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Minister: Brazil will phase out diesel subsidies more slowly than gasoline

Bruno Moretti, Minister of Planning and Budget, said on Thursday that Brazil will take longer to phase out the diesel subsidy than it does the gasoline subsidy. This is because the process must be carefully managed, despite the fall in oil prices worldwide, to prevent price shocks and fuel shortages.

Moretti stated that a gradual withdrawal of subsidy is consistent with government fiscal neutrality goals, and the cost will be offset by the extraordinary oil revenue still owed to the Treasury.

In an interview, he explained that this approach would ensure "the diesel market has the predictability required to operate and provide society."

He added that the 0.44 Brazilian real ($0.0844) gasoline subsidy per litre will be eliminated over a "much?shorter?" period. Subsidies are expected to disappear in the next few days.

He said that removing the 1,12 real-per-liter subsidy could cause a rapid increase in diesel prices because the recent drop in oil prices after a preliminary agreement between the U.S.A. and Iran have not been fully passed on to the consumers. Brent crude prices soared above $118 per barrel after the Middle East war began in late February. It was trading at $71.51 per barrel on Thursday.

Brazil's Government is also evaluating whether or not to reduce the 12% crude oil export tax imposed by March.

Moretti stated that "we will certainly not be able to keep it in the current scenario."

Next week, the executive order that established the tax will expire. He added that the government could maintain it at a lower tax rate by making an administrative decision.

DIVIDEND TASKS SHORTFALL Moretti stated that despite the low revenue generated by a new dividend tax, which was introduced in January to offset an exemption for households with middle incomes, no additional measures were needed to make up the shortfall. The minister said stronger-than-expected collections in other areas, which he did not specify, ?would comfortably make up the difference.

He added that in the worst-case scenario, any difficulties in reaching the target could be resolved?through the freezing of spending.

Moretti said that the government will continue to meet its fiscal goal of a primary surplus of 0.25 percent of the gross domestic product by the end of this month.

The government can still achieve the goal despite a primary budget deficit up to 0.50% GDP. This is because the tolerance band allows for 0.25 percentage points either way. Due to the pressure of mandatory spending, President Luiz Inacio Lula's government operates under a spending block of 23.7 billion reais since May.

Moretti stated that the economic team of the government does not expect a significant ease in the expenditure pressures. However, it might be able reverse the blockage partially this month.

(source: Reuters)