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As supply concerns bite, the east-west spreads on forward diesel have risen to their highest levels in three years.

LSEG data showed that the price spreads for diesel on the east-west route in the future months have risen to three-year-highs. Traders are still concerned about the supply shortages caused by the conflict in the Middle East, even though there has not been any trading on this route.

The data showed that the April east-west spread was valued at $135 per ton. In March, it was $100 per ton.

The forward-month values are the highest since October 2022 and the prompt-month spreads are the highest since July of this year.

EFS is the difference in Singapore diesel swaps on a?onboard basis and ICE gasoline futures.

The forward-month value was the highest it has been since October 2022. Meanwhile, the spreads for the immediate month were at their highest level since July of this year.

Regional trade sources report that persistent worries about tighter fundamentals in supply going into next month continue to push markets higher as fuel deliveries through the Strait of Hormuz remain unlikely.

Last year, more than 400,000 barrels of diesel per day passed through the Strait of Hormuz. One-third of that total went to Europe.

Two shipping sources stated that despite the?much larger spreads, actual arbitration cargo fixtures on the East-West trade route have yet to be seen this week. This highlights the fact that there are still no outright offerings from shippers along this trade route.

In a March 2 client note, Sparta Commodities' James Noel Beswick said that the?trajectory of both diesel and jet depends?on the?scale and duration of escalation.

(source: Reuters)