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Oil pauses gains as Venezuela shipments resume, but Iran concerns loom

Oil pauses gains as Venezuela shipments resume, but Iran concerns loom
Oil pauses gains as Venezuela shipments resume, but Iran concerns loom

The oil market fell after four consecutive days of gains on Wednesday, as Venezuela resumed exports. Meanwhile, U.S. crude inventories and products rose. However there were fears that Iranian supplies would be disrupted due to deadly civil unrest.

Brent futures fell 20 cents or 0.3% to $65.27 per barrel by 0525 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude was down 23 cents or 0.4% at $60.92 per barrel.

Suvro Sarkar is an energy analyst with DBS Bank. He said that oil prices had already factored in a geopolitical premium in recent days, due to the rising tensions in Iran and drone attacks on the Black Sea.

He said that unless we see further escalation, and the possibility of disruptions in oil flows, the market may consolidate and wait for next steps in the complex world order. He also said that the American Petroleum Institute's (API) report of large crude and products builds in the U.S. late on Tuesday may be contributing to the price rise.

API, citing market sources, reported that crude stocks in the U.S. - the world's largest oil consumer - rose by 5,23 million barrels during the week ending January 9.

Gasoline stocks rose by?8.23m barrels while distillate stockpiles rose by 4.34m barrels compared to a week ago.

The U.S. Energy Information Administration is scheduled to release its stockpile data later on Wednesday. A poll conducted on Tuesday showed that U.S. crude stockpiles are expected to have decreased last week while gasoline and distillate stocks likely increased.

Three sources reported that Venezuela, an OPEC member, has also begun reversing the oil production cuts it had made as a result of the U.S. embargo.

Two supertankers left Venezuelan waters Monday, each carrying 1.8 million barrels of crude oil. This could be the first shipment of a 50-million barrel supply deal between Caracas & Washington in order to restart exports in the wake the capture by the U.S. of Venezuelan president Nicolas Maduro.

Despite this, the increasing?protests of Iran have raised concerns about supply disruptions. Iran is the fourth largest OPEC producer. U.S. president Donald Trump urged Iranians on Tuesday to continue protesting, and said that?help is on its way' without specifying exactly what this meant.

Citi analysts raised their forecast for Brent oil over the next three months to $70 per barrel.

Citi analysts note that the protests so far have not reached the main Iranian oil-producing areas, which limits the actual effect on supply.

They said that the current risks were geared toward frictions in logistics and politics, rather than outages. This would keep the impact on Iranian crude exports and supply contained. (Reporting from Katya Glubkova and Emily Chow, in Tokyo; editing by Christian Schmollinger).

(source: Reuters)