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Asia refiners eye output cuts as earnings downturn on diesel surplus

Asian refiners are thinking about cuts to refined fuel output in the coming months, with some already cutting production in May, after excess diesel supplies squeezed earnings, traders and experts stated.

Refiners likewise deal with higher unrefined costs after Saudi Arabia on Sunday raised rates for June-loading cargoes to their highest in five months. Lower refinery output could cap unrefined demand in Asia, home to top importers including China, India and Japan and weigh on international prices.

Refining margins in Singapore, the Asia bellwether, slipped under $4 a barrel in April from nearly $6 in March, LSEG data showed, despite a number of plants shutting for maintenance during low demand season in 2nd quarter. << DUB-SIN-REF >

Refining margins are expected to stay subdued in May and June, which will likely set off run cuts on the margin for export-oriented refineries, stated Ivan Mathews of consultancy FGE.

Taiwan's Formosa Petrochemical Corp, among Asia's. biggest refined items exporters, cut its May run rate by. about 3 portion points to 82%, or 441,000 barrels per day. ( bpd), from an original strategy of 85%, business spokesperson K.Y. Lin said.

We're observing summer season oil need for June before choosing. whether to change run rates even more, he added.

South Korea's second-largest refiner, GS Caltex, is cutting. output by 20,000-30,000 barrels per day in May, trade sources. stated.

Margins are very weak today however the problem is summer. Do you want to cut run when need may be strong in summer season? one. refining source said. So I think refiners will cut, however small. volumes.

Nevertheless, South Korea's leading refiner SK Energy has no strategies to. cut run rates in May-July, a source with knowledge of the matter. said. The company decreased to comment.

In China, Sinopec and PetroChina are mulling run cuts in. June, considering export margins as they await more fuel export. quotas to be issued, two individuals with knowledge of the matter. stated.

Sinopec and PetroChina did not respond to ask for. remark.

Chinese state refiners are shipping large amounts of diesel. overseas to offset weak domestic demand, although exports may. ease in May as they have used up most of their quota, traders. stated.

WEAK DIESEL

The slump in refining margins is generally brought on by high. diesel materials as refiners in South Korea and Taiwan,. motivated by first-quarter strong margins, ramped up output at. secondary units to keep exports throughout maintenance, traders. said.

Nevertheless, diesel stocks soared to the highest in almost 3. years in Asia center Singapore last month as arbitrage. chances to Europe remained closed. Stockpiles of the. industrial fuel at the United Arab Emirates' Fujairah hub are. also well above yearly averages because 2021.

Diesel deliveries to Europe from Asia and the Middle East. have fallen as ships should cruise longer routes and freight rates. for tankers bring clean products leapt in the middle of continuous attacks. by Yemeni Houthis on Red Sea ships.

Diesel demand elsewhere in Asia has likewise been lacklustre. with only a handful of purchasers from Vietnam and Australia taking. their regular requirements.

The current selloff in diesel has likewise narrowed its spread. with fuel oil, which is weighing on coking margins, said Royston. Huan, an analyst at Energy Aspects.

Increasing supply and an increasingly bearish outlook for. feedstocks when global gasoline cracks pull away seasonally will. pressure margins, specifically in Asia, implying refiners will look. at secondary systems to cut discretionary output, said Huan.