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Chambers of Commerce predict that German exports will flatline in this year due to Middle East uncertainty

The Chambers of Commerce said that German exports will stagnate in this year. They lowered their previous forecasts for a slight increase as the companies in Europe's biggest economy are facing?supply-chain snarls, and uncertainty due to the Iran War.

The German Chambers of Industry and Commerce had previously predicted a 1.0% rise in exports of both goods and services.

Volker Treier is the head of DIHK's foreign trade.

In a survey conducted by DIHK, 4500 German companies that operate abroad reported that high energy prices are a major business risk. This is more than twice the number of respondents in 2025. 40% also cited disruptions to supply chains, and 37% cited raw material costs.

A MORE PESSIMISTIC PENSION

The survey also revealed that 32% of respondents were pessimistic regarding the medium-term economic outlook. They believe the economy will worsen over the next year as the Iran War exposes the vulnerabilities in global supply chain.

This is an 8-point increase from DIHK's last survey, which was officially called the AHK World Business Outlook and conducted before the U.S. vs. Israel war with Iran broke out at the end of February.

"This is not just an economic slowdown. "Uncertainty has become the main factor," said?Treier.

The authors of the survey said that the geographical impact on German companies with overseas operations is dependent on their dependence on oil and natural gas imports from Gulf Region.

The majority of companies in Asia-Pacific, including China, and those 'closest to conflict zones', are sceptical regarding the months ahead.

Companies operating in China and the United States, as well as South America's Mercosur region, remain relatively optimistic. (Reporting and editing by Barbara Lewis, Susan Fenton and Miranda Murray)

(source: Reuters)