Palestinians at Gaza funeral of earlier strike victim
Gaza health officials reported that an 'Israeli airstrike' killed eight Palestinians, and injured 20 others who were attending a funeral for a victim killed earlier in the day by another strike. The death toll on Friday was at least 12 according to medics, including at least 3 Palestinians who were killed by Israeli airstrikes in other parts of the enclave. Hamas has condemned Nuseirat's strike against Gaza mourners as a "brutal massacre" and called on mediators as well as the United Nations to take action to stop Israeli attacks. When asked about the attack on Nuseirat by the Israeli military, it said that they struck a "cell" belonging to the Islamic Jihad militants group. This group holds sway over parts of the enclave, along with Hamas. The military said that it was "aware" of claims that uninvolved people were injured as a result. ISRAEL ORDERS EVACUATIONS AFTER?CEASEFIRE Residents of an area east Deir al-Balah, in the central Gaza Strip, said that Israeli forces used drones in order to broadcast audio messages telling them to leave their home. This forced some families to flee to safety. Gaza health officials report that the deaths bring to more than 1,100 Palestinians killed in Israeli attacks, mostly civilians. Since an October ceasefire was signed between Israel and Hamas militants, Gaza health officials say. Hamas doesn't usually reveal its losses. The ceasefire has stopped major fighting, but not daily Israeli attacks. Israel claims it is targeting militants. In the same time period, militants have killed four Israeli soldiers in Gaza. Conflict?monitor ACLED is a U.S. research group that tracks political violence. It said Israeli airstrikes against Hamas and?other?militants grew to over 40 in June. This was the highest monthly total ever since the ceasefire. It said that other strikes killed and injured civilians near the line that divides?the sides. This included women and children. According to Israeli statistics, the war began on October 7, 2023 when Hamas-led forces attacked southern Israel, killing about 1,200 people, and taking 250 hostages. Gaza health officials report that Israel's offensive has killed over 73,000 Palestinians. Hamas controls a small strip of land on the coast where nearly all Gaza's two million residents live, mostly in tents and damaged buildings.
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Gold to experience its biggest weekly decline since early June due to inflation and rate hike worries
Gold prices rose Friday, but were on track for their biggest weekly drop?in the past six weeks as tensions between the U.S. and Iran escalated. This fueled inflation fears while also reinforcing expectations that interest rates will be raised in the U.S. By 11:50 am EDT (1550 GMT), spot gold had risen 1.2% to $4,017.09 an ounce. Prices fell to their lowest levels since July 1, earlier in the day, and are down about 2.5% for the entire week. U.S. Gold?futures delivered in August fell by 0.5%, to $3973.10. The U.S. Dollar rose for the second consecutive session, increasing the price of bullion for foreign buyers. Chris Gaffney is president of EverBank's world markets. He said that the main reasons for gold's decline were a stronger U.S. Dollar and increased global inflation fears. The U.S. escalated its renewed bombing campaign against Iran by hitting bridges and airports. Tehran responded by launching strikes on U.S. bases in the Middle East. Brent crude oil was up by more than 14 percent in the week after the attacks. The price of gold has dropped by about 25% since U.S.-backed Iran's war began in late Feburary, due to expectations that inflation-driven war could cause interest rates to rise for longer. Gold is often seen as an inflation hedge, but higher interest rates can have a negative impact on this non-yielding metal. "Recent data has decreased the likelihood of a rate increase at the next FOMC Meeting, but global interest levels continue to rise and the recent 'increase in oil price could lead the Federal Reserve to adopt a more hawkish stance with regard to?U.S. Gaffney stated that interest rate policy was a priority. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, traders see a 53.3% probability of an interest rate increase in September. Philip Jefferson, Fed vice chair, said on Thursday that he was "open" to raising interest rates if inflation did not improve in the near future. Goldman Sachs stated in a report that "gold's percentage in private portfolios is still low. Recent?geopolitical events, such as the Iranian nuclear deal and wider tensions? may accelerate diversification to private investors beyond central banks." Spot silver increased 1.1% to $66.09; platinum fell 1.3% to $1.597.13 and palladium remained steady at $1.249.81. All three metals are headed for weekly losses. (Reporting and editing by Jan Harvey in Bengaluru, Noel John from Bengaluru)
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Israeli strikes kill Palestinians at Gaza funeral of earlier strike victim
Gaza health officials reported that an Israeli airstrike on Friday killed eight 'Palestinians' and injured 20 others who were attending a funeral for a victim whose body was buried in Nuseirat, a central Gaza Strip area. The person had been?killed earlier by another Israeli attack on the?area. The death toll on Friday was at least 12 according to medics, including at least 3 Palestinians who were killed by Israeli airstrikes in other parts of the enclave. Hamas has condemned Nuseirat's strike against Gaza mourners as a "brutal massacre" and called on mediators as well as the United Nations to act in order to stop Israeli attacks. The Israeli military stated that it would check a request for a comment, but did not provide one immediately. ISRAEL ORDERS EVACUATIONS EVACUATED CEASEFIRE Residents of an area east of Deir al-Balah, in the central Gaza Strip, said Israeli forces broadcasted audio messages ordering them to leave their homes. Some families were forced to flee to safety. Gaza's health officials say that the deaths "add to a total" of more than 1100 Palestinians killed by Israelis since a ceasefire was signed between Israel and Hamas militants in October. Hamas doesn't usually reveal its losses. Israel continues to launch daily strikes despite the ceasefire. Israel claims it is pursuing militants. In the same time period, militants have killed four Israeli soldiers. Conflict monitor ACLED (a U.S. research group that tracks political violent) said Israeli airstrikes on Hamas and militants grew to over 40 in June. This was the highest monthly total since the ceasefire. It said that other strikes killed and injured civilians near the line dividing both sides, including women?and children. According to Israeli statistics, the war began on October 7, 2023 when Hamas-led forces attacked southern Israel, killing about 1,200 people, and taking 250 hostages. Gaza health officials claim that Israel's "subsequent" offensive has resulted in the deaths of more than 73,000 Palestinians. Hamas controls a small strip of land on the coast where nearly all of Gaza's two million residents live, mostly in tents and damaged buildings.
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Ontario buys 11 new aircraft to fight'very difficult' fires
Premier Doug Ford announced at a Friday press conference that Ontario would spend C$650 million ($465million) to purchase 'five new helicopters' and six new water-bombers in order to fight wildfires spreading quickly. On Thursday, heavy smoke from Canadian fires covered a large area of the U.S., from the Midwest up to the Northeast. Officials warned residents to stay inside whenever possible. Ford has not said when the planes will arrive. He said: "We won't put a price on the safety of our communities... We will spare no cost." Ontario has so far deployed 150 fire crews to the ground, and more than 80 water bombers and helicopters. Fires are mainly concentrated in the sparsely-populated and remote northwest region of the province where air travel is the only mode of transportation. Ford said, "This is an extremely difficult situation. Even flying into these communities using dirt runways is very difficult when there is fire." As of today, 650,000 acres (26,300 sq km) have been set ablaze, compared with 600,000 acres last year. (1 Canadian dollar = 1.4012 dollars) (Reporting and editing by Deepa Babyington, David Ljunggren)
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Ambani's Reliance outperforms the profit forecast on oil-tochemicals and telecom strength
Mukesh Ambani, the billionaire Indian, and his Reliance Industries beat market expectations on Friday for its first-quarter profit, thanks to strong performance in their oil-tochemicals, retail, and telecom businesses. The results showed the resilience of Reliance’s diverse businesses during a quarter that was marked by?elevated oil prices, geopolitical conflicts and supply-chain interruptions. Reliance’s operating performance improved across its?three main verticals. The oil-to chemicals business, including its'refining operations', saw a 17.2% increase in core earnings from the previous year. Mukesh Ambani, Chairman of O2C Business, said that the business had a strong performance in the quarter. This was supported by record-high middle distillate cracks and improved downstream petrochemical deltas. Jio Platforms continued to be the key growth driver in the telecom sector, with a core earnings increase of 15.1%. It has 533 million subscribers and average revenue per user at 215.6 rupees. Investors are awaiting the IPO, which may be India's biggest ever. Jio Platforms could raise up to $3.8 billion. Mukesh Ambani pledged to 'tighten the grip of Jio Platforms on India's data market and push into foreign markets. According to LSEG, Reliance’s consolidated net income fell by 22.4%, to 209.46 billion rupiahs ($2.18 billion) for the three-month period ended June 30. This was higher than analysts' average estimates of 185.5 billion rupiahs. The decline in net profit was primarily due to an 'unique gain' from the sale of a stake in Asian Paints during the previous quarter.
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US consumer sentiment improved in July; renewed Middle East conflict is a downside risk
U.S. consumer confidence increased to a?high of five months in July. However, the 'improvement' is only temporary because the renewed conflict in?the Middle East has raised gasoline prices. The University of Michigan's Surveys of Consumers reported on Friday that its Consumer Sentiment Index had risen to 54.4 in this month. This is the highest reading since last February. It was 49.5 at the end of June. The economists surveyed by? The economists polled by? The survey was conducted between June 23 and July 13 with over?70% completed interviews before the collapse of the U.S.-Iran ceasefire last week which drove oil prices up to a?month high. In response, gasoline?prices are up. Joanne Hsu is the director of Surveys of Consumers. She said that the rise in consumer sentiment this month was widespread, affecting all groups, regardless of age, income, wealth or political party. However, as?prices remain frustratingly high, the consumer's attitude towards the economy is not ebullient; sentiment has fallen 12% since a year ago. The upward trend in sentiment may be difficult to maintain if the recent drop in gas prices continues. In June, the survey's measure of consumer expectations for inflation in the next year was 4.6%. This month it is 4.2%. Consumers' expectations of inflation over the next five-year period remained at 3.3%. This week, government data showed that consumer inflation had moderated in June. (Reporting By Lucia Mutikani; Editing by Chizu Nomiyama)
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Gold to experience its biggest weekly decline in six weeks on inflation and rate hike worries
Gold was stable on Friday, but on course to suffer its largest weekly loss in six years as escalating tensions between the U.S. and Iran drove up energy prices, fueling inflation fears, and reinforcing expectation of U.S. rate hikes. By 0932 am EDT (1332 GMT), spot gold was unchanged, at $3.970.35 an ounce. It is still near its lowest price since July 1. Prices have fallen by more than 3% for the entire week. U.S. Gold Futures?for August Delivery fell 0.5% to $3973.10. The U.S. Dollar rose for the second consecutive session, increasing the price of bullion for foreign buyers. Chris Gaffney is president of EverBank's world markets. He said that the main reasons for the gold sell-off were a stronger U.S. Dollar and increased global inflation fears. The U.S. escalated its renewed bombing campaign against Iran by hitting bridges and airports. Tehran responded by launching strikes on U.S. bases in the Middle East. Brent crude oil was up by more than 14 percent in the week after the attacks. The price of gold has dropped by about 25% since U.S.-backed Iran's war began in late Feburary, due to expectations that inflation-driven war could cause interest rates to rise for longer. Gold is often seen as an inflation hedge, but higher interest rates can be detrimental to the metal. Gaffney stated that "Recent data has decreased the likelihood of a rate increase at the next FOMC Meeting, but global interest rates are continuing to rise and the recent increase in oil prices may drive the Federal Reserve into a more hawkish position?on U.S. rate policy." According to the CME FedWatch Tool, traders are pricing in a 53.3% probability of an interest rate increase in the U.S. in September. Philip Jefferson, Fed vice chair, said on Thursday that he was "open" to raising interest rates if inflation did not improve in the near future. Goldman Sachs stated in a report that "gold's percentage in private portfolios is still low. Recent?geopolitical events, such as the Iranian nuclear deal and wider tensions?may increase diversification from central banks towards private investors." Silver spot fell by 0.8%, platinum was down 3.3% at $1,563.49 and palladium dropped 1.5% at $1,230.42. All three metals are headed for losses this week. (Reporting and editing by Jan Harvey in Bengaluru, Noel John from Bengaluru)
Prices fall in Europe as LNG and wind supply offset the lower Norway flows
Dutch and British gas wholesale prices fell early on Thursday, as wind energy generation reduced gas-for power demand. Increased liquefied gas arrivals also offset the reduction in Norwegian supplies.
LSEG data show that the benchmark Dutch front-month contracts at TTF hub were down 1.32 Euros at 31,23 Euros per megawatt hour or $10.63/mmBtu by 0742 GMT. This was the lowest price for a whole week.
The British gas front-month contract fell by 2.55 pence, to 78.21 pence/therm. Meanwhile, the intra-day contract was down by 2.65 pence.
Daniel Hynes is a senior commodity strategist with ANZ. He said that ship tracking data showed an increase in imports of liquefied gas in certain parts of Europe this week.
He added that "this will help offset Norwegian flow, which is dipping because of seasonal maintenance."
Hynes stated that wind generation is expected to also increase in Northwest Europe, which will ease the demand for gas. LSEG data shows that the non-local distribution zone's gas demand, which is mainly power stations and big industries in Northwest Europe will drop from 2,206 gigawatts/day on Thursday, to 1,692/GWh by Friday. LSEG analyst Saku Jussla stated that the European market is comfortable with current conditions, with their looser storage goals and abundant LNG supply despite Norwegian maintenance ramping-up.
Data from infrastructure operator Gassco shows that the number of Norwegian gas exports to Europe has dropped from 281 mcm/day to 273 mcm/day since Wednesday.
Gas Infrastructure Europe's data shows that EU gas storage facilities were 76.4% filled last year, compared to 92% around the same time last.
The benchmark contract on the European carbon markets was down 0.35 euros at 71.89 euro per metric ton. Nora Buli, reporting from Oslo; Barbara Lewis, editing)
(source: Reuters)